Saturday, May 25, 2013

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014

As warm weather thaws in the Northern states, something inside investors' minds snaps. Perhaps with more�barbecues going on, investors don't want to spend time following stocks, so they sell out of the market. Either way, the phrase "sell in May and go away" gets passed around once every year. What should you do with your stocks in May?

First, don't sell. As Fool Alex Dumortier demonstrated by analyzing the returns of the�S&P 500� (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) from 1926 to 2012, buying and holding returned 1.6% more compared to selling in May and buying back in October. And depending on transaction fees and taxes, the outperformance of "buy and hold" compared to selling in May could be even higher.

Second, if you're still worried, take a look at these defensive stocks that have held up well from Mother's Day to Memorial Day and beyond, and those looking relatively cheap headed into May.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: British American Tobacco Industries p.l.c.(BTI)

British American Tobacco p.l.c., through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of tobacco products. The company offers cigars, cigarettes, smokeless snus, roll-your-own, and pipe tobacco products under the Dunhill, Kent, Lucky Strike, Pall Mall, Vogue, Viceroy, Kool, Rothmans, Peter Stuyvesant, Benson & Hedges, and State Express 555 brand names. It has operations in the Asia-Pacific, the Americas, eastern and western Europe, Africa, and the Middle East. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. British American Tobacco p.l.c. operates independently of Remgro Ltd. as of November 03, 2008.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Seroja Investments Limited (IW5.SI)

Seroja Investment Limited, an investment holding company, provides domestic marine cargo and coal transportation services in Indonesia and China. It charters tugboats and barges primarily to transport dry bulk freight comprising thermal coal, sand, and other quarry materials. The company primarily serves coal and cement producers. It owns and operates a fleet of 64 vessels consisting of tugboats and barges, which navigate waters around the Indonesian archipelago. The company is based in Singapore.

Top 5 Transportation Stocks To Buy For 2014: Strategic Diagnostics Inc.(SDIX)

Strategic Diagnostics Inc., a biotechnology company, develops, commercializes, and markets proprietary products, services, and solutions for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, diagnostics, food safety, and environmental markets. Its life science portfolio includes products and custom services that supply critical reagents used across the life science research and development markets. These products and services include custom antibodies, in-vitro diagnostic-grade antibodies, proprietary critical reagent products, associated bio-processing services, and custom assay design and development services that are sold to pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and diagnostic companies, as well as to biomedical research centers. The company also provides Kit products, including immunoassays, which represent advanced technology for the detection of food pathogens and soil contaminants. Its detection technologies allow industrial customers to identify the presence of adulterants, such as chem ical toxins, biological pathogens, and other contaminants, which can compromise human or environmental safety, and/or impact efficiencies of production processes. These products are used in various applications, including food and beverage manufacturing, environmental management, and agriculture and agro-science. The company markets and sells its products in the life sciences, and food safety product categories through a direct sales force, Internet, and a network of distributors, as well as through its corporate partners in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Latin America, Europe, and Asia. Strategic Diagnostics Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Newark, Delaware.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Steiner Leisure Limited(STNR)

Steiner Leisure Limited provides spa services and personal care products for men, women, and teenagers worldwide. The company offers beauty care products, including cleansers, toners, moisturizers, lotions, waxing products, cleansing accessories, and other skin care and body products, as well as aromatherapy oils and beauty tools; and hair care products, such as shampoos, conditioners, styling products, and related items. Its services include massages, facials, microdermabrasion, waxing, aromatherapy treatments, seaweed wraps, aerobic exercise, yoga, pilates, hair styling, manicures, pedicures, and teeth whitening, as well as various other beauty and body treatments and services; acupuncture; and medi-spa services comprising BOTOX Cosmetic, Dysport, Restylane, and Perlane. In addition, the company operates approximately 12 post-secondary schools, which provide education in massage therapy, beauty, skin care, and related areas at 30 campuses in 14 states. Further, it provid es procedures for the removal of unwanted facial and body hair in a clinical setting. The company offers its products and services under the Elemis, La Th�apie, Bliss, Rem�e, Laboratoire Rem�e, Mandara Spa, Mandara, Jou, and Chavana brands through department stores; third party retail outlets; distributors; salons; mail orders; and company owned Websites, including www.timetospa.com, www.timetospa.co.uk, www.blissworld.com, www.blisslondon.co.uk, and www.bodyworkmall.com, as well as through the QVC home shopping television channel. As of February 13, 2012, it served 152 cruise ships representing 19 cruise lines; and operated 54 resort spas, 11 urban hotel spas, 6 day spas, and 59 ideal image laser hair removal centers. Steiner Leisure Limited was founded in 1934 and is based in Nassau, the Bahamas.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Wilshire Bancorp Inc.(WIBC)

Wilshire Bancorp, Inc. operates as the holding company for Wilshire State Bank that offers a range of financial products and services. It accepts various deposit products that include certificates of deposit, regular savings accounts, money market accounts, checking and negotiable order of withdrawal accounts, installment savings accounts, and individual retirement accounts. The company?s loan portfolio comprises commercial real estate and home mortgage loans, commercial business lending and trade finance, and small business administration lending, as well as consumer loans, including personal loans, auto loans, and other loans. It also provides trade finance services that include issuance and negotiation of letters of credit, handling of documentary collections, advising and negotiation of commercial letters of credit, transfer and issuance of back-to-back letters of credit, and trade finance lines of credit. In addition, the company offers Internet banking services, auto matic teller machines, and armored carrier services. It has 24 full-service branch offices in Southern California, Texas, New Jersey, and the greater New York City metropolitan area; and 6 loan production offices in Colorado, Georgia, Texas, New Jersey, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Philip]

    Shares of Wilshire Bancorp (WIBC) of Los Angeles closed at $3.42 Friday, down 55% year-to-date. The shares have 18% upside potential, based on a mean 12-month price target of $4.04, among analysts polled by FactSet.

    The company had $2.7 billion in total assets as of Sept. 30, with 24 branches in Southern California, Texas, New Jersey, and the New York City area, and six loan production offices in n Colorado, Georgia, Texas (two offices), New Jersey, and Virginia.

    Wilshire Bancorp owes $62.2 million in federal bailout funds received through the Troubled Assets Relief Program, or TARP. The company raised $100 million in common equity during the second quarter, following an agreement with the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and state regulators to bring main subsidiary Wilshire State Bank's Tier 1 leverage ratio up to at least 10%. The Bank subsidiary's Tier 1 leverage ratio was 13.24% as of Sept. 30.

    The holding company reported third-quarter net income available to common shareholders of $10.2 million, or 14 cents a share, increasing from $2.1 million, or 4 cents a share, during the second quarter, and $5.0 million, or 14 cents a share, during the third quarter of 2010.

    The main factor in the earnings improvement was a reduction in credit costs, with a third-quarter provision for loan losses of $2.5 million, declining from $10.3 million the previous quarter and $18.0 million a year earlier. A $5.7 million decline in loan loss reserves during the third quarter directly boosted earnings.

    With the company continuing its aggressive reduction of its commercial real estate loan portfolio and its nonperforming loans, Wilshire Bancorp's total assets declined 17% from a year earlier. During the third quarter, the company sold $28.7 million in loans, most of which were nonperforming, for a gain of $1.7 million.

    Net interest income declined 14% year-over-year to $25.5 million in the third quarter, reflecting the balance sheet reduction.

    The net interest margin -- t! he difference between a bank's average yield on loans and investments and its average cost for loans and deposits -- was a strong 4.23% in the third quarter, which was down from 4.42% the previous quarter, but up from 3.393% a year earlier.

    Wilshire Bancorp's ratio of nonperforming assets to total assets was 2.46% as of Sept. 30, improving from 3.22% the previous quarter and 2.87% a year earlier. The annualized ratio of net charge-offs -- loan losses less recoveries -- to total loans was 0.46%, and with reserves covering 5.27% of total loans, the company appeared well-positioned for continued significant releases of reserves.

    FIG Partners analyst Timothy Coffey on Oct. 28 reiterated his "Outperform" or "Buy" rating for Wilshire Bancorp, raising his 12-month price target to $4.50 from $3.80, also "estimating tangible book values of $3.43 in 2011, $4.21 in 2012 and $4.84 in 2013." The analyst said that he anticipated that "could start to reverse the DTA-Deferred Tax Asset valuation allowance over the coming quarters," and that "the improvement in the earnings power has resulted in losses below management's projections, which has increased the valuation allowance to $40 million." Coffey estimated that "company could have no tax expense or very limited expense in 2012 before a normalized expense returns in 2013."

    The shares trade for 6.8 times the consensus 2012 earnings estimate of 50 cents, among analysts polled by FactSet, and just above their Sept. 30 tangible book value of $3.27, according to SNL Financial.

