Saturday, August 4, 2012

Research In Motion Goes Red

Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  ) reported earnings on June 28. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended June 2 (Q1), Research In Motion missed estimates on revenues and missed expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank significantly and GAAP earnings per share contracted to a loss.

Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
Research In Motion reported revenue of $2.81 billion. The 37 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ expected to see net sales of $3.04 billion on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 43% lower than the prior-year quarter's $4.91 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at -$0.37. The 38 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ averaged -$0.06 per share. GAAP EPS were -$0.99 for Q1 versus $1.33 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 28.0%, 1,590 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was -10.9%, 2,920 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was -18.4%, 3,260 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $2.47 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is -$0.46.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $10.12 billion. The average EPS estimate is -$1.50.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a one-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 4,479 members out of 5,808 rating the stock outperform, and 1,335 members rating it underperform. Among 1,054 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 735 give Research In Motion a green thumbs-up, and 319 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Research In Motion is hold, with an average price target of $12.54.

Internet software and services are being consumed in radically different ways, on increasingly mobile devices. Does Research In Motion fit in anymore? Check out the company that Motley Fool analysts expect to lead the pack in "The Next Trillion-dollar Revolution." Click here for instant access to this free report.

  • Add Research In Motion to My Watchlist.

International Monetary Policy Favors Gold as Interest Rates Stay Near Zero

GOLD

Gold was unchanged in London before dipping to $1,126/oz in New York, it then recovered to close down 0.92% at $1,131/oz. It has had a $4 trading range in Asian trading this morning. Gold is currently trading at $1,135/oz and in Euro and GBP terms, gold is trading at €835/oz and £755/oz respectively. Gold remains near record nominal highs in euros and sterling and appears to be consolidating near these record price levels.

Gold should remain well supported with interest rates remaining close to zero. The European Central Bank and the Bank of England kept their interest rates at record lows Thursday – keeping them on hold at 1 percent and 0.5 percent. With the Federal Reserve having interest rates near zero as well, the “opportunity cost” to own non yielding gold remains favourable. One does not sacrifice yield in owning gold versus Treasury bills. T-bills, government bonds and cash are paying little or no interest, so it remains prudent to have an allocation to gold as it is a currency that cannot be devalued by governments or central banks.

Monetary policy looks set to favour gold for the foreseeable future and interest rates will have to return to their long term average or higher in order to incentivise savers again. It is very important to remember that gold only peaked in value towards the end of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate tightening in the 1970s. Gold is over the long term correlated with interest rates meaning that gold tends to rise when interest rates rise and fall when interest rates fall. While this was not seen in recent years, it was clearly seen between 1971 and 2000. Gold rose sharply in value in the inflationary and rising interest environment of the 1970s and then in the disinflationary, falling interest rate environment of the 1980s and 1990s, gold fell in value.

Continuing record low interest rates and the significant macroeconomic and currency risk seen today should lead to gold remaining firm in all currencies.

Gold Technicals
There appears to be a trend for higher gold prices forming again as seen in the break out of gold in euros and sterling to new record highs this week. As usual, the breakout above previous resistance at previous record nominal highs after a period of correction and consolidation could signify a rally in the coming months in these currencies but also in the dollar.



Gold's rise of $70 per ounce and nearly 7% in the last month from lows at $1,060/oz (February 8th) to over $1,130/oz could signify the end of the recent correction. Especially as it has coincided with a period of strength for the dollar versus the euro and sterling.

Gold could again rise to its recent record high of the 3rd of December at $1226.44/oz especially if resistance at $1,160/oz is broken. A weekly close above the previous record high would set up to challenge $1,300/oz in the short term and longer term (4 to 5 years) the inflation adjusted high from 1980 of $2,300/oz remains a possible price target. However, gold would have to sustain the gains of the last 4 weeks and stay above support above $1,100/oz for a challenge at the $1,300/oz level to come in the short term.

(Related Article - Bloomberg: Gold May Rise Back to Record, Technical Analysis)

SILVER
Silver has range traded from $17.14/oz to $17.26/oz in Asia. Silver is currently trading at $17.23/oz, €12.67/oz and £11.46/oz.

PGMs
Platinum is trading at $1,580/oz and palladium is currently trading at $468/oz. While rhodium is at $2,575/oz.

NEWS
- Oil prices remained firm in Asian and early European trade Friday on bargain buying contributing to gold’s recent strength. New York's main contract, light sweet crude for delivery in April, gained 47 cents to $80.68 a barrel. London's Brent North Sea crude for April was up 54 cents to $79.08.

- China's Wen Jiabao said in his annual ‘state of the nation’ address that the economic turnaround is not yet a fundamental improvement. He said that China must share the fruits of its economic miracle more evenly between rich and poor as it seeks an orderly exit from last year’s massive £400bn stimulus package. Mr. Wen said that after leading the world out of the global financial crisis, China now faced a “crucial year” in which it must curb inflation and lay the foundations for stronger internal consumer demand. “This is a crucial year for continuing to deal with the global financial crisis," Mr. Wen said "We still face a very complex situation."

- France's unemployment rate jumped to 10%, the highest in a decade, and a figure likely to influence voters ahead of regional elections, latest figures have shown. Unemployment has been climbing for seven quarters, since the economy dipped into recession in 2008, but the leap announced on Thursday was especially high, from 9.5% in the third quarter. This shows that the economic problems in the Eurozone are not confined to the so called PIIGS.

Disclosure: No positions

Meru Networks Prices IPO Of 4.39M Shrs At $15; Top Of Range; Stock Jumps (Updated)

Meru Networks (MERU), a Sunnyvale-based provider of enterprise wireless networking gear, this morning priced an IPO of 4,386,784 common shares at $15, at the top of the expected range of $13-$15. The company is selling 3,575,000 shares, while selling holders are offering 811,784 shares.

Venture investors in Meru included Tenaya Capital, Clearstone Venture Partners, NeoCarta Ventures, Evercore Ventures, Monitor Venture Partners, Bluestream Ventures and D.E. Shaw & Co.

Update: Meru is off to a rousing start. The stock is up $4.81, or 32.1%, to $19.81.

Top Stocks For 2012-1-1-18

PASADENA, Calif.–(CRWENewswire October 7, 2011)– Tetra Tech, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTEK) announced today that it has been awarded a contract valued at up to $55 million to continue its support for high priority pollution prevention programs, including evaluating innovative technologies and providing research and development support to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) Office of Research and Development, National Risk Management Research Laboratory. The new Scientific, Technical, Research, Engineering, and Modeling Support (STREAMS) II contract is a successor to the FEATS and STREAMS contracts that Tetra Tech previously held since 2000.

Under the five-year contract, Tetra Tech will support the development and evaluation of technologies and tools to prevent or reduce pollution of air, land, and water, and restore ecosystems. Tetra Tech will also perform treatability studies and pilot-scale investigations, support field activities including risk assessments and site characterization, develop and evaluate models, and provide technical support to various programs including the USEPA Superfund Program, the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Program, and the USEPA Office of Water, among other USEPA organizations.

About Tetra Tech (www.tetratech.com)

Tetra Tech is a leading provider of consulting, engineering, program management, construction, and technical services. The Company supports government and commercial clients by providing innovative solutions to complex problems focused on water, environment, energy, infrastructure, and natural resources. With more than 13,000 employees worldwide, Tetra Tech�s capabilities span the entire project life cycle.

Any statements made in this release that are not based on historical fact are forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statements made in this release represent management�s best judgment as to what may occur in the future. However, Tetra Tech�s actual outcome and results are not guaranteed and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions (”Future Factors”), and may differ materially from what is expressed. For a description of Future Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements, see the discussion under the section “Risk Factors” included in the Company�s Form 10-K and 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Contact:

Tetra Tech, Inc.
Jim Wu, Investor Relations
Talia Starkey, Media & Public Relations
(626) 470-2844

Source: Tetra Tech, Inc.

THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY!

NovaGold: One of the Cheapest Miners in the Market

While gold has been struggling recently, NovaGold (NG) went up 15% on December 23rd. The previous day, the company purchased a 100% interest in the Ambler property in Alaska and this set off the rally. It is not the first time that NovaGold has led the miners in the market. The stock is highly volatile and the company is a magnet for controversy. It is also one of the potentially biggest money makers among the mining stocks.

Like most of NovaGold's properties, Ambler is resource rich and remote. It contains some of the largest and highest-grade known VMS (volcanogenic massive sulfide) deposits in the world, both in terms of total metal and value per tonne. The deposits consist of copper, zinc, gold and silver. Nova already had a 51% stake in the property and paid $29 million to obtain complete ownership. NovaGold also has a half interest in Donlin Creek, one of the largest untapped gold deposits globally, a half interest in Galore Creek and full ownership of Rock Creek, Big Hurrah, and Nome Gold.

How much you think NovaGold is worth depends on your view for the future prices of gold, silver, copper and other metals. If you think these prices will be going up significantly, and that has been my view for several years now, then NovaGold is one of the cheapest stocks in the market. If you think those prices will be going down in the future, then you are not as impressed with the stock because most of its assets are sitting in the ground and won't be mined for several years. As someone who thinks that there will be significant inflation and dollar devaluation in the next decade, I am quite happy with the company's current mining schedule.

Before the Ambler acquisition, NovaGold stated that it had 15.2 million ounces in proven and probable gold reserves. At $1000 an ounce, those reserves are worth $15 billion and at $2000 an ounce they are worth $30 billion. The company also had 78 million ounces of measured and indicated silver reserves, worth over $1 billion at current prices and 5.2 billion ounces of copper reserves worth over $10 billion at current prices. Plug in your own estimates of future silver and copper prices to obtain a likely value of Nova's deposits. The market cap of NovaGold has been in the $1 billion range during December trading. So for $1 of stock, you are getting somewhere around $30 in gold, silver and copper assets at today's prices with the possibility of a much higher value in the future.

While the stock is cheap on a valuation basis, it is not without risk. Mining the substantial deposits in Nova's properties is not without its difficulties and this accounts for why its shares sell at a discount. Proponents argue that this discount is much too large, however. Nova is also a favorite of day traders from both the long and the short side and this increases its volatility. While NovaGold has been trading in the $5 to $6 range in December, it sold for over $20 in late 2007. Its all-time high was over $50 in 1987. Nova doesn't have to go back to those levels, though, to make investors money.

Disclosure: Long NG and GDX.

Is Cal-Maine Foods Going to Burn You?

There's no foolproof way to know the future for Cal-Maine Foods (Nasdaq: CALM  ) or any other company. However, certain clues may help you see potential stumbles before they happen -- and before your stock craters as a result.

A cloudy crystal ball
In this series, we use accounts receivable and days sales outstanding to judge a company's current health and future prospects. It's an important step in separating the pretenders from the market's best stocks. Alone, AR -- the amount of money owed the company -- and DSO -- the number of days' worth of sales owed to the company -- don't tell you much. However, by considering the trends in AR and DSO, you can sometimes get a window onto the future.

Sometimes, problems with AR or DSO simply indicate a change in the business (like an acquisition), or lax collections. However, AR that grows more quickly than revenue, or ballooning DSO, can also suggest a desperate company that's trying to boost sales by giving its customers overly generous payment terms. Alternately, it can indicate that the company sprinted to book a load of sales at the end of the quarter, like used-car dealers on the 29th of the month. (Sometimes, companies do both.)

Why might an upstanding firm like Cal-Maine Foods do this? For the same reason any other company might: to make the numbers. Investors don't like revenue shortfalls, and employees don't like reporting them to their superiors.

Is Cal-Maine Foods sending any potential warning signs? Take a look at the chart below, which plots revenue growth against AR growth, and DSO:

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of last fully-reported fiscal quarter. FQ = fiscal quarter.

The standard way to calculate DSO uses average accounts receivable. I prefer to look at end-of-quarter receivables, but I've plotted both above.

Watching the trends
When that red line (AR growth) crosses above the green line (revenue growth), I know I need to consult the filings. Similarly, a spike in the blue bars indicates a trend worth worrying about. Cal-Maine Foods' latest average DSO stands at 24.3 days, and the end-of-quarter figure is 27.6 days. Differences in business models can generate variations in DSO, and business needs can require occasional fluctuations, but all things being equal, I like to see this figure stay steady. So, let's get back to our original question: Based on DSO and sales, does Cal-Maine Foods look like it might miss it numbers in the next quarter or two?

The numbers don't paint a clear picture. For the last fully reported fiscal quarter, Cal-Maine Foods' year-over-year revenue grew 23.8%, and its AR grew 4.3%. That looks ok, but end-of-quarter DSO decreased 15.7% from the prior-year quarter. It was up 10.5% versus the prior quarter. That demands a good explanation. Still, I'm no fortuneteller, and these are just numbers. Investors putting their money on the line always need to dig into the filings for the root causes and draw their own conclusions.

What now?
I use this kind of analysis to figure out which investments I need to watch more closely as I hunt the market's best returns. However, some investors actively seek out companies on the wrong side of AR trends in order to sell them short, profiting when they eventually fall. Which way would you play this one? Let us know in the comments below, or keep up with the stocks mentioned in this article by tracking them in our free watchlist service, My Watchlist.

  • Add Cal-Maine Foods to My Watchlist.

ETFs Are an Interesting Investment Alternative

When individuals request investing guidance, Exchange Traded Funds often surface very fast, because they are so heavily publicized and trumped by financial industry. Exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, are an effortless way to broaden a small portfolio, nevertheless to achieve the most from your portfolio, it is very important to know the way they operate.

ETFs resemble mutual funds, as they are just a collection of stocks in a portfolio, however they are bought and sold on an exchange, such as NASDAQ, in lieu of procured from the issuing corporation. In addition, they vary because of their redemption design and tax efficiency from regular mutual funds.

Listed here are five benefits of ETFs over mutual funds:

1. Tax Efficiency: Upon redemption, mutual funds needs to sell its underlying securities, and the capital gains are then dispersed for the people who own the funds. Considering ETFs buy and sell on an stock exchange and buyers can sell to shareholders, no underlying securities are sold, and no capital gains are dispersed. Should the makeup of the ETF transforms it can, from time to time must disperse gains, however it should be more rare as compared to typical mutual funds.

2. Reduced Expenses: Exchange traded funds are no-load funds, and you simply won’t be smacked with a redemption fee whether it is time for them to liquidate your position. Further, ETFs typically have reduced administration fees than classic Mutual Funds, causing them to be an appealing option. (NOTE: In rare instances when an incredibly small amount is traded, broker’s extra fees might be a increased percentage of an investment when compared to a mutual fund’s fees would be, but also in such instances the invested sum may not meet the the bare minimum investment necessary for the majority of mutual funds).

3. Liquidity: The exchange-traded structure of exchange traded funds usually allow for the sale of any position faster rather than a mutual fund, which have to be sold at end of trading day. Additionally, being able to set a limit order allows flexible buying and selling which no investor will get from the mutual fund. Not all the ETFs have a similar liquidity, however, plus its essential to examine trading quantities as well as the ETF sales prospectus to determine if you are comfortable with the multitude of trades.

4. Intraday Pricing: Since exchange traded funds happen to be traded on active public stock exchanges, purchases and sales are executed at market prices, versus end-of-day NAV, which mutual funds take advantage of. Thus, you can order ETFs at a premium or maybe a discount for the valuation on the underlying assets, and arbitrage is recurrent.

