It’s not easy to operate in a business where competition is fierce and pricing power is nonexistent. Just ask Moneygram International (MGI), whose shares are in freefall this morning after it was downgraded by Piper Jaffray.
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Why did Piper Jaffray’s Michael Grondahl and Dain Haukos downgrade Moneygram to Neutral from Overweight? Let them count the ways:
We are downgrading [Moneygram] as we believe it will struggle to perform in an increasingly competitive marketplace where price cuts and compliance requirements could suppress revenues and increase expenses. As such, margins remain under pressure. Recall, [Moneygram's] biggest competitor, Western Union (WU), has cut its prices. Next, during the September quarter [Moneygram] saw its commission expense increase [1.7 percentage points year-over-year] to 47% of total revenues as it had to pay more to retain/acquire agents. Additionally, [Moneygram's] compensation and benefits expense increased by 20% (~$11.4M) Y/Y partially as a result of increased headcount required to meet increased regulatory requirements. Lastly, we worry about a potential [Wal-Mart (WMT)] white label offering. We note [Wal-Mart] represented 27%
of MGI’s September quarter revenues.
Ouch.
Shares of Moneygram have gained 5.5% to $18.65 today at 1:54 p.m., while Western Union has gained 2.6% to $17.51. Wal-Mart has risen 0.4% to $78.52.
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