    Four out of seven analysts covering Wilshire Bancorp rate the shares a buy, while the remaining analysts all have neutral ratings.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Agrium Inc Com Npv (AGU.TO)

Agrium Inc. engages in the retail of agricultural products and services worldwide. The company operates in three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Advanced Technologies. The Retail segment supplies crop protection products, such as herbicide, fungicide, and insecticide products; fertilizers; seed products; and turf and ornamental products for lawn care or landscapes, golf courses, nurseries, greenhouses, athletic fields, or sod farms, as well as provides vegetation management and forestry services. It also offers wool sales and marketing, livestock auction, insurance, and real estate agency services. This segment markets its products and services through 1,250 retail outlets in the United States, Canada, Australia, Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay. The Wholesale segment produces, markets, and distributes a range of crop nutrients, such as nitrogen, potash, and phosphate products for agricultural and industrial customers. This segment also owns and operates facilities that upgr ade ammonia and urea to other products, such as urea ammonium nitrate solutions and nitric acid. The Advanced Technologies segment produces and markets controlled-release crop nutrients and micronutrients to the agriculture, specialty agriculture, professional turf, horticulture, and consumer lawn and garden markets. The company was formerly known as Cominco Fertilizers Ltd. and changed its name to Agrium Inc. in 1995. Agrium Inc. was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Shore Bancshares Inc(SHBI)

Shore Bancshares, Inc. operates as the holding company for The Centreville National Bank of Maryland; The Talbot Bank of Easton, Maryland; and The Felton Bank, which provide various commercial and consumer banking products and services in Maryland and Delaware. It offers various deposit products, including commercial checking, savings, money market, Christmas savings, individual retirement, and overnight investment sweep accounts; interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing demand deposits, as well as time deposits; and certificates of deposit. The company also provides commercial loans, including secured and unsecured loans, working capital loans, lines of credit, term loans, accounts receivable financing, real estate acquisition development, construction loans, and letters of credit; and individual loans comprising mortgage, home improvement, installment, and other personal loans; credit cards; personal lines of credit; automobile; and other consumer financing. In addition , it offers merchant credit card clearing services; direct deposit of payroll, Internet banking, and telephone banking services; safe deposit boxes; debit cards; and automatic teller machine (ATM) services. Further, the company provides nondeposit products, such as mutual funds and annuities, and discount brokerage services; and trust, asset management, and financial planning services. Additionally, it offers insurance products and services, which comprise property and casualty, life, marine, individual health, and long term care insurance, as well as pension and profit sharing plans and retirement plans to businesses and consumers. The company operates 19 full service branches and 22 ATMs in the Kent County, Queen Anne?s County, Caroline County, Talbot County, and Dorchester County in Maryland, as well as in Kent County, Delaware. Shore Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1876 and is based in Easton, Maryland.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: SurModics Inc.(SRDX)

SurModics, Inc. provides drug delivery and surface modification technologies to the healthcare industry. The company offers surface modification coating technologies to enhance access, deliverability, and predictable deployment of medical devices, as well as drug delivery coating technologies to provide site-specific drug delivery from the surface of a medical device for the coronary, peripheral, neuro-vascular, and urology markets. It also provides a range of drug delivery technologies for injectable therapeutics, including microparticles, nanoparticles, and implants addressing a range of clinical applications, such as ophthalmology, oncology, dermatology, and neurology. In addition, the company provides in vitro diagnostic component products and technologies comprising microarray slide technologies, protein stabilization reagents, substrates, polymers and reagent chemicals, and antigens for diagnostic test kits and biomedical research applications. SurModics, Inc. market s its technologies and products worldwide through direct sales force consisting of sales professionals. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: National Australia Bank Ltd (NAB)

National Australia Bank Limited provides products, advice and services. In Australia, it operates through National Australia Bank, MLC and UBank. In the United Kingdom, it operates through Clydesdale Bank. In New Zealand, it operates through Bank of New Zealand. In the United States, it operates through Great Western Bank. Segments include Business Banking, Personal Banking, Wholesale Banking, UK Banking and NZ Banking, MLC and NAB and Great Western Ban. As of April 5, 2012, the Company and its associated entities ceased to be a substantial holder in BlueScope Steel Limited. On May 17, 2012, it ceased to be a substantial holder in Spark Infrastructure Group and Sandfire Resources NL. As of August 24, 2012, the Company and its associated entities ceased to be holder in Tabcorp Holdings Limited. In September 2012, the Company and its associated entities have ceased to be a substantial holder in Incitec Pivot Limited, as of August 30, 2012. Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dale Gillham]

    NAB is still a long way from its all-time high of $44.84 from 2007, but has so far been able to hold above 50 per cent ($22.42) of its all-time high, which is a positive sign. Given that NAB has spent a lot of time in a zigzag formation above this level; you can see how strong this level has been for its shares. At present NAB is probably my least preferred bank stocks when weighing up the risks from a technical perspective, but while it stays above this 50 per cent level it has a greater probability of rising than falling.

    What is holding it back? You can see how a few months ago NAB attempted to break the $26.00 level overhead, which has proven to be an important threshold for those just not willing to pay more for NAB. If you are a bit of a contrarian and like to pick underdogs, you may decide to keep NAB on your watch list because very soon I am expecting it to show where it is headed. A move back below the 50 per cent level would not bode well for those holding NAB.

Top 10 Defensive Companies To Own For 2014: Technical Communications Corporation(TCCO)

Technical Communications Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, markets, and sells communication security devices and systems worldwide. Its products are used to protect confidentiality in communications between radios, telephones, facsimile machines, and data processing equipment over wires, fiber optic cables, radio waves, and microwaves and satellite links. The company?s products include High Speed Data Encryptor, which provides cryptographic security for data networks operating at up to 34 million bits per second; Narrowband Radio Security family of products that offer security for voice and data communications sent over HF, VHF, and UHF channels; and Secure Telephone, Fax, and Data systems, which provide voice, fax, and data encryption in a telephone package. It also offers Secure Portable Telephone Attachment that provides digital security between telephone and handset; Fax Security System, an automatic transmission fax system, which connects to f acsimile machine; Executive Secure Telephone that offers voice and data security in a telephone package; and CipherTalk8000 and CipherSMS secure wireless product to provide encrypted mobile communications. In addition, the company offers CipherONE family of network security systems, which consist of hardware and software-based encryption products for local area network, wide area network, and Internet applications, as well as a network security management system. Further, it provides Frame Relay Network Encryptor; IP Network Encryptor for encryption security at the Internet protocol layer; and KEYNET Network Security Management System, a Windows NT-based key and security device management system. The company markets its products to governmental agencies, law enforcement agencies, financial institutions, and multinational companies requiring protection of mission-critical information. Technical Communications Corporation was founded in 1961 and is based in Concord, Massachuse tts.

3 Shares That Have Missed the FTSE 100 Rally

LONDON -- After rocketing 30% from its 52-week low, the FTSE 100 index has broken through the 6,800 mark and reached the highest level seen since 2000. The U.K.'s leading index is now within just 150 points of its all-time high of 6,930, reached at the height of the dot-com bubble.

Not all companies have joined in the great rally. As a contrarian investor, I'm always interested in stocks that are out of favor with the market. Unloved shares have the potential to be some of the best long-term investments.

Imperial Tobacco Group (LSE: IMT  ) (NASDAQOTH: ITYBY  ) , security firm G4S (LSE: GFS  ) , and temporary-power supplier Aggreko (LSE: AGK  ) have all sunk while the market has soared.

Imperial Tobacco
At a current price of 2,389 pence, Imperial Tobacco is down 9% from its 52-week high. The U.K.'s second-largest tobacco group is now trading on a forecast price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 for the year to September 2013 and offers a prospective dividend yield of 4.9%. Rival British American Tobacco is on a P/E of more than 16, with a yield of 4%.

Analysts forecast Imperial Tobacco's earnings will grow at an average of about 5% a year for this year and next, but they reckon British American Tobacco's growth will be nearer 10% a year.

Whatever British American Tobacco's prospects, Imperial's 4.9% yield and the potential for a rerating of the shares down the line make the stock an interesting long-term prospect for growth and income.

G4S
At a current price of 250 pence, G4S is down 20% from its 52-week high. A staffing fiasco at last year's Olympic Games hit the shares hard, and chief executive Nick Buckles has just stepped down after a series of embarrassments over the last few years.

The world's largest security firm is now trading on a forecast P/E of 11.4 for the year to December 2013, with a prospective dividend yield of 3.8%. Analysts are forecasting earnings growth of 4% for the current year, but they're expecting growth to accelerate to 10% by 2014.

Reputational damage doesn't last forever. Given that demand for security services around the world isn't likely to vanish anytime soon and that G4S generates almost a third of its revenue from high-growth developing markets, the longer-term prospects of this lately beleaguered company look rather promising.

Aggreko
At a current price of 1,858 pence, Aggreko is down 23% from its 52-week high. The global leader in the rental of temporary and emergency power-generation equipment issued two profit warnings in as many months at the back-end of 2012. The first warning was blamed on adverse currency movements and an increased provision for bad debts, the second on several factors, including the winding down of U.S. military operations in Afghanistan.

In these circumstances, you may be surprised to learn that Aggreko's shares are trading on a lofty forecast P/E of 19 for the year ending December 2013, particularly as earnings are forecast to fall 7%, with growth only resuming at 7% for 2014. During the period between 2008 and 2012, Aggreko's average annual earnings growth was 28%.

A P/E of 19 can certainly be justified when earnings growth is running at 28%, but does the company merit a premium rating when analysts are forecasting no earnings headway until at least 2015? On the positive side, the long-term structural drivers of growth for Aggreko's business certainly remain intact.