5. No Minimum amount Purchase: When commencing investing, diversification is often cost prohibitive for persons who are making use of common mutual funds, which frequently require a minimum amount purchase of $2500 or more. As exchange traded funds do not have minimal investment (other than the market price of one share), they are simply a superb option for diversified portfolios.

Certainly, several features might be liabilities if not utilized carefully. As an example, the intraday pricing feature of exchange traded funds could lead on a buyer to acquire an exchange traded fund at a premium or sell it off off at a discount for the price of the underlying securities. Also, brokerage cost could have a greater effect on quite a few investors than common mutual funds’ administration charges and loads can have.

Utilized carefully, ETFs generally are a good tool for broadly diversifying a smaller portfolio or for an investor just starting out. It’s a smart idea to seek expert investing counsel. One application that will can easily guide is investment software or stock software which may be utilised to examine exchange traded funds. These kinds of investment software plans will be a great help.

Want to find out more about stock software, then visit Jon Wilmott’s site on how to choose the best investment software for your needs.

Friday, August 3, 2012

Best and worst: Small-cap growth

The small-cap growth style ranks ninth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in my style roadmap. It gets my Dangerous rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 12 ETFs and 463 mutual funds in the small-cap growth style as of May 1, 2012. Reports on the best & worst ETFs and mutual funds in every sector and style are on my blog and Trading Deck.

Figure 1 ranks from best to worst the nine small-cap growth ETFs that meet our liquidity standards and Figure 2 shows the five best and worst-rated small-cap growth mutual funds. The best ETFs and mutual funds allocate more value to Attractive-or-better-rated stocks than the worst, which allocate too much value to Neutral-or-worse-rated stocks.

To identify the best and avoid the worst ETFs and mutual funds within the small-cap growth style, investors need a predictive rating based on (1) stocks ratings of the holdings and (2) the all-in expenses of each ETF and mutual fund. Investors need not rely on backward-looking ratings. My fund rating methodology is detailed here.

Investors should not buy any small-cap growth ETFs or mutual funds because none get an Attractive-or-better rating. If you must have exposure to this style, you should buy a basket of Attractive-or-better rated stocks and avoid paying undeserved fund fees. Active management has a long history of not paying off.

See ratings and reports on all ETFs and mutual funds in this style on my free mutual fund and ETF screener.

Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings

* Best ETFs exclude ETFs with less NAV's less than 100 million.

Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings

Five ETFs are excluded from Figure 1 because their total net assets (TNA) are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity standards. See our ETF screener for which ETFs were excluded.

Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings - Top 5

* Best mutual funds exclude funds with NAV's less than 100 million.

iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Growth Index Fund IJT is my top-rated small-cap growth ETF and Boston Trust & Walden Funds: Boston Trust Small Cap Fund BOSOX is my top-rated small-cap growth mutual fund. Both earn my Neutral rating.

ProShares Ultra Russell2000 Growth UKK is my worst-rated small-cap growth ETF and Bhirud Funds, Inc: Apex Mid Cap Growth Fund BMCGX is my worst-rated small-cap growth mutual fund. Both earn my Very Dangerous rating. BMCGX's total annual costs of 10.46% are the highest of all 7000+ mutual funds I cover.

Figure 3 shows that only 332 out of the 2012 stocks (less than 19% of the total net assets) held by small-cap growth ETFs and mutual funds get an Attractive-or-better rating. The low allocation to Attractive-or-better-rated stocks is the reason that no ETFs or mutual funds are worth buying. This provides further evidence that the quality of an ETF or mutual fund is determined by the quality of its holdings.

The takeaways are: mutual fund managers allocate too much capital to low-quality stocks and small-cap growth ETFs hold poor quality stocks.

7 Foreign Telecom Stocks to Hang Up On

Telecom stocks like AT&T (NYSE:T) and Verizon (NYSE:VZ) are popular because of stable business models and rich revenue streams that add up to big dividends. But don�t fool yourself into thinking a tip-top dividend yield makes all telecom stocks a good investment. Many telecoms that provide service overseas have been caught up in the euro zone debacle and other local issues that have sent their shares sharply downward, offsetting any income potential.

I watch more than 5,000 publicly traded companies with my Portfolio Grader tool, ranking companies by a number of fundamental and quantitative measures. This week, I’ve pinpointed seven foreign telecom stocks to hang up on.

Here they are, in alphabetical order. Each one of these stocks gets a �D� or �F� according to my research, meaning it is a �sell� or �strong sell.�

France Telecom (NYSE:FTE) is an international company that focuses on fixed and mobile communications, data transmission and the Internet and multimedia — among other services. Despite its global reach, FTE stock has foundered this year, down nearly 24% year-to-date.

KT Corp. (NYSE:KT) is an integrated telecom that operates in South Korea. Like many other international telecom stocks, KT is down this year, in this case by 26%.

Portugal Telecom SGPS (NYSE:PT) stock has dipped 46%, year-to-date, compared to the Dow Jones, which is down less than 1%.

Tele Norte Leste Particiapcoes (NYSE:TNE) is based in Brazil and offers a wide range of services, including fixed-line and mobile telecom, data transmission, pay TV, Internet and call-center services. A drop of 37% year-to-date has left many TNE shareholders wondering why they made their initial investment.

Telefonica (NYSE:TEF) is based in Spain and operates in the telecom, media and contact-center industries. TEF has followed the lead of many other telecom stocks and is down 20% since the start of 2011.

Telecom Argentina (NYSE: TEO) provides numerous services, including: national fixed-line telecommunications, international long-distance, data transmission, Internet and mobile phone service. A stark dip of 27% for TEO has far outpaced the minimal losses by the broader markets.

Telekomunikasi Indonesia (NYSE:TLK) offers many services, not limited to fixed wire-line and fixed wireless phone, mobile cellular, data and Internet and network and interconnection. TLK may have looked like a smart buy for some, but it has dipped almost 9% year-to-date.

Get more analysis of these picks and other publicly traded stocks with Louis Navellier�s Portfolio Grader tool, a 100% free stock-rating tool that measures both quantitative buying pressure and eight fundamental factors.

Best Stocks To Invest In 4/5/2012-3

Crown Equity Holdings, Inc. (CRWE)
Crown Equity Holdings Inc., together with its digital network of Websites, offers media advertising, branding and marketing services as a worldwide online multi-media publisher. The company focuses on the distribution of information for the purpose of bringing together a targeted audience and the advertisers that want to reach them. Its advertising services cover and connect a range of marketing specialties, as well as providing search engine optimization for clients interested in online media awareness.

Crown Equity Holdings Inc. (CRWE.OB) announced that it has launched CRWE Tube, www.crwetube.com, a video sharing site that allows billions of people around the world to upload watch and share original videos.
“The CRWE Tube team has built an exciting media platform, which allows people and businesses large and small to quickly and efficiently reach a vast new audience,” said Kenneth Bosket, President of Crown Equity Holdings Inc. “With online videos continuing to experience explosive, viral growth and the web rapidly moving from text to video, businesses will need to adapt to the shift in video distribution technology or quickly become irrelevant to their consumers who anticipate seeing video everywhere online.”

Live videos will also be beneficial within the organization and the employees working with in the organization gets updated about the latest targets and goals of organization and sharing these information on the social networking sites like twitter, face book etc will be both beneficial to both employees as well as to the customers.
Live videos are also used for prelaunch of websites and products which describes the upcoming products and features. It has been found out that live videos are being watched by many users and should not be in a view that it is not taking away the industry of television.

People are making use of live videos on internet to see repeatedly whenever t hey like to see and hence it is becoming to turn down into a mini media on the internet and it is also attracting many viewers by giving answers to there questions lively.

For more information please visit official website of CRWE: www.crownequityholdings.com

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Nasdaq:SPPI), a biotechnology company with fully integrated commercial and drug development operations with a primary focus in hematology and oncology, announced that an overview of the Company’s business strategy will be given at the 30th Annual J. P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, being held at the Westin St. Francis Hotel in San Francisco, California. The Spectrum Pharmaceuticals presentation is at 11 am Pacific Time on Thursday, January 12, 2012 in the California East room.

Spectrum Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a commercial-stage biotechnology company, primarily focuses on oncology and hematology.

RTI Biologics, Inc. (Nasdaq:RTIX), a leading provider of orthopedic and other biologic implants, has launched an informational website to educate patients and the general public about allograft tissue. AllograftInfo.com explores the use of allograft, or human donated tissue, in surgery, as well as provides links to relevant research and articles. The website also addresses several frequently asked questions and provides suggestions on what to ask your surgeon when considering allograft.

RTI Biologics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces orthopedic and other surgical implants that repair and promote the natural healing of human bone and other human tissues.

Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ISIS) announced results from a Phase 1 study with ISIS-TTRRx. The results demonstrated that treatment with ISIS-TTRRx produced dose-dependent statistically significant reductions of greater than 80 percent in transthyretin (TTR) protein. In this study, ISIS-TTRRx was generally well tolerated with no significant adverse events. ISIS-TTRRx is an antisense drug in development with GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) for the treatment of TTR amyloidosis, a severe and rare genetic disease characterized by progressive dysfunction of peripheral nerve and/or heart tissues. Isis and GSK are planning to begin a clinical study on ISIS-TTRRx this year designed to achieve an efficient route to registration.

Isis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the discovery and development of antisense drugs using antisense drug discovery platform.

How to Master the Booms and Busts of the Resource Sector

If you're already rich, there's no need for you to read this guide.

If you're not rich – if you're extremely interested in learning how to increase your wealth by five or 10 times over the coming years – please read on.

This guide – which we plan to send you in four separate pieces this week – is a collection of essential rules on how to invest in a sector that produces gains so large, you can not only buy a new boat with your winnings... but also the lake it floats in.

I'm talking about a payoff like Aurelian Resources... a tiny company that gained 16,150% from 2003 to 2008. That kind of gain turns every $10,000 invested into more than $1.625 million.

Or how about the payoff in Canplats Resources... a small company that skyrocketed 12,650% in seven years?

Or the payoff registered by Diamond Fields. Shares of this tiny company sold for just $0.05 each in 1993... and then for $42.97 three years later. That's an astonishing 85,840% return... It netted legendary speculator Doug Casey $15 million on a single trade.

These gains are possible in the business of finding and tapping the world's gold, copper, oil, diamond, and uranium deposits – the natural resource business.

It's a business where just one big strike can change your life forever.

But before we go further, please realize investing and speculating in natural resources can be an incredibly risky activity. And it's why folks who are already rich – who are simply interested in capital preservation – don't really need to be in natural resources. It's simply too volatile an area for conservative investors. 

In fact, most investors who deal in this sector are constant losers. But this guide will give you the keys to making a fortune in resource stocks.

The first lesson is how to master the booms and busts of the resource sector... (Hint: it's all about the trend.)

There's one aspect of the resource sector that is so important, if you don't master it, nothing else you do right can possibly help you. You will lose every cent you put here. Insiders call this aspect "cyclicality."

Cyclicality might sound like industry-speak, but it's actually a simple concept... An asset with cyclicality is one that booms and busts like crazy.

One year, it will skyrocket 200%... The next year, it will plunge 50%. After plunging, it might drift sideways for a year and then rise 300%.

Contrast this to a "noncyclical" asset, like shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)...

JNJ is the world's largest health care and consumer products company. It sells everyday items like Listerine, Tylenol, and Band-Aids. Demand for these products is relatively constant. Even recessions do little to dent mouthwash sales. This makes JNJ shares relatively noncyclical. They don't go through wild booms and busts.

Natural resources, however, do go through wild booms and busts. Consider the case of uranium from 2000 to 2008...

Uranium is a natural resource whose chief use is fueling nuclear-power reactors. For much of the 1990s, uranium prices were mired in a bear market. Excess supplies from the previous years depressed prices.

Low prices meant no one was investing in new uranium deposits. There simply wasn't any money in it. In 2003, for example, it cost miners $20 per pound to mine uranium, but they were selling it for $15 per pound. Miners were losing about $5 on every pound of uranium they produced. Mines closed and no new ones opened.

It was grim – a classic "bust."

Then... after years of bust, we started seeing increased demand for the cheap fuel. But the lack of investment in new uranium projects meant supply was limited. Increased demand and low supply pushed uranium prices higher and higher.

As you can see from the chart below, prices quadrupled in about three years: 

 

In response to this new uranium boom, exploration companies went wild. You can see from the table below of uranium exploration spending in Canada (a major uranium-producing country) how fast the industry increased spending:

That's an incredible 5,484% increase in uranium exploration investment in just four years.

This shows you that when a commodity goes into a "boom" cycle, it attracts huge amounts of money. Uranium eventually climbed to $140 per pound... over 10 times higher than 2011's depresses levels.

You can imagine what that kind of rise does to the share price of companies in the sector...

Consider junior uranium explorer Mega Uranium (MGA). Its ride from 2003 to 2007 was spectacular. Shares went from $0.04 each in September 2003 to $7.41 in April 2007. That's an amazing 18,425% return.

Now remember... every "boom" eventually turns to "bust."

In any given resource sector, the cure for high prices is high prices. When huge amounts of money flow into a sector, it creates tons of new companies, bloated values, increased supplies, and eventually, plunging prices.

Hundreds of new uranium exploration companies were created from 2004 to 2007 in order to capitalize on the new uranium boom... many with no real assets or even a hope of becoming a real company.

As you can see from the updated chart of uranium (below), the boom turned to bust. Uranium prices collapsed from $140 per pound to $40 per pound.

 

Most uranium stocks lost more than 90% of their value. Shares of Mega Uranium peaked at $7.41 in April 2007 and fell to $0.37 by June 2010. That's a 95% decline in three years.

 

Investors lost $0.95 of every dollar they invested if they followed the crowd, bought at the top, and didn't cut their losses.

It's not just uranium. This happens all the time in natural resources.

Oil, natural gas, nickel, copper, platinum... you name it. Commodities boom and bust like crazy.

When "bust" periods of excess supply depress prices, people find new uses for the cheap resource. At the same time, producers of that resource can't make much money, so they stop investing in new projects to bring on supplies.

This "increased demand, decreased supply" situation creates a crunch that drives prices up by hundreds of percent... and causes incredible stock gains in the companies that focus on that resource.

Then, after prices rise, increased supplies come online... Producers of that resource invest heavily in new projects to cash in on the "boom" times. Meanwhile, users of the now-expensive resource look for alternatives. This decreases demand.

The "decreased demand, increased supply" situation can crush the price of the commodity... and send the share prices of commodities that focus on that resource down more than 90%.

All commodities are highly cyclical. And while these big cycles chew up most crowd-following investors, you can use them to make incredible profits in mining, agriculture, and energy stocks. You simply get into booms early and avoid the big busts.

My friend Rick Rule is one of the greatest resource investors in the world. He's made himself and his clients hundreds of millions of dollars with his ability to spot great values, get into big resource trends early, and avoid big resource busts.

He coined the phrase, "You're either a contrarian or a victim."

Rick's phrase captures everything you need to know about resource trends. To make huge gains, you have to buy assets when nobody wants them – like uranium stocks in the late 1990s. This is when assets get very cheap. Going against the crowd in these situations will give you a sick feeling in your gut. But that's a sign that you're probably doing the right thing.

When the crowd wakes up to the boom times that follow the bust, they'll bid up your shares to incredible heights.