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Microsoft's New Toy Is a Preemptive Attack on Apple

A lot has been said about Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) Xbox One since it was introduced on Tuesday. However, here's something that you probably haven't heard: Xbox One is a preemptive strike on Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) .

Think about it. Apple is working on a smart television. Shortly before his death, Steve Jobs told his biographer that he had cracked the problem with smart TVs. CEO Tim Cook told NBC's Brian Williams -- on primetime television -- that it's an area of "intense interest" at Apple.

Let's dream out loud. What would an Apple smart TV do?

Well, thanks to the popularity of Siri, it's a safe bet that there would be some degree of voice recognition. Xbox One has that. "Watch TV" switches to live TV. "Watch AMC" switches the channel. "What's on HBO?" pulls up the channel's listings guide.

Apple's device would also probably incorporate FaceTime video chat. Yes, Microsoft's all over that. The Xbox One allows for Skype video chats -- with multiple users at the same time.

Naturally, there would be some App Store integration with live content, but Xbox One is there already. You can pull up personalized fantasy stats during NBA and NFL games. You can be playing a Blu-ray disc and switch to a split screen to pull up Internet Explorer to figure out where you know that actress from through IMDB or pull up movie ratings on Rotten Tomatoes.

App Store integration naturally means playing games on your TV, and Xbox One naturally will have Apple beat on that front.

The clincher here is that Microsoft already has tens of millions of active Xbox Live users. They all won't hop on the Xbox One platform right away, but they will over time as prices get cheaper.

However, as expensive as the Xbox One will be, a full blown Apple HDTV will probably cost more than a Microsoft console with an existing flat screen. Now that we know that Microsoft will have its new toy out in time for this year's holiday shopping season, it's not as if Apple can get a head start here.

The more you think about it, the more you may start to realize that Apple may already be too late.

The only way Apple could realistically have a game-changer in an Xbox One world would be to revolutionize pay TV. Rolling out a piecemeal service in which consumers pay only for the channels that they watch -- or the content that they watch -- would more than justify Apple's inevitably high price.

The problem, unfortunately, is that cable networks have every reason to be uncooperative here. They stand to lose big money if Apple disrupts cable and satellite television providers. If Apple hasn't been able to get iRadio off the ground as negotiations with the music labels have been reportedly rough, how is Apple going to talk studios and content creators to disrupt a model that will save consumers money at their expense?

The Xbox One is bigger blow to Apple than you might think.

Tech titans are going to war
It's incredible to think just how much of our digital and technological lives are almost entirely shaped and molded by just a handful of companies. Find out "Who Will Win the War Between the 5 Biggest Tech Stocks" in The Motley Fool's latest free report, which details the knock-down, drag-out battle being waged among the five kings of tech. Click here to keep reading.

Friday, May 24, 2013

Bank of America: Is the Hate Starting to Abate?

The city was ready with beefed-up police power, but the Bank of America (NYSE: BAC  ) annual meeting in Charlotte, North Carolina yesterday was pretty calm and cool. As usual, some protesters arrived with banners and signs -- but the 40 that showed up had nowhere near the disruptive effect of last year's estimated 600 detractors. Has B of A finally turned a corner, thanks to its new image-scrubbing strategy?

A tough time of year for big banks
Of course, Bank of America isn't the only big bank to face protests at annual meeting time -- both inside and out. Who can forget, for instance, the drubbing Citigroup's (NYSE: C  ) former CEO Vikram Pandit endured at the hands of Citi stockholders at the 2012 annual meeting? Or, how just last month, PNC's (NYSE: PNC  ) meeting was called to a halt because of an environmental protest led by Quakers?

Annual meeting time can be a stressful time for banks. Just ask Jamie Dimon, who is scheduled to face JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM  ) shareholders on May 21. The heat will be turned up high even for Tampa, as Dimon faces a stockholder vote on whether the dual role of board chair and CEO, both of which Dimon now holds, should be separated. Still stinging from the London Whale fiasco, the Bank of Dimon has had new problems crop up as well -- like the Wells notice it just received from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission regarding dubious energy deals.

For Bank of America, however, things are going swimmingly. Shareholders elected all board nominees, and one indoor protester actually sang, instead of shouting. And, despite all the less-than-encouraging news breaking this week about mortgage-related lawsuits and B of A, the stock has been skyrocketing -- making it above the $13 mark yesterday, where, at least so far today, it has remained. Is Bank of America back? It certainly looks that way, don't you think?

Bank of America's stock doubled in 2012 -- and it looks like more is in store for 2013.  With significant challenges still ahead, however, it's critical to have a solid understanding of this megabank before adding it to your portfolio. In The Motley Fool's premium research report on B of A, analysts Anand Chokkavelu, CFA, and Matt Koppenheffer, Financials bureau chief, lift the veil on the bank's operations, including detailing three reasons to buy and three reasons to sell. Click here now to claim your copy.

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The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

It's a Kind of Magic: What Pandora and Netflix Have in Common

If you're a Pandora Media (NYSE: P  ) investor, you probably know these passages by heart:

Each song in the Music Genome Project is analyzed using up to 450 distinct musical characteristics by a trained music analyst. These attributes capture not only the musical identity of a song, but also the many significant qualities that are relevant to understanding the musical preferences of listeners....

By utilizing the wealth of musicological information stored in the Music Genome Project, Pandora recognizes and responds to each individual's tastes. The result is a much more personalized radio experience -- stations that play music you'll love -- and nothing else.

This approach is at the heart of the Pandora experience. Drop some hints about what you like into Pandora's rich database of song descriptions, and its algorithms will figure out what else you might enjoy. The result is not only a reliable source of stuff you already know you like, but also a way to expand your musical horizons to similar but unfamiliar content. Sometimes you might not even know why you like that new track Pandora puts in front of you, but can't help snapping your fingers anyway. It's a kind of magic.

Now, consider this discussion from Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX  ) content guru Ted Sarandos in a recent interview with The Hollywood Reporter:

With House of Cards, it was identifying not just somebody who saw The Social Network or liked David Fincher but trying to figure out what everybody who liked Benjamin Button, Seven, Fight Club and Social Network have in common. It's that they love David Fincher's style of storytelling. They may not even be able to identify him by name, but we know from their behavior that that's who they are.

Sound familiar? It should. Netflix is creating exactly the kind of magic that Pandora does, only in a different medium and with a different strategy to exploit it.

Pandora grabs your input (conscious or not), and turns it right back at you, creating personalized radio stations at the drop of a hat. Netflix runs the same kind of analysis, but uses it in two different ways:

To figure out which shows and movies to put front and center on your Netflix.com page, as well as the various menu systems on set-top boxes, tablet apps, and smartphone apps.

To leverage the information to build a stronger content library, either by buying the rights to existing content that is likely to increase customer engagement, or by making new content with similarly high chances of success.

It's the same idea applied to two different markets. Netflix is banking on this tool to help it grow two or three times as large as HBO in the American subscription video market, while building data-driven services on a global level. Pandora can't run its business without the data analysis tactic, which sets it apart from a rising tide of fresh competitors.

If you like one of these stocks due to its content-finding genius, you should look into the other one, as well. Netflix currently serves my own portfolio with aplomb, and I'm always looking for Pandora's strained margins to turn a corner and make me invest. Neither company would be interesting to me without these homespun crystal balls, built on real user input.

Or so my database of investor preferences tells me, anyhow.

What's inside the red envelope
Want to learn more about the DVD and streaming purveyor? The Motley Fool has released a premium report on Netflix. Inside, you'll learn about the key opportunities and risks facing the company, as well as reasons to buy or sell the stock. The report includes a full year of updates to cover critical new developments, so make sure to click here and claim a copy today.

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These Stocks Still Managed to Win This Week

Despite the overall downward trend this week that left the broader market down 1.6%, a few stocks were still able to outperform.

In this video, Motley Fool financial analysts David Hanson and Matt Koppenheffer take a look at the financial sector and highlight for investors three stocks that made solid gains this week. Among them, JPMorgan Chase  (NYSE: JPM  ) made a move upward now that the shareholder vote on Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon retaining both of his roles has passed. The guys also discuss two solid stable banking stocks that can stay flat or even make upward movements, even during market pullbacks.

With big finance firms still trading at deep discounts to their historic norms, investors everywhere are wondering if this is the new normal, or whether finance stocks are a screaming buy today. The answer depends on the company, so to help figure out whether U.S. Bancorp is a buy today, I invite you to read our premium research report on the company today. Click here now for instant access!

 

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The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

Wall Street Bets Big on This Solar Stock

Who said solar energy wasn't a worthwhile investment? It certainly wasn't Goldman Sachs. The company just announced a financing deal with SolarCity (NASDAQ: SCTY  ) for $500 million to provide upfront costs to install panels for SolarCity's clients. Based on SolarCity's business model, this isn't just charity on Goldman's part. 

This $500 million from Goldman is just the tip of the iceberg. The company plans to invest $40 billion in alternative energy over the next 10 years. According to Fool.com contributor Tyler Crowe, the prospects for this investment look pretty promising. Tyler discusses why Goldman sees so much potential in SolarCity and points out some other promising trends in the solar market that could mean good things going forward.