Shares of Xerox Look Like a Bargain

As part of our process, we employ a discounted cash-flow model to arrive at a fair value estimate for every company within our equity coverage universe. In Xerox's (XRX) case, we think the shares look undervalued at today’s prices. Our fair value estimate for Xerox is $14 per share, significantly higher than where the company is currently trading. In the spirit of transparency, our DCF model valuation template can be found here. We make this template available to all investors, and it can be re-used to value any other operating firm.

Valuation Summary

We assume annual average top-line growth will average in the mid-single-digits over the next five years. We also assume that Xerox will grow earnings at a nice double-digit clip during our discrete five-year horizon. We expect the firm’s excess returns on invested capital to fade to our estimate of its cost of capital (about 8.4%) by Year 20 in our model.

Click to enlarge

Source: Valuentum Securities, Inc.

Our estimated fair value range between $10 per share and $18 per share considers the risks inherent to Xerox’s business, as well as the future potential variability in the company’s free cash flow stream. We would consider adding Xerox to our Best Ideas portfolio if it became relatively more attractive than our existing long ideas.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Yahoo! Investors, You Have a Dog in the Android Fight

Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO  ) ought to be giving Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) an attaboy. The computer maker is indirectly helping Yahoo! in its quest to steal mobile-advertising revenue away from Google (Nasdaq: GOOG  ) .

For every Android-based phone that's sold, Google stands to benefit by reaping more mobile-advertising revenue. Google has done a phenomenal job over the years enticing handset makers such as Motorola Mobility (NYSE: MMI  ) , Samsung, and HTC to use its free Android mobile operating system on their smartphones and tablet computers -- so much so that Google's slice of the $2.1billion mobile-advertising market is expected to soar to 23.8% this year for its mobile display advertising, compared with 18.8% last year. And that's not good for Yahoo!, which has its efforts squarely focused on boosting its display-advertising sales -- both mobile and online.���������������������������������� �

But recently, the U.S. International Trade Commission sided with Apple on one of its four patent-infringement claims it filed against HTC. Under the commission's ruling, beginning April 19, HTC will be banned from importing smartphones that allow the capability to recognize telephone numbers, according to a Bloomberg report. That potentially reduces the number of HTC Android-based phones coming into the U.S. market until HTC gets a workaround in place.

For Yahoo!, that's obviously good news on the mobile-advertising front.

British Telecom weighs in
And Apple isn't the only tech titan accusing Google of violating some of its patents with the features it loads into Android. Earlier this month, British Telecom weighed in with its own patent-infringement lawsuit.

The European carrier alleges that Android's location-based services, personalization tied to content and services, navigation, and guide information constitute thievery of its technology. It's seeking not only financial relief but also an injunction.

Yahoo! investors should be interested in the injunction or any efforts that would slow down the distribution of Android-based mobile advertising -- er, mobile software.

Carrier Verizon has long been a staunch supporter of Android, and it would be surprising to see it take a similar tack as British Telecom, but now that it has the iPhone, it may look deep into its patent portfolio for any potential violations.

Oracle takes a shot
Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) is another tech behemoth that has filed a patent-infringement lawsuit against Google over its Android software. Last year, the enterprise-software giant alleged that Android's Application Programmer Interface (API) took its cues from Oracle's Java API packages.

Although Oracle wants upwards of $1.4 billion for the alleged infringement, it's smart to realize there is more money in gleaning a bit of Google's mobile-advertising revenues. It's also asking for 15% of the mobile-advertising revenues derived from the Android platform.

The parties are trying to hash out a settlement, and the trial has been postponed from its October start until the new year, according to an IT World report.

Yahoo! investors should keep a keen eye on this fight. APIs are a critical part of the software makeup, and should the court ultimately find Google needs a Java license and Oracle wants to play hardball, Google's mobile-advertising revenues could take a hit if it has to hand over a large chunk of its advertising to Oracle.

Although that won't put money into Yahoo!'s pocket, it may help to narrow the comparison gap between the two Internet companies.

Yahoo! should marry Microsoft
Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT  ) , a significant Yahoo! partner on search technology and its advertising efforts, is fooling around with Google's Android, and it's not even doing it behind Yahoo!'s back. Yahoo! should have tied the knot with Microsoft years ago -- then it could have benefited from the software giant's philandering ways.

With Microsoft collecting royalties from members of Google's Android ecosystem, it's lining its deep pockets quite nicely. As noted in one Motley Fool report, Microsoft has more than half of all Android-based devices having to pay a licensing royalty.

Too bad Microsoft doesn't add a clause in those agreements that Yahoo! gets a cut of all mobile-advertising revenue that some of these Android ecosystem players generate.

My watch alert
Can't get enough of this Android patent dogfight and want to stay in the know with Apple, Google, Motorola Mobility, Oracle, Microsoft, and, of course, Yahoo!? Add them to your free Watchlist that delivers up-to-date news and analysis on your favorite companies:

  • Add Apple to My Watchlist
  • Add Google to My Watchlist
  • Add Motorola Mobility to My Watchlist
  • Add Oracle to My Watchlist
  • Add Microsoft to My Watchlist
  • Add Yahoo! to My Watchlist

If You Own Them, Sell These 5 CEFs As Soon As Possible

Once a week I research closed-end funds to hold, sell, or buy. In this article I highlight five closed end funds which investors should sell immediately. The evidence is rock-solid and the CEFs are on rocky ground, poised for a significant nose dive.

Cornerstone Total Return (CRF)
CRF has provided investors a 5-year total annualized rate-of-return of (-11.9%). The fund's performance provides adequate guidance to sell CRF and search for a better alternative. The S&P 500 index has provided a .3% total annualized rate-of-return over the same period.

CRF is presently trading at a 55% premium to net-asset-value (NAV). Cornerstone operates closed end funds which earn profits by charging a percentage of assets under management. The annual expense ratio is excessive at 2.36%. The higher the assets under management (AUM), the higher the operator's profits. Cornerstone could file a CRF secondary on any given day, and this CEF would plummet in value. Traders could simply short sell CRF and buy the CRF-secondary shares near their true NAV.

CRF's SEC N-2 Filing, dated March 31st, 2011, indicates a very ordinary portfolio structure. The N-2 provides insight into CRF's ownership of blue chip stocks, and closed end funds. All assets are Level 1, explicitly stating CRF does not have any positions which are potentially mispriced to substantiate the 55% premium to NAV.

click on all charts to enlarge



Gabelli Utility Trust (GUT)
The Gabelli Utility Trust (GUT) is the second CEF to sell immediately. There are zero positive reasons to own this fund. Gabelli's quick fund fact sheet, dated December 31st, 2010, highlights the rationale to sell this CEF today. The fund is a plain vanilla utility trust that was selling at a 19.1% premium on December 31st. To be clear, this means investors were paying 19.1% more than fair value.

Investing goals are to buy assets at a discount to their value. The investor is doomed to fail if they pay more than fair value to start their investment decision process.

The March 31st, 2011, SEC N-2 filing indicates ordinary utility and energy equities. The fund has close to 100% Level 1 assets, although there is one Level 3 position which appears to lack any value.

The fund has the following negative attributes:

  • 21.88% effective leverage,
  • high 1.91% annual expense ratio,
  • 25.04% premium to net asset value

Investors should sell any closed end fund which is trading at a 25.04% premium to the actual value.


DNP Select Income (DNP)
If an investor owns DNP Select Income (DNP), they will do themselves a favor by selling the fund as soon as possible. The fund's history did show a 4.5% annualized total rate-of-return compared to an S&P 500 .3% annualized total rate of return over the same time frame. The time frame is from January 31st, 2007 through July 22nd, 2011.

The DNP SEC N-Q, dated March 31st, 2011, shows the current holdings which do not indicate any holdings worth noting, nor any significant variance from standard closed end funds.