Just like how Goldman adeptly managed its way through th financial crisis, the company is particularly good at finding value in the market. So when it the company makes such a bold statement about solar energy, it is certainly worth taking note. Is Goldman one of the best opportunities in the market today? To answer that question, I invite you to check out The Motley Fool's special report on the bank. In it, Fool banking expert Matt Koppenheffer uncovers the key issues facing Goldman, including three specific areas Goldman investors must watch. To get access to this report, just click here.

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More Expert Advice from The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014

Investors appear to be waving off growth concerns this week as U.S. stocks claw back some of last week's losses. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC  ) and the narrower, price-weighted Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) were up 0.67% and 0.78%, respectively, at 10:05 a.m. EDT.

DuPont's got the weather on its side
Chemicals manufacturer DuPont (NYSE: DD  ) released its first-quarter results this morning, and the sun shone on its fortunes -- literally. The company recorded operating earnings-per-share of $1.56, beating the consensus estimate of $1.52, thanks to record earnings in the agriculture segment as dry weather encouraged U.S. farmers to buy its new seed and crop protection products. At $10.41 billion, revenue was exactly in line with Wall Street expectations.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Linde AG (LNAGF)

Linde AG is a German company engaged in the gases and engineering sector. It operates two divisions: Gases and Engineering, as core divisions, as well as Gist. The Gases Division includes Healthcare, producing medical gases; and Tonnage, as its two global business units; as well as the two business areas Merchant and Packaged Gases, offering liquefied and cylinder gases, and Electronics. The Company�� products are used in the energy sector, for steel production, chemical processing, environmental protection and welding, as well as in food processing, glass production and electronics. The Engineering division offers planning, project development and construction of turnkey industrial plants used in fields, such as petrochemical and chemical industries, in refineries and fertilizer plants, to recover air gases, to produce hydrogen and synthesis gases, to treat natural gas, and in the pharmaceutical industry. As of August 13, 2012, the Company acquired Lincare Holdings Inc.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc.(POT)

Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc. produces and sells fertilizers and related industrial and feed products primarily in the United States and Canada. The company mines and produces potash, which is used as fertilizer. It also offers solid and liquid phosphate fertilizers; animal feed supplements; and industrial acids that are used in food products and industrial processes. In addition, the company produces nitrogen fertilizers, as well as nitrogen feed and industrial products, including ammonia, urea, nitrogen solutions, ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid. Further, it holds the right to mine 785,759 acres of land in Saskatchewan; and 58,263 acres of land in New Brunswick in Canada. The company sells its fertilizers primarily to retailers, dealers, co-operatives, distributors, and other fertilizer producers; industrial products primarily to chemical product manufacturers; and purified phosphoric acid directly to consumers of the product. Potash Corporation was founded i n 1953 and is based in Saskatoon, Canada.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Sam Collins]

    Canadian integrated fertilizer and feed products company, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT), has been in a bull market since late 2008. Since then, it has risen from $18 to over $63.

    It is the world’s largest diversified fertilizer company and, thus, in a unique position to supply the needed nutrients to grow crops for Third World countries that are in need of grain products. Several research analysts have recently raised their opinion on POT from “hold” to “buy,” including Canaccord Genuity and Gleacher & Company. POT has also been the subject of takeover rumors, but thus far, nothing has developed.?

    Technically, the stock is in a long-term bull market. In December, POT broke out from a five-month consolidation, and last week, our in-house Collins-Bollinger Reversal (CBR) indicator issued a buy signal along with a buy from the slow stochastic. The two-month target for POT is $72, but it can be bought as a long-term position, as well.?

  • [By Fabian]

    Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT) produces fertilizers, agricultural
    chemicals and feed products — primarily its namesake “potash,” or potassium carbonate mixed with other nutrients. Though this company is down dramatically from its highs in 2008, I think POT has bottomed out and now investor sentiment is turning around.

    For instance, Potash’s moved 1.1 million tons of crop nutrients in the fourth quarter, which was down compared to the previous quarter, but the 23% slide was a dramatic improvement over the 65% decline for the full year. Potash has been struggling to find a right production target, and I feel like the company is close to an effective target.

    What’s more, potash prices could be on the rise globally after leading exporter Belarussian Potash Co. boosted prices by more than 6% in Brazil and Asia. That means companies like POT can also command a higher price — and deliver bigger profits going forward.

  • [By Vita]

    People need to eat. Potash increases the yield of fertilizer. And in an overpopulated world with people moving into urban areas (less farmers feeding more mouths), demand will spike for whatever can increase that yield. Potash's stock is closely correlated to prices of the product Potash. It's worth noting that the stock represents billionaire financier George Soros's third largest position. Goldman Sachs just raised its rating on the the stock, saying "Investors are likely underestimating the 2012 US demand recovery that could see staggering yoy [year- over-year] percent increases in volume given the depth of the 2011 reduction and the atypically weak fall consumption levels."

5 Best Prefered Stocks To Buy Right Now: E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company(DD)

E. I. du Pont de Nemours and Company operates as a science and technology company worldwide. It operates in seven segments: Agriculture & Nutrition, Electronics & Communications, Performance Chemicals, Performance Coatings, Performance Materials, Safety & Protection, and Pharmaceuticals. The Agriculture & Nutrition segment provides hybrid seed corn and soybean seed, herbicides, fungicides, insecticides, value enhanced grains, and soy protein under the Pioneer brand name. The Electronics & Communications segment supplies materials and systems for photovoltaic products, consumer electronics, displays, and advanced printing. The Performance Chemicals segment offers fluorochemicals, fluoropolymers, specialty and industrial chemicals, and white pigments for various markets, such as plastics and coatings, textiles, mining, pulp and paper, water treatment, and healthcare. The Performance Coatings segment supplies high performance liquid and powder coatings for motor vehicle origi nal equipment manufacturers (OEM); the motor vehicle after-market; and general industrial applications, such as such as coatings for heavy equipment, pipes and appliances, and electrical insulation. The Performance Materials segment provides polymers, elastomers, films, parts, and systems and solutions for the automotive OEM and associated after-market industries, as well as electrical, electronics, packaging, construction, oil, photovoltaics, aerospace, chemical processing, and consumer durable goods. The Safety & Protection segment primarily offers nonwovens, aramids, and solid surfaces for the construction, transportation, communications, industrial chemicals, oil and gas, electric utilities, automotive, manufacturing, defense, homeland security, and safety consulting industries. The Pharmaceuticals segment represents its interest in the collaboration relating to Cozaar/Hyzaar antihypertensive drugs. The company was founded in 1802 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Dela ware.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Fitz Gerald]

    DuPont rated very well on our EquityAnalytics scoring led by its focus on specialty chemicals that have higher economic moats than more general chemicals that have higher competition. The company, additionally, offers an outstanding dividend at 3.5%. We believe the company is also undervalued at a 12.7 PE ratio and should be trading at a higher multiple in 2012. The company has done a solid job of improving profitability over the past three years, and we believe that improvement should continue in 2012. If margins do get a bump, the PE ratio becomes even more suspect at these levels. We have a $59 PT.

    Allocation: $2500

    Entry: 46.85

    Target: $51.54, $56.22, and $59

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Huntsman Corporation(HUN)

Huntsman Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of differentiated organic and inorganic chemical products worldwide. The company offers polyurethane chemicals, including methyl diphenyl diisocyanate, propylene oxide, polyols, propylene glycol, thermoplastic polyurethane, aniline, and methyl tertiary-butyl ether products, which are used to produce rigid and flexible foams, as well as coatings, adhesives, sealants, and elastomers; and performance products, such as amines, carbonates, surfactants, linear alkyl benzene, maleic anhydride, performance chemicals, ethylene glycol, olefins, and technology licenses. It also provides advanced materials comprising epoxy resin compounds and formulations; cross-linking, matting agents, and curing agents; and epoxy, acrylic and polyurethane-based adhesives, and tooling resin formulations. In addition, Huntsman Corporation offers textile chemicals, dyes, and titanium dioxide. The company?s products are used in various applicatio ns, including adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, durable and non-durable consumer products, electronics, medical, packaging, paints and coatings, power generation, refining, synthetic fiber, textile chemicals, and dye industries. Huntsman Corporation was founded in 1970 and is based in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Michael]

    Huntsman Corporation (HUN) engages in the manufacture and sale of differentiated organic and inorganic chemical products on a global scale. It has also been given a buy-rating by UBS Investment Research. UBS estimates that for every 10% change in the margin of Propylene Oxide, earnings per share would change b y 5 cents for Huntsman Corporation. Shares of the company are currently trading at $11.2 per share and have traded between $8.13 and $21.52 over the last 52 weeks. Calanese Corporation (CE), a manufacturer and marketer of chemical products, is a competitor of Huntsman Corporation. Huntsman reported a dividend yield of 3.6%, while Calanese reported a dividend yield of 0.5%. Return-on-equity was reported at 10.5% for Huntsman and 51.6% for Calanese. Calanese also generated higher profit and operating margins than Huntsman. There were equal number of hedge funds in each stock, however hedge funds' bet more dollars on Calanese. One of our favorite hedge funds, Third Point, initiated a brand new position in CE during the third quarter. That's why we pick CE over HUN.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Airgas Inc.(ARG)