DNP contains the following negative CEF attributes, which collectively signal to the average investor to "sell immediately":

  • a high annual expense ratio, 2.19%, with assets under management approaching $3-billion,
  • effective leverage of an extremely high 34.14%,
  • an excessive 23.92% premium to net asset value

Investors are not well served buying or holding a fund with such a high leverage rate and selling at a near 25% premium to NAV. Investors can find a great number of better substitutes in which to invest their money.



Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)
Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) is one of the few ways to own physical silver in an equity format. There are alternatives, however, to provide a better substitute to PSLV. The fund displays basic fund attributes that make this equity indefensible to own. Sprott Asset Management, as of March 31st, 2011, held 15,224,615-PSLV shares.

Sprott's SEC 20-F filing shows the fund lacks anything worthy of a 22% premium to NAV. The Sprott website shows the simplicity of the holdings. Sprott holds silver in a bank vault and the silver is audited. Metal investors are conscience of their metal's value and know there isn't any reason to pay 122% of silver bullion's value so the silver can be stored by a 3rd party.

The Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV) began trading on October 29th, 2010, and has had an excellent run as silver bullion has broken out on the upside during this time. There is a difference in owning silver bullion at fair market value versus market value plus 22%. Owners of PSLV should sell their holdings immediately. Sprott will issue a secondary offering and the current PSLV shares will drop closer to their NAV. The present scenario is a supply versus demand issue.



PIMCO Strategic Global Govt (RCS)
PIMCO Strategic Global (RCS) should be sold without hesitation. PIMCO is a premier and preeminent fixed income shop. This fund, however, lacks credibility as an interesting investment.

PIMCO Strategic Global contains the following negative attributes:

  • 53.18% effective leverage,
  • a 15.35% premium to net asset value

The fund has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 5 years. RCS has achieved an 8.7% annualized total rate-of-return compared to an S&P 500 .3% annualized total rate-of-return over the same timeframe.

The fund has $840-million assets under management. The annual expense ratio is reasonable with 1.42% fee. The fund's premium to net asset value explicitly is a warning sign and should be reason to liquidate RCS ownership.

The SEC N-2, as of April 30th, 2011, lists the stock equities and the Government Sponsored Entity (GSE) holdings. The fund's premium is a barrier to ownership consideration. Investors are well advised to liquidate their fund holdings. An investor paying a 15% premium to NAV is immediately put in a difficult position upon purchase. Sell RCS and buy a fund at a discount to NAV.



Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Top Stocks For 2012-1-13-20

DrStockPick.com Stock Report!

Friday August 21, 2009


ASAT Holdings Limited (OTC Bulletin Board: ASTTY), a global provider of semiconductor package design, assembly and test services, today announced the appointment of Eric E. Thompson to the position of Chief Restructuring Officer and interim CEO. Mr. Thompson will be based in the Company’s manufacturing facility in Dongguan, China, and will work closely with ASAT’s management team, board of directors and creditors on the financial restructuring of the Company’s obligations under the 9.25% Senior Notes due 2011 and the Purchase Money Loan Facility. T.L. Li, former acting CEO, will continue to be involved in ongoing operations and will remain as a consultant to ASAT.

Elavon, a wholly owned subsidiary of U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB) and a leading global payments provider, has acquired the merchant processing portfolio of MB Financial Bank, the Illinois local operating unit of MB Financial Inc. (NASDAQ: MBFI). Elavon will provide its robust payment processing solutions, customer service and support operations to MB Financial Bank’s merchant customers. In addition, new merchant services referrals to Elavon will be marketed through the bank’s more than 70 branches across the greater Chicago metropolitan area.

Foster Wheeler AG (Nasdaq: FWLT) announced today that its subsidiary Foster Wheeler USA Corporation, part of its Global Engineering and Construction Group, has been awarded a detailed design contract by a confidential client for a chemicals project in the United States.

Bogen Communications International, Inc.,� (Pink Sheets: BOGN) today announced that a verdict has been reached in the lawsuit initiated by a former contractor, Tri-Signal Integration, Inc. (”Tri-Signal”), against the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary, Bogen Communications, Inc. (”BCI”). The case was originally filed on July 18, 2006, in Los Angeles County Superior Court, case number BC355591, relating to BCI’s termination of their contractor agreement. The suit alleged multiple causes of action for breach of contract and various torts and sought an award of compensatory and punitive damages. On August 12, 2009, the jury in the case delivered its final verdict, submitting to the court its award to Tri-Signal of approximately $12.5 million in compensatory and punitive damages. BCI is currently planning to file motions for a new trial and for judgment notwithstanding the verdict and to file an appeal, and is also considering other alternatives.

Cass Information Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CASS), a leading provider of enterprise-wide expense management services, has announced that Stein Mart, Inc. (NASDAQ: SMRT) has expanded its relationship with Cass to now include telecom expense management. Since 1999, Cass has provided Stein Mart with utility expense management services whereby Cass processes Stein Mart’s facility-related invoices (such as electric, gas, and water expenses) and delivers valuable energy expense data via an online business intelligence platform.

FreightCar America, Inc. (NASDAQ: RAIL) announced today that, due to the delayed filing of its quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2009, the Company has received, as expected, a notification letter from the Nasdaq Stock Market (”Nasdaq”) stating that the Company is no longer in compliance with Nasdaq Marketplace Rule 5250(c)(1), which requires timely filing of SEC periodic reports. The Nasdaq letter was issued in accordance with standard Nasdaq procedures.

Goldman Sachs: Any Settlement Will Likely Be Decimal Dust to Them

The Wall Street Journal ran an excellent story earlier this week about how the SEC is trying to bury one of its many screw-ups by trumpeting its civil suit against Goldman Sachs (GS) – which will no doubt result in an out-of-court settlement that will represent decimal dust to Goldman and provide no disincentive whatsoever from engaging in the same sort of act tomorrow and the next day. Excerpts below…

…Last Friday, the same day that the government unexpectedly announced its Goldman lawsuit, the SEC's inspector general released his exhaustive, 151-page report on the agency's failure to investigate alleged fraudster R. Allen Stanford… The report is damning for an SEC that wants the public to believe it has turned the corner after the Bernie Madoff disaster…. [Spencer Barasch is] the SEC enforcement official who sat on various referrals to investigate Allen Stanford and then, after leaving the SEC, performed legal work for… Allen Stanford.

…In the Stanford case, we see numerous SEC insiders over many years urging—at times begging—the enforcement staff to take action, to no avail. The examination staff at the SEC's district office in Fort Worth, Texas reviewed the Stanford Group's operations in 1997, concluded that its sale of certificates of deposit likely constituted a Ponzi scheme, and referred the matter to SEC enforcement staff… SEC examiners investigated again in 1998, 2002 and 2004. Each time, they concluded that the Stanford operation was a probable Ponzi scheme and urged SEC action. Each time, the enforcement staff failed to act.

Along the way, SEC enforcers also ignored warnings from the daughter of an elderly investor in the Stanford scheme, the Texas State Securities Board, an anonymous insider in the Stanford operation, and U.S. Customs, which suspected that the Stanford organization was laundering money. The SEC at times would open preliminary investigations. When the Stanford Group declined to provide information, the inquiry would end.

Particularly tragic is that almost all of the $8 billion that Mr. Stanford collected from investors was gathered after the SEC's first round of inquiries, so if SEC enforcers had acted on the first referral from their colleagues, this alleged fraud would be measured in millions of dollars, not billions. Later, some investors increased their investments with Stanford Group after they learned that the SEC had investigated in 2005 and took no action. They viewed it as a clean bill of health.

…SEC IG David Kotz asked the enforcement staff how it could possibly have failed to prosecute someone who was believed by so many others to be running a fraud. The staff told him that senior SEC management did not favor the pursuit of Ponzi schemes and other frauds that were difficult to investigate and time-consuming to prosecute... Why do the painstaking work of tracking down actual criminals when you can score favorable headlines with a drive-by lawsuit against a large public company that will have a strong incentive to settle quickly?

I see the SEC action as being nearly as smarmy as Goldman was in pouring this pile of steaming...mush... onto unsuspecting investors. It allows them to ally themselves on the side of public sentiment while, in fact, accepting the usual token from their pals on Wall Street rather than pursuing the criminals whose frauds (in the SEC’s own words) “were difficult to investigate.” And here I thought that was their job…

Rich Families: Look at Donor-Advised Funds

Donor-advised funds are a great funding vehicle for charitably inclined wealthy families.

Using such a vehicle can lead to a more thoughtful and disciplined approach to giving. The donor gets an immediate tax deduction while their contribution is invested allowing it to grow, with the current year tax deduction subject to the percent of adjusted gross income limits. Since DAFs are considered public charities, the limitation is 50% of AGI for cash donations. (Lower limits apply to noncash contributions.)

Get alerts before Link and Cramer make every trade

For example, an person with an AGI of $1 million could contribute $500,000 in cash into a DAF and take an immediate tax deduction. Even though the donor has made an irrevocable contribution, he or she still gets to select from the DAF's available investment options and decide when and how much to grant to eligible charities. So how does a DAF stack up against running a private foundation? From a tax perspective, DAFs allow for a potentially higher upfront tax deduction based on AGI limitation rules. DAFs also require significantly less time and administration.A private foundation does offer more control, particularly around investment and grant making, but the price for the extra control is the initial set-up cost plus ongoing expenses such as legal and accounting fees. A private foundation requires a separate legal entity be created, and the entity will need to apply for tax-exempt status with the IRS. Ongoing rules require minimum annual charitable giving levels, and there are percent limitations on annual administrative expenses. Private foundations are also required to file an annual informational tax return known as a 990 with the IRS.The Council on Foundations has an excellent FAQ on starting a foundation and the various considerations involved. Based on the COF examples it takes $10 million before a private foundation has enough funds to have a paid staff of a part-time CEO and part-time administrative assistant, while the ongoing expense of a DAF will typically include an administration fee plus the expense associated with underlying investments.Fidelity's DAF, the Charitable Giving Account for individuals, has a blended administrative fee of roughly 0.45% on the first $1 million. The underlying investment expense for the balanced portfolio offered is 0.69%, and it allows grants to any IRS-qualified public charity. Wealthy families considering setting up a private foundation should see if contributing to a DAF makes more sense from a time and cost perspective. The family could still hold informal meetings and discuss how much and to which charities they wanted to donate -- providing the same benefits as a private family foundation without all the administrative costs and strict rules.>To submit a news tip, email: tips@thestreet.com.Follow TheStreet on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

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Brown-Forman: Great Franchise but Time to Hold or Sell Out

Brown-Forman Corporation (NYSE: BF.A, BF.B), the renowned maker of Jack Daniels and Southern Comfort, is a great company with a strong franchise adept with economies of scale and an international growth focus. The company is well-diversified and truly reaps the benefits of its wide variety product portfolio. In fact, I always keep Brown-Forman on my default investment list as I like to buy the stock from time to time when it becomes clearly undervalued. However, at the current time, I believe the Brown-Forman Class A shares are fairly valued at $61.12.

Before continuing with the analysis, I have a word of advice for all investors concerning liquidity. This time I should have bought the Brown-Forman Class B shares as they are part of the S&P500 and very liquid as compared to the Class A voting shares, which hardly trade on a day-to-day basis. I found myself taking quite awhile buying and selling my position of Class A shares due to illiquidity constraints.

While this maybe ok for a good company, such as Brown-Forman, trying to unload positions in distressed and illiquid stocks may prove disastrous if panic conditions arise.

In terms of operating results, Brown-Forman offers strong business fundamentals. With profit margins of 14% and a return on equity of 24%, the company is a leader in its industry returning 10% a year to investors over the past decade. However, with a P/B ratio of 4.8, the company is perhaps fairly or a little overvalued at the current price of $61.12. With FCF of $454M and factoring in strong growth, I give Brown-Forman a fair value of $50 to $55 assuming all growth and operations go well for the next 10-15 years. However, the current price offers no margin of safety, and it may be best to sell now then buyback later if prices drop closer to $50.

Here is my stock price breakdown:

Earnings Power Value with no growth: $33/share

+ Growth Value: $20/share

= Intrinsic Value: $53/share

vs. current market price of $61.12

Margin of Safety = negative $8.12

*For my calculations, I used both 10-year multi-stage FCF growth and no-growth perpetuity models to compute the growth and no-growth valuation scenarios. I used a discount rate of 10%.

On the other hand, if you were to hold onto your shares at $61.12 for the next 10-15 years, there is a good chance Brown-Forman would provide you a satisfactory return in the long run. It is just a little too expensive right now without adequate margin of safety to guarantee returns and avoid the possibility of loss.

Disclosure: No positions

Greece reaches deal on austerity

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Greek political leaders agreed to a package of austerity reforms Thursday, marking the first step toward securing much-needed bailout funds.

Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos said in a statement that there was "general agreement" on measures aimed at cutting public spending.

The reforms are a precondition for Greece to receive a second bailout worth €130 billion from the European Union, International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank, known as the troika.

Greece needs to secure the bailout funds soon to avoid a potential default on a €14.5 billion bond redemption in March.

Greek Finance Minister Evangelos Venizelos was due to present the agreement to a meeting of euro area finance ministers taking place Thursday in Brussels.

"After a long, tough period of negotiations, we have finally a staff level agreement with the troika for new, strong and credible program," Venizelos said before entering the meeting.

He added that a deal has been reached on the "basic parameters" of a deal with private sector creditors to write down a portion of the nation's debt.

"We need now the political endorsement of the Eurogroup for the final step," Venizelos said.

However, the president of the Eurogroup, Jean-Claude Juncker, downplayed the prospects for a swift resolution.

"I don't think that we'll have a definite and final decision tonight," Juncker said before entering the meeting, adding that "several elements" still need to be reviewed. "This is not a disaster, the debate has to be continued."

The austerity program also needs to be approved by the Greek Parliament, which is expected to vote on it this weekend.

The measures are expected to include job and wage cuts, as well as pension reforms and other unpopular moves. Greek labor unions have waged protests against the measures this week and the issue has become politically charged ahead of planned elections in April.

Europe: Where things stand

While the agreement clears a significant political hurdle, Greece still faces major economic and financial challenges.

Greece, which owes some €330 billion, has come close to default before.

The nation has struggled to follow through on austerity measures and economic reforms that were a condition of its 2010 bailout package. At the same time, the Greek economy has been in recession for years and many analysts warn that additional austerity could make the situation worse.

Greece has come under fire recently from top EU officials for the government's lack of progress on policies aimed at boosting the nation's economy.

"Greece hasn't done up till now what the IMF has asked it to do," German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaueble told CNN's Diana Magnay Wednesday. "No more promises, now they have to deliver."

Greece also appears close to a deal with its private sector creditors to write down a portion of the nation's debt.

The agreement, which would result in significant losses for bondholders, is intended to help reduce Greece's debts to 120% of GDP by 2020, from about 160% currently.

The worsening Greek economy and signs the nation will not meet its fiscal targets have raised calls for the nation's creditors in the "official sector" to provide some relief.

The European Central Bank, which holds an estimated €30 billion to €45 billion of Greek debt, is under pressure to forego profits on those bonds, as are individual euro area central banks.

But the central bank's president, Mario Draghi, rejected calls for the ECB to take part in a restructuring.

"Everybody has been talking about what the ECB would do or not do," Draghi said during a press conference Thursday. "But the ECB didn't say anything."

Draghi said providing funding for Greece under a bailout program would be a violation of the central bank's mandate, which prohibits it from subsidizing government finances.

"It's not our intention to violate the monetary financing prohibition," he said.