Airgas, Inc., through its subsidiaries, distributes industrial, medical, and specialty gases, as well as hardgoods in the United States. The company offers various gases, including nitrogen, oxygen, argon, helium, and hydrogen; welding and fuel gases, such as acetylene, propylene, and propane; and carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, ultra high purity grades, special application blends, and process chemicals. Its hardgoods products comprise welding consumables and equipment, safety products, and construction supplies, as well as maintenance, repair, and operating supplies. The company also engages in the rental of gas cylinders, cryogenic liquid containers, bulk storage tanks, tube trailers, and welding and welding related equipment. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes liquid carbon dioxide, dry ice, nitrous oxide, ammonia, refrigerant gases, and atmospheric merchant gases. It serves repair and maintenance, industrial manufacturing, energy and infrastructure co nstruction, medical, petrochemical, food and beverage, retail and wholesale, analytical, utilities, and transportation industries. The company operates an integrated network of approximately 1100 locations, including branches, retail stores, packaged gas fill plants, specialty gas labs, production facilities, and distribution centers. Additionally, it provides retail solutions to retail customers, such as florists, grocers, restaurants and bars, tire and automotive service centers, and others. The company markets its products through multiple sales channels, including branch-based sales representatives, retail stores, strategic customer account programs, telesales, catalogs, e-business, and independent distributors. Airgas, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Radnor, Pennsylvania.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Tom Bishop]

    Airgas Inc. (NYSE:ARG) was also the subject of a takeover bid, this one a little unwelcome. The company received a bid from Air Products (NYSE:APD) at $60 per share, a 38% premium from where the stock had been trading.

    Airgas rejected the offer claiming that the offer "very significantly undervalues Airgas and its future prospects and is not in the best interests of Airgas stockholders." Airgas finished up 39% in February 2010, and is currently trading at $65 per share as the market is anticipating a possible higher bid.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Ashland Inc. (ASH)

Ashland Inc. operates as a specialty chemicals company in the United States and internationally. Its Ashland Aqualon Functional Ingredients segment produces cellulose ethers; and specialty additives and functional ingredients. Its products offer functionality, such as thickening and rheology control; water retention; adhesive strength; binding power; film formation; protective colloid, suspending, and emulsifying action; foam control; and pH stability. The company?s Ashland Hercules Water Technologies segment manufactures papermaking chemicals and supplies specialty chemicals. It offers sizing agents, wet/dry strength additives, and crepe and release additives for tissue manufacturing; and deposit control agents, defoamers, biocides, and other process additives. This segment also provides specialized chemicals and consulting services for the utility water treatment; and performance-based feed and control systems; and monitoring devices and remote system surveillance. Its A shland Performance Materials segment manufactures and supplies specialty chemicals and customized services to the building and construction, transportation, metal casting, packaging and converting, and marine markets. It also offers unsaturated polyester and vinyl ester resins, and gelcoats; adhesives and specialty resins; and metal casting consumables and design services. The company?s Ashland Consumer Markets segment produces and markets packaged automotive lubricants, chemicals, appearance products, antifreeze, and filters to the private passenger car, light truck, and heavy duty markets. It also operates a quick-lube franchise under the name of Valvoline Instant Oil Change. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Covington, Kentucky.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Zoltek Companies Inc (ZOLT)

Zoltek Companies, Inc. is a holding company, which operates through wholly owned subsidiaries, Zoltek Corporation, Zoltek Zrt., Zoltek de Mexico SA de CV, Zoltek de Occidente SA de CV, Engineering Technology Corporation (Entec Composite Machines), Zoltek Properties, Inc., and Zoltek Automotive, LLC. Zoltek Corporation (Zoltek) develops, manufactures and markets carbon fibers and technical fibers in the United States. The Company is an applied technology and advanced materials company. It commercialization of carbon fiber through composites used in a range of commercial products, which it sells under the Panex trade name. In addition to manufacturing carbon fiber, it produces an intermediate product, a stabilized and oxidized acrylic fiber used in flame- and heat-resistant applications, which it sells under the Pyron trade name. During fiscal year ended September 30, 2011 (fiscal 2011), its net sales to Vestas Wind Systems, a wind turbine manufacturer represented % of its net sales. In October 2011, Zoltek purchased a building in St. Peters, Missouri to house its prepreg operations.

Zoltek Zrt. is a Hungarian subsidiary that manufactures and markets carbon fibers and technical fibers and manufactures acrylic fiber precursor raw material used in production of carbon fibers and technical fibers. Zoltek de Mexico SA de CV and Zoltek de Occidente SA de CV are Mexican subsidiaries that manufacture carbon fiber and precursor raw material. Entec Composite Machines manufactures and markets filament winding and pultrusion equipment used in the production composite parts. The Company�� sales markets are in Europe and the United States. The Company has manufacturing plants in Nyergesujfalu, Hungary, Guadalajara, Mexico, Abilene, Texas and St. Charles, Missouri. Its Texas plant houses carbon fiber manufacturing lines and value-added processing capabilities. Its Missouri plant is engaged in the production of technical fibers for aircraft brake and other friction applications and also produces limited! amounts of carbon fibers. In addition, it has facilities in Salt Lake City, Utah where it designs and builds composite manufacturing equipment and produce resin pre-impregnated carbon fibers, called prepregs. It performs certain downstream processing, such as weaving, knitting, blending with other fibers, chopping and milling and preparation of pre-form, pre-cut stacks of fabric. In addition, its Salt Lake City-based Entec Composite Machines subsidiary designs and builds composite manufacturing equipment and markets the equipment along with manufacturing technology and materials. It also provides composite design and engineering for development of applications for carbon fiber reinforced composites.

The Company competes with Hexcel Corporation, Cytec Industries, Toray Group, Toho Tenax, Mitsubishi Chemical and SGL Carbon.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Tom Konrad]

    Zoltek is a leading manufacturer of carbon fiber, which are used for a wide variety of applications requiring high strength to weight ratios.  Consumers may be familiar with carbon fiber tennis rackets and racing bicycles, but carbon fiber is also used to manufacture wind turbine blades (Zolek's largest source of revenue) and to replace heavier steel and aluminum in transportation applications such as Boeing's Dreamliner 787, performance cars and electric vehicles.  I think it's likely that automakers pursuit of fuel efficiency standards will lead to more carbon fiber being used in more mass market vehicles to reduce weight and lead to improved fuel economy without sacrificing safety.

    The company never recovered from its fall in 2008-9, but company insiders, including its CEO have been buying ZOLT shares since it fell to the $10 range last year, and the company's fundamentals have been improving even as the stock traded basically flat for the last 3 years.  Having lost money in 2010 and 2011, Zoltek made a profit of $0.66 per share on record sales in its Fiscal 2012, which ended on September 30th.  Analysts expect $0.52 per share earnings in 2013, for a forward P/E of 14.  The company has a strong balance sheet with no net debt and several unused lines of credit at favorable interest rates, and the company has several opportunities to achieve high growth as carbon fiber usage expands in its existing markets and breaks into new markets.

    One misgiving I've long had about Zoltek is the centralization of power in the hands of its Founder, Chairman, President, and CEO Zsolt Rumy. This concern is ameliorated by his recent stock purchases.  These, along with the historically low valuation, led me to add Zoltek to my annual clean energy stock list for the first time.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Linde AG (LNAGF.PK)

Linde AG is a German company engaged in the gases and engineering sector. It operates two divisions: Gases and Engineering, as core divisions, as well as Gist. The Gases Division includes Healthcare, producing medical gases; and Tonnage, as its two global business units; as well as the two business areas Merchant and Packaged Gases, offering liquefied and cylinder gases, and Electronics. The Company�� products are used in the energy sector, for steel production, chemical processing, environmental protection and welding, as well as in food processing, glass production and electronics. The Engineering division offers planning, project development and construction of turnkey industrial plants used in fields, such as petrochemical and chemical industries, in refineries and fertilizer plants, to recover air gases, to produce hydrogen and synthesis gases, to treat natural gas, and in the pharmaceutical industry. As of August 13, 2012, the Company acquired Lincare Holdings Inc.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: Bacanora Minerals Ltd (BCN)

Bacanora Minerals Ltd. (Bacanora) is an exploration-stage company. The Company is a mining company engaged in exploration for mineral deposits in Mexico. The Company�� mineral properties include Tubutama Borate, Magdalena Borate and Sonora Lithium. The Company�� exploration activities include Borate Properties and Lithium Property. Mineramex Limited is the Company�� wholly owned subsidiary, whose assets consist of 99.9% interest of Minera Sonora Borax, S.A. de C.V. (MSB) and 60% interest of Minerales Industriales Tubutama, S.A. de C.V. (MIT). Tubutama Borate project consists of six mining concessions with a total area of 1,661 hectares. The concessions are located 15 kilometers from the town of Tubutama, and they are 100% owned by MIT. The Magdalena Borate project consists of seven concessions, with a total area of 15,508 hectares. The concessions are located 15 kilometers from the city of Magdalena and the city of Santa Ana, and are 100% owned by MSB.

Top 10 Chemical Stocks For 2014: PPG Industries Inc.(PPG)

PPG Industries, Inc. manufactures and supplies protective and decorative coatings. The company offers coatings products for automotive and commercial transport/fleet repair and refurbishing, specialty coatings for signs, and light industrial coatings; and sealants, coatings, and technical cleaners/transparencies for commercial, military, regional jet, general aviation aircraft, and transparent armor for military land vehicles. It also provides coatings and finishes for the protection of metals and structures to metal fabricators, heavy duty maintenance contractors, and manufacturers of ships, bridges, rail cars, and shipping containers; and coatings to painting and maintenance contractors. In addition, PPG sells industrial and automotive coatings to manufacturing companies; adhesives and sealants for the automotive industry; metal pretreatments and related chemicals; and coatings and inks for aerosol, food, and beverage containers. Further, it supplies lenses, sunlenses, a nd optical lens materials; amorphous precipitated silicas for tire and battery separator markets; and Teslin substrate used in radio frequency identification tags and labels, e-passports, drivers? licenses, and identification cards applications. Additionally, PPG offers chlor-alkali and derivative products, such as chlorine, caustic soda, vinyl chloride monomer, chlorinated solvents, calcium hypochlorite, ethylene dichloride, hydrochloric acid, and phosgene derivatives to chemical processing, rubber and plastics, paper, minerals, metals, and water treatment industries. It also produces flat glass and continuous-strand fiber glass for commercial and residential construction, wind energy, energy infrastructure, transportation, and electronics industries. PPG sells its products through company-owned stores, home centers, paint dealers, and independent distributors, as well as directly to customers worldwide. The company was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pe nnsylvania.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

What Are the City's Expectations for Tesco's Profits?

LONDON -- When weighing up a potential investment, it's useful to look forward rather than backward. If you buy a stake in a business, it's the future profits that count -- and the stock market will value your shares based on future expectations.

With that in mind, it can be helpful to review what expert City analysts are expecting a company to earn in the coming years. These expectations can be compared to the share price, to give you a better idea of how the stock market is valuing the business.

Today, I'm looking at the earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for Tesco  (LSE: TSCO  ) (NASDAQOTH: TSCDY  ) , the FTSE 100 supermarket giant. All my figures are courtesy of S&P Capital IQ.

Analysts expect Tesco to earn 33 pence per share this year. Compared to today's share price of 380 pence, the market is valuing Tesco's shares on a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 11.5.

However, analysts are far from agreed on this year's estimates, with different experts forecasting earnings per share ranging widely between 21 pence, and 38 pence.

The consensus then calls for an improvement in Tesco's earnings for 2015, with EPS estimates climbing to 35 pence. If these earnings were achieved, the company would have returned to the record per-share profits achieved between 2011 and 2012.

The data indicates Tesco's revenues could grow 4.5% annually in the next two years, from 64 billion pounds today to over 70 billion pounds by 2015.

These quietly optimistic expectations reflect both Tesco's modest valuation, and the market's confidence in the retailer's exceptional track record. But is the market failing to fully appreciate Tesco's rapidly growing international presence? Or is the supermarket giant past its best-before date?

Whether these projections and the current valuation make the shares of Tesco "fairly priced" is for you to decide.

However, one legendary U.K. investor who has fallen out of love with Tesco is super-investor Neil Woodford. In 2012, he famously sold his position in the retailing giant and, instead, bought the shares of one other British supermarket.

We've detailed Woodford's market-thrashing approach, and some of his current high-yielding stock picks in the exclusive Motley Fool report, "8 Shares Held by Britain's Super Investor."

Just click here for your free report!

link

How Foot Locker Plans to Jump Higher

Tomorrow, Foot Locker (NYSE: FL  ) will release its latest quarterly results. The key to making smart investment decisions on stocks reporting earnings is to anticipate how they'll do before they announce results, leaving you fully prepared to respond quickly to whatever inevitable surprises arise. That way, you'll be less likely to make an uninformed kneejerk reaction to news that turns out to be exactly the wrong move.

With its traditional business model of selling name-brand athletic apparel and shoes from a variety of manufacturers, Foot Locker looks like an old-style retailer compared to the direct-to-retail brand-name stores that have popped up in recent years. Yet, despite the challenges of increased competition, the retailer hasn't shied away from making moves to boost its own future prospects. Let's take an early look at what's been happening with Foot Locker over the past quarter, and what we're likely to see in its quarterly report.

Stats on Foot Locker

Analyst EPS Estimate

$0.88

Change From Year-Ago EPS

6%

Revenue Estimate

$1.63 billion

Change From Year-Ago Revenue

3.5%

Earnings Beats in Past 4 Quarters

3

Source: Yahoo! Finance.

Can Foot Locker's earnings run faster this quarter?
Analysts have recently cut back their views on Foot Locker's earnings prospects, reducing their earnings-per-share estimates for the April quarter by $0.02, and cutting $0.03 per share from their consensus for the current fiscal year. The stock, though, has managed to post modest gains of almost 6% since mid-February.

Foot Locker has been riding a wave of strong growth lately, with its previous quarterly report showing earnings gains of 28% on 14% higher revenue, and same-store sales gains of nearly 8%. Even though the stock dropped on the news because expectations were even higher, the retailer's performance is impressive given the amount of competition Foot Locker faces. In particular, Nike's retail stores put the shoe giant in the awkward position of competing with Foot Locker and other traditional retailers, and that's a tough line for both Nike and Foot Locker to walk.

One key to Foot Locker's success has been its emphasis on basketball shoes, which should produce even better results this quarter as the NBA season entered the playoffs. By contrast, Finish Line has struggled to find its own niche, looking to capture more of the running-shoe market, but still largely missing out on other key segments.

Moreover, Foot Locker has made moves to expand its geographical breadth. Earlier this month, it announced the purchase of Germany's Runners Point for $94 million. The purchase might seem questionable, given Europe's weakness, but the low price tag suggests that Foot Locker got a bargain in the deal, and when Europe recovers, Runners Point could really pay off for the company.

In Foot Locker's quarterly report, watch for CEO Ken Hicks to discuss his long-term vision for Europe and the rest of the company. Given the transformative efforts that Hicks has made at the company, investors should feel confident about Foot Locker's prospects going forward.

The retail space is in the midst of the biggest paradigm shift since mail order took off at the turn of last century. Only those most forward-looking and capable companies will survive, and they'll handsomely reward those investors who understand the landscape. You can read about the 3 Companies Ready to Rule Retail in The Motley Fool's special report. Uncovering these top picks is free today; just click here to read more.

Click here to add Foot Locker to My Watchlist, which can find all of our Foolish analysis on it and all your other stocks.

Mortgage Rates Up for Third Straight Week

Kemper Names New P&C CFO

The property and casualty business of insurance company Kemper  (NYSE: KMPR  ) has a new bean counter.

On Monday, the Chicago-based insurance company announced that Elizabeth "Libbie" Bock will take on the role of CFO for the P&C division, where she would be responsible for all aspects of operations, reporting, control, planning and analysis, financial management, and competitive analysis.

Bock, who comes with more than 11 years of experience in financial leadership roles, will report to Denise I. Lynch, Kemper's group executive, and who says of the new CFO, "Her leadership, experience, and insights will help us build even deeper financial acumen throughout the businesses."

Bock was with Experian until her appointment with Kemper, and before that she held various financial leadership positions at The Hartford. She was also a senior consultant with Towers Perrin and has served as coordinator for international affairs, in the Office of the Governor for the Mie Prefectural Government in Japan.

Details on Bock's compensation package have not yet been filed with the SEC.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

2 Winners and 1 Loser From The New Xbox

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT  ) left out some key details in its next-gen console unveiling this week. For example, Mr. Softy didn't disclose either the price or the actual release date for the Xbox One.

But one thing we do know is that the console is already making new friends -- and creating new enemies.

The Xbox One console. Source: Microsoft.

Left out in the cold
Video-game retailer GameStop (NYSE: GME  ) , for one, can't be impressed with what Microsoft just unveiled. The new Xbox console won't accept games made for the current Xbox 360. And considering that console has been the top-selling one in the U.S. for 21 months straight, there will be a mountain of used games that won't have much value to gamers who upgrade this year.

That should make for an especially bumpy console transition for GameStop, which pulls its highest profit margins from selling used games. Last year the company logged a 48% gross profit on those sales, versus just 22% on sales of new video games. GameStop can expect new software sales to jump as the Microsoft and Sony systems hit the market this fall, but its used video-game business will take a painful hit.

#Winning
Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI  ) , on the other hand, must be all smiles. In a product demonstration that was light on actual gaming features, Activision's new Call of Duty game was the only title that got center-stage attention.

Activision is aiming to keep that profitable franchise on top through the volatile transition to the next generation of consoles. And a close partnership with Mr. Softy at launch will help as it takes on rival Electronic Arts this fall.

And chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD  ) got a boost, too, as Microsoft confirmed a switch over to its products. AMD will also be providing chips for the Sony PlayStation 4, giving it a near lock on the game console market.

But probably the biggest benefit from Microsoft's chip switch is that developers can more easily create games for both major systems now. Console makers will need to do everything they can to get developers on board, as their attention is on smartphones and tablets, where the explosive sales growth has been lately.

With game developers happy, that leaves just one group left to please. And it's the most important one, consumers, who will have their say starting in the fall.

Game on
It's been a frustrating path for Microsoft investors, who've watched the company fail to capitalize on the incredible growth in mobile over the past decade. However, with the release of its own tablet, along with the widely anticipated Windows 8 operating system, the company is looking to make a splash in this booming market. In a new premium report on Microsoft, a Motley Fool analyst explains that while the opportunity is huge, so are the challenges. The report includes regular updates as key events occur, so make sure to claim a copy of this report now by clicking here.

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More Expert Advice from The Motley Fool
The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

2 Stocks to Watch Right Now

The following video is from Wednesday's Investor Beat, in which host Chris Hill and analysts Matt Koppenheffer and Matt Argersinger dissect the hardest-hitting investing stories of the day.

In this installment of Investor Beat, our Motley Fool analysts share two stocks on their radar. Matt has GameStop (NYSE: GME  ) on his mind, and Matt is watching Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY  ) .

There's no question Annaly Capital's double-digit dividend is eye-catching. But can investors count on that payout sticking around? With the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates at historically low levels, Annaly has had to scramble to defend its bottom line. In The Motley Fool's premium research report on Annaly, senior analysts Ilan Moscovitz and Matt Koppenheffer uncover the key challenges the company faces and divulge three reasons investors may consider buying it. Simply click here now to claim your copy today!

The relevant video segment can be found between 5:28 and 7:05.

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The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

These Companies Really Do Want to Make Your Life Better

As an investor, I always love finding companies that positively shape the way we do things.

More important, I admire businesses that can do so with every intention of not only inflating their own bank accounts, but also genuinely striving to improve their customers' lives.

The building blocks of success
Last month, the folks at AdWeek astutely described "How Lego Became the Most Valuable Toy Company in the World."

Of course, one stroll down the toy aisle can tell you that Lego has made the most of its licensing deals with megabrands like Star Wars, Harry Potter, Winnie the Pooh, and a variety of Marvel and DC Comics properties, to name only a few.

However, Lego can also largely thank its decades-long dominance to its focus on bolstering kids' creativity. In fact, Lego's stated mission is "to inspire and develop the builders of tomorrow by engaging children across the world in positive play and hands-on, minds-on creativity."

According to Lego brand relations director Michael McNally:

It's really about getting as many kids as possible to build. Every time a child engages in that, she's learning really important life skills -- she just doesn't know it. It's about patience and persistence, and trial and error, and at the end, she's really proud of what she built.

Unfortunately for us, Lego is currently a privately held company, so everyday investors can't simply buy its shares through their favorite discount broker.

That said, here are four other companies who really do want to make your life better -- and whose stocks you can buy:

Whole Foods Market (NASDAQ: WFM  ) -- "America's healthiest grocery store"
The team at Whole Foods has long made clear their mission, which includes holding to a central list of core values they describe as the steady "underpinning of our company culture." Among the items on that list are "selling the highest quality natural and organic products available," "satisfying and delighting our customers," "supporting team member excellence and happiness," "caring about our communities and our environment," and "creating wealth through profits and growth."

Of course, many investors are most excited about that last item, and Whole Foods has certainly delivered on that promise by helping early shareholders return more than 36 times their initial investment over the past 20 years. Even so, I think Whole Foods has plenty of growth left, so I put my money where my mouth is and bought Whole Foods stock for the first time last month.
 
LeapFrog (NYSE: LF  ) -- "We put learning first -- a philosophy that distinguishes us from our competitors and fuels the entire company."
Anyone who has kids knows how effective LeapFrog's products can be. In fact, my own children frequently request LeapFrog's educational programs on Netflix. Even better, our 2-year-old surprised us earlier this year by recognizing and saying the name of every letter in the alphabet as I randomly pointed them out -- something we had worked on a little, but with which I'm sure LeapFrog lent its helping hand.

If that weren't enough, the company also managed to beat first-quarter earnings estimates earlier this month, is generating tons of cash, and looks cheap, as it currently trades for just 13 times next year's estimated earnings.

Google (NASDAQ: GOOG  ) -- "To organize the world's information and make it universally accessible and useful."
The world's largest search engine needs little introduction, and, like Whole Foods, maintains its own philosophy with 10 beliefs to guide its actions. Perhaps most pertinent to this conversation, however, are "Focus on the user and all else will follow" and "You can make money without doing evil."

In the end, you'd be hard-pressed to find someone whose life hasn't been affected for the better by Google, and I don't think it's any coincidence that Google stock is currently trading near all-time highs.

SodaStream (NASDAQ: SODA  ) : "To revolutionize the beverage industry by providing a better alternative and environmentally friendly way for consumers to prepare their own refreshing carbonated beverages."

Finally, at-home carbonation specialist SodaStream certainly hasn't been shy in calling out beverage titans like Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, all while pitching its own product as a more affordable, convenient, and environmentally friendly option for consumers.

Luckily for SodaStream investors, those consumers are catching on, as the company managed to boost first-quarter revenue 34% from last year while adjusted earnings grew 24%. Better yet, last week SodaStream outlined plans to nearly double annual revenue to $1 billion by 2016, helping push the stock to a new 52-week high.

SodaStream's carbonation technology sounds simple, but I think this razor-and-blade company offers an intriguing opportunity for growth that could very well disrupt the soda industry. If you'd like to learn more, The Motley Fool's premium report on SodaStream explains the opportunities as well as the risks in the company. The report comes with a year's worth of updates, so just click here to get started.

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Dycom Industries Beats on Both Top and Bottom Lines

Dycom Industries (NYSE: DY  ) reported earnings on May 21. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended April 27 (Q3), Dycom Industries beat expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue grew significantly. GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.

Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
Dycom Industries logged revenue of $437.4 million. The seven analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ foresaw revenue of $410.2 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 48% higher than the prior-year quarter's $296.1 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.21. The seven earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.17 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.21 for Q3 were 25% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.28 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 18.2%, 30 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 3.9%, 20 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 1.6%, 170 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. (Margins calculated in GAAP terms.)

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $441.0 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.38.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $1.54 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.06.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 113 members out of 118 rating the stock outperform, and five members rating it underperform. Among 40 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 39 give Dycom Industries a green thumbs-up, and one give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Dycom Industries is outperform, with an average price target of $25.33.

If you're interested in companies like Dycom Industries, you might want to check out the jaw-dropping technology that's about to put 100 million Chinese factory workers out on the street – and the 3 companies that control it. We'll tell you all about them in "The Future is Made in America." Click here for instant access to this free report.

Add Dycom Industries to My Watchlist.

Economists Predict Increase in Consumer Spending

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Consumer spending is likely to pick up this year, while government spending declines at a faster rate, according to a survey of business economists.

The economists predict that the U.S. economy will grow 2.4 percent this year and 3 percent next year. That's unchanged from their forecast in February.

But they are more bullish on consumer spending and housing than they were three months ago, in part because of a more positive view about unemployment.

The survey was released Monday by the National Association for Business Economics, which periodically surveys economists for banks, manufacturers and universities.

The 49 economists who were questioned between April 16 and April 30 predicted that consumer spending will rise 2.3 percent this year, up from a forecast of 1.9 percent in February. They were also more upbeat about auto sales, predicting 15.4 million vehicles sales, an increase of 1 million over 2012.

Nayantara Hensel, chair of the NABE survey and a business professor at National Defense University, said consumer spending will get a boost from gains in the stock market, home values and lower unemployment.

"Home prices are going up, and with also the improvement in the unemployment rate, people will be more willing to buy," Hensel said in an interview.

The economists predicted that home prices will rise 4.4 percent this year and 4 percent next year. Boosted by new construction, they predict a 15 percent jump in residential housing investment this year.

Housing starts hit a 5-year peak in March then fell in April, with most of the decline due to less apartment construction, which can swing wildly from month to month.

Applications for building permits hit a 5-year high in April, suggesting that the housing market will continue to recover from the recession. A recent survey by the National Association of Home Builders found continued optimism among builders.

The NABE economists, who were surveyed before April unemployment was reported at 7.5 percent, predicted that the rate will decline to 7.4 percent in the fourth quarter and 6.8 percent in late 2014.

Corporate profits after taxes are expected to rise 5.3 percent in 2013 and 7.5 percent next year. Both of those are more bullish forecasts than the economists offered in February.

While consumers might spend more, the government sector is expected to shrink 2.3 percent this year -- sharper than the 1 percent cut that the economists predicted in February, before a series of automatic federal spending cuts kicked in when Congress and the White House failed to reach a deal to avoid them. The economists expect government spending to decline a more modest 0.9 percent in 2014, but Hensel said the forecast could change to a bigger decline if it looks like the automatic cuts will continue into the next fiscal year.

Lower government spending, especially by the military, "has already had a sharp effect on GDP growth," she said. GDP, or gross domestic product, is the measure of the economy's total output of goods and services.

The NABE survey found little alarm about potential inflation. The economists expect the Consumer Price Index to rise 1.9 percent this year and 2.1 percent in 2014.

On Friday, the Conference Board reported that its index of leading economic indicators rose in April after dipping in March. A board economist said the economy was getting a lift from steady job gains and the housing market, offsetting government spending cuts.

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Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Sempra and ConEd Split Ownership on 300 MW of Solar

Sempra Energy (NYSE: SRE  ) and Consolidated Edison (NYSE: ED  ) announced today that they will split ownership 50/50 on two of Sempra's 150 MW solar farms.

The Copper Mountain Solar 2 plant is located near Las Vegas and currently generates 92 MW, with full capacity expected by 2015. Sempra's Mesquite Solar 1 facility near Phoenix was completed in late 2012, although it holds potential capacity for up to 700 MW total.

Sempra will continue to operate and maintain the two plants, while Pacific Gas & Electric (NYSE: PCG  ) has entered into long-term purchasing contracts for both sites.

"This strategic partnership bolsters Sempra U.S. Gas & Power's ongoing plan to improve its financial returns, deconsolidate debt, and redeploy the proceeds from the transaction into new renewable growth projects," Kevin Sagara, Sempra's VP of renewables and corporate development, said in a statement.

Although the financial terms of the sale were not disclosed, the Department of Energy's Loan Program Office awarded a $337 million loan guarantee to Sempra in 2011 for the construction of Mesquite Solar 1.

Pending further regulatory approval, this latest agreement is expected to be finalized by 2014.

Telecom Plus Revenue Jumps Nearly 28%

3 Amazing Images of the Future of Solar

Solar power is becoming more and more viable as an electricity source but it's being tested in some very exciting and "out there" applications as well. Let's take a peak into a few places beyond the rooftop and utility plants where we may use solar power in the future.

The roads of tomorrow
According to Solar Roadways, there are over 45,000 square miles of paved surfaces in the U.S., which could be generating solar energy. According to their calculations, if two-thirds of that space were filled with solar panel roads (concept shown below) using 18.5% efficient modules generating peak power for just four hours per day, then we could generate three times the electricity usage of the U.S. every year (assumptions and calculations can be found here). It may seem like a far-fetched idea but the economics are solid -- the biggest hurdle may be in designing a surface that works as well or better than asphalt or concrete.

What Solar Roadways is working on is a modular road section with solar cells and LEDs that would allow for an interactive road surface, which could notify about diversions during traffic jams, warn about animals on the road, or alert drivers of an accident ahead. Below is an image that shows the vision of Solar Roadways.


Image courtesy of Solar Roadways; art by Dan Walden. 

It's a wild leap to think of road surfaces as power generating assets but there are a lot of practical advantages to this approach. Solar Roadways is designing a system with square modules that would be easily replaceable if damaged. From a cost standpoint, road surfaces may also provide one of the more economical locations to put up solar power because they're already incredibly expensive to start with.

Let's throw around some numbers to show just how feasible this may be. SunPower's (NASDAQ: SPWR  ) new 21.5% efficient X-Series panel generates 335 watts of electricity in 17.6 square feet. A highway is a minimum of 12 feet wide so a one-mile two-lane highway would have at least 126,720 square feet, or enough for 2,412 kilowatts of solar. If we assume a cost of $5 per watt (about double the cost of a utility-scale project) that would be $12.1 million for a one-mile, two-lane road that would generate about 3.5 million kilowatt-hours of power each year. A similar length asphalt road wouldn't be nearly this expensive but if we're generating power that pays a rate of $0.18 per kilowatt-hour (similar rates to rooftop PPAs) the road would pay for itself in 19 years.  

These are ballpark numbers and none of this is proven on a large scale, but the concept is exciting and potentially very profitable for everyone involved if the technical challenges can be worked out.

Around the world on solar
Driving on solar roads may be years, even decades away, but powering a boat with solar power is very much a reality. PlanetSolar is a 31-meter catamaran built in 2010 complete with 516 square meters of SunPower's 18.8% efficient solar panels. The boat sailed around the world from 2010 to 2012 and over this past weekend it finished a transatlantic crossing in 22 days, 12 hours, and 32 minutes, beating its own record for a solar-powered crossing by four days.

Below is a picture of the PlanetSolar catamaran along the coast of Miami.

Source: Wikimedia 

Thousands of vessels travel our oceans every year and solar energy would be a cheap, easy way to add power to many of these fleets. With PlantSolar proving that it's possible to power a boat with solar alone maybe this will open up another industry to the solar revolution. At the very least, the image of PlanetSolar cruising the coast of Miami on nothing but solar power is an impressive one.

Taking to the skies
One of the more amazing, and technically far-fetched ideas in solar is powering aircraft with sunlight. Solar Impulse has done just that and is currently making its way across the country in an effort to raise awareness about innovative energy technologies.

The Solar Impulse is a single person aircraft that spans 208 feet and weighs in at just 3,527 pounds. Right now the Solar Impulse HB-SIA is crossing the country, generating data for the second version dubbed HB-SIB, which is expected to be completed in the spring of 2014 and fly around the world in mid-2015.

Below is an image of HB-SIA on the ground at the Brussels Airport in 2011.

Image courtesy of Solar Impulse

The idea of powering a commercial aircraft with solar power alone is physically impossible, but if the industry can incorporate solar cells into the wings or body of a plane it would be possible to generate power that would reduce fuel consumption.

The future of solar
Now, these are dreams of the future of solar but a decade ago these would have only been pipe dreams. If the industry can make anywhere near as much progress in the next decade as it has in the last, then perhaps solar roads, boats, and planes will be a reality for the masses. 

SunPower has been a player in these early prototypes but I would keep an eye on First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR  ) as a provider of thin-film solar for these innovative applications. Solar paint has been another dream of solar pioneers, but whether it's on a boat or a plane, I think thin-film solar is the closest thing we'll get. 

The next decade is certainly going to bring a lot of excitement to the solar industry and the images above hint at what might be possible.

First Solar is one of only a few solar companies to make a profit, and it has technology that could be applied to some innovative new applications. If you're looking for continuing updates and guidance on the company whenever news breaks, The Motley Fool has created a brand-new report that details every must know side of this stock. To get started, simply click here now.

 

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A Buyout Could Send This Leading Agriculture Stock Up 25%

Buyouts can be one of the quickest ways for investors to score a big profit.

Buyout companies are almost always purchased at a premium that can give shareholders a nice pop. And with the S&P 500 sitting on record cash and looking for ways to grow, the average buyout premium is at an all-time high.

According to Dealogic, 2012's average buyout premium of 25% was up from 23% in 2011 and the highest premium since 2001. That huge average premium included the buyout of Baton Rouge, La.-based energy construction company Shaw Group, which was bought for $46 a share, a 72% premium to its $27 share price. It also included Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) paying $26 a share to buy biotech company Inhibitex, a huge 163% premium that ranked as the richest deal of the year.

As you can see, with the S&P 500 hoarding record amounts of cash and looking for ways to grow sales and cut operational costs, the buyout scene is hot. That means it's a great time for investors to be looking at companies that could be potential targets.

 

That's just one of the reasons I'm bullish on Mosaic (NYSE: MOS), a global leader in concentrated potash and crop nutrients for the agriculture industry. The company was spun off from the privately owned Cargill two years ago. But now, share restrictions are set to expire, which makes Mosaic a prime takeover candidate.

On May 26, charitable trusts associated with Cargill's founding family will be allowed to begin selling restricted shares received in the split. That, in addition to potential tax consequences linked to a Mosaic buyout expiring this month, could pave the way for a buyout of the $26 billion agriculture specialist.

Speculation about a Mosaic buyout comes on the heels of continued consolidation in the nutrients and fertilizer industry. In February, Norway's Yara International (OTC: YARIY), agreed to buy Iowa-based nitrogen player Terra Industries for a $4 billion cash deal that was priced at a 23% premium. The combination of the two has created the world's largest mineral fertilizer company.

But a potential buyout isn't the only reason I like Mosaic. Even if the company remains independent, Mosaic is a great way for investors to cash in on the bullish trend in agriculture.

As a global leader in phosphate and crop nutrients, Mosaic is using its reach and scale to tap into lucrative emerging markets. In March, Mosaic announced it will invest up to $1 billion in a joint venture to produce phosphate in Saudi Arabia. The $7 billion project will be 60% owned by Saudi Arabian mining and metals company Ma'aden, with Mosaic's 25% interest providing access to fast-growing Asian markets.

Mosaic also has a powerful financial position that will enable it to return value to shareholders when the Cargill share restrictions are lifted. About 129 million shares (30%) of Mosaic are held by Cargill insiders and will automatically convert to common shares in late November.

With more than $3 billion in cash on the balance sheet and unused borrowing capacities, analysts estimate that Mosaic has the ability to buy between one-third and 100% of those shares. A long-term buyback plan would have a serious effect on shares outstanding and shareholder returns.

Mosaic also carries a solid dividend yield of 1.6% that is in line with the 10-year Treasury note. In a world of record-low interest rates, that qualifies as a respectable stream of income.

But despite all the good news, Mosaic looks undervalued. Its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15 is a discount to its 10-year average of 16 and in line with the S&P 500, in spite of analysts calling for outsize 21% earnings growth in 2014.

Risks to Consider: Mosaic has underperformed its peers and the market in the past two years, despite a historically low valuation. And with Cargill insiders sitting on big gains, the ending of the restriction period could usher in a wave of profit-taking.

Action to Take --> Buyouts are a great way for investors to score quick gains. That's the biggest reason I am bullish on Mosaic, where a share restriction period set to end in late May could set the stage for either the company to be bought for a 25% premium or big share buybacks. But despite buyout speculation and bullish 21% growth projection in 2014, Mosaic looks undervalued, trading at a discount to its 10-year average and the S&P 500.

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