-- CNN's Elinda Labropoulou contributed reporting from Athens and Per Nyberg contributed from London. 

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Top Stocks For 2011-12-14-15

USPS, Ultimate Sports Inc, USPS.PK

DrStockPick News Report!

DrStockPick News Report!

USPS, Ultimate Sports Inc, USPS.PK

“Ultimate Sports, Inc. Announces Receipt of Prestigious Award“

 

DrStockPick News Report!

Tuesday July 28, 2009

Lafayette, Indiana � (CRWE NEWSWIRE) � July 28, 2009 � Ultimate Sports, Inc. (USPS.PK), a manufacturer and supplier to the recreational vehicle industry, announced today that the firm�s X2 Triple Threat Skis were granted the �Best Ski in the Industry� award by SnowGoer Magazine.

The X2 Triple Threat Skis have remained unchallenged in the snowmobile industry and are still considered the best all around skis produced to date.

Kevin Metheny, President of Ultimate Sports, states, �It�s an honor to receive an award for an item that we are so proud of. We intend to continue producing cutting-edge equipment and sharing our product line with the public.�

About Ultimate Sports, Inc.
Ultimate Sports specializes in every item, large and small, that snowmobilers need in order to enjoy the sport and improve their performance�especially snowmobile skis of all types. We have an extensive inventory of carbide studs, mount kits, wear bars, suspension parts, snow flaps, alignment bars, and so much more. Visit www.usi-skis.com for more information.

Forward Looking Statements:
This press release contains certain forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that certain statements in this release are “forward looking statements” and involve both known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. Such uncertainties include, among others, certain risks associated with the operation of the company described above. The Company’s actual results could differ materially from expected results.

________________________________________
Contact:
Brokers and Analysts
Orion Financial
800-400-1290

 

Add USPS to your Watch List!, do your homework, and like always BE READY for the ACTION!

DemandTec Passes This Key Test

There's no foolproof way to know the future for DemandTec (Nasdaq: DMAN  ) or any other company. However, certain clues may help you see potential stumbles before they happen -- and before your stock craters as a result.

A cloudy crystal ball
In this series, we use accounts receivable and days sales outstanding to judge a company's current health and future prospects. It's an important step in separating the pretenders from the market's best stocks. Alone, AR -- the amount of money owed the company -- and DSO -- the number of days' worth of sales owed to the company -- don't tell you much. However, by considering the trends in AR and DSO, you can sometimes get a window onto the future.

Sometimes, problems with AR or DSO simply indicate a change in the business (like an acquisition), or lax collections. However, AR that grows more quickly than revenue, or ballooning DSO, can also suggest a desperate company that's trying to boost sales by giving its customers overly generous payment terms. Alternately, it can indicate that the company sprinted to book a load of sales at the end of the quarter, like used-car dealers on the 29th of the month. (Sometimes, companies do both.)

Why might an upstanding firm like DemandTec do this? For the same reason any other company might: to make the numbers. Investors don't like revenue shortfalls, and employees don't like reporting them to their superiors.

Is DemandTec sending any potential warning signs? Take a look at the chart below, which plots revenue growth against AR growth, and DSO:

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of last fully reported fiscal quarter. FQ = fiscal quarter.

The standard way to calculate DSO uses average accounts receivable. I prefer to look at end-of-quarter receivables, but I've plotted both above.

Watching the trends
When that red line (AR growth) crosses above the green line (revenue growth), I know I need to consult the filings. Similarly, a spike in the blue bars indicates a trend worth worrying about. As another reality check, it's reasonable to consider what a normal DSO figure might look like in this space.

Company

LFQ Revenue

DSO

�DemandTec $22 56
�Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL  ) $8,374 59
�Accenture (NYSE: ACN  ) $7,174 64
�SAP (NYSE: SAP  ) $4,584 70

Source: S&P Capital IQ. DSO calculated from average AR. Data is current as of last fully reported fiscal quarter. LFQ = last fiscal quarter. Dollar figures in millions.

Differences in business models can generate variations in DSO, so don't consider this the final word -- just a way to add some context to the numbers. But let's get back to our original question: Will DemandTec miss its numbers in the next quarter or two?

I don't think so. AR and DSO look healthy. For the last fully reported fiscal quarter, DemandTec's year-over-year revenue grew 8%, and its AR dropped 17.1%. That looks OK. End-of-quarter DSO decreased 23.3% from the prior-year quarter. It was down 33.7% versus the prior quarter. Still, I'm no fortuneteller, and these are just numbers. Investors putting their money on the line always need to dig into the filings for the root causes and draw their own conclusions.

What now?
I use this kind of analysis to figure out which investments I need to watch more closely as I hunt the market's best returns. However, some investors actively seek out companies on the wrong side of AR trends in order to sell them short, profiting when they eventually fall. Which way would you play this one? Let us know in the comments below, or keep up with the stocks mentioned in this article by tracking them in our free watchlist service, My Watchlist.

  • Add DemandTec to My Watchlist.
  • Add Oracle to My Watchlist.
  • Add Accenture to My Watchlist.
  • Add SAP to My Watchlist.

Tech’s Outperformance Driven by the Big Boys

Quick — what�s the one stock you feel comfortable owning right now? If you said Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), you�re not alone. Among large-cap stocks, there aren�t many that offer the combination of Apple�s massive balance sheet, strong organic growth and promise of future catalysts in the form of hot new products in the pipeline. It�s no surprise, then, that the stock has outperformed both the S&P 500 and the broader tech sector since the market started going south at the beginning of May.

While Apple garners all the headlines, it isn�t the only tech stock to outshine its large-cap peers in recent months. A look at the numbers shows meaningful outperformance for seven of the eight largest tech stocks since the April 29 top:

Looking at this, one would think that the tech sector as a whole has been a safe haven through the market downturn. In fact, that�s been anything but the case. Beneath the $50 billion market-cap cut-off, the numbers are not nearly as positive. In fact, 14 out of the next 20 largest U.S.-domiciled tech stocks have failed to keep up with the S&P 500 since the market started to roll over. Granted, some of these companies are stock-specific stories that would have underperformed in any market. Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ), Research In Motion (NASDAQ:RIMM) and Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) are names that jump out from the list. Still, the table below shows that it isn�t necessarily accurate to talk about �technology�s outperformance.�

So what�s driving the outperformance of the largest tech stocks? The simple answer is, of course, fundamentals. In terms of their earnings, balance sheets and market positions, these companies are much better equipped to deal with macroeconomic headwinds than most stocks in the financial or cyclical sectors. How long stocks like Apple, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), and Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) remain immune to a slowing economy is up for debate, but for now it has paid handsomely to stick with what�s working.

There�s more to this story than just fundamentals, however. If an equity-only fund manager needs a hiding place, he or she doesn�t have the option to buy gold or Treasuries. The logical safe haven is large-cap, cash-rich companies with stories that have a demonstrated ability to keep growing despite the slow economy. More to the point, there�s no �career risk� to holding Apple in your portfolio right now. In short, these stocks have become a safe haven for dedicated-equity managers that have nowhere else to hide.

The result is that the large-cap tech trade has become very crowded. In the short term, that doesn�t matter — as long as the markets remain weak, this trade can keep working. But once the market stabilizes and managers move back to the �risk-on� trade, these outperforming stocks likely will represent a source of funds.

The bottom line: Ride this wave of remarkable outperformance for the largest tech stocks as far as it will go. But recognize it for what it is, and be ready to look elsewhere for opportunities once the VIX makes it back to the mid-20s.

Whoopie pies - a sweet new gig

(MONEY Magazine) -- Had Julie Ganong and Alan Mons not both been laid off in 2008, the couple might not be making whoopie right now. Whoopie pies, that is.

Almost immediately after being let go from The Provident Bank, where she was a senior vice president, Ganong began searching for similar positions. But her husband, a business analyst at Sun Life Financial, "was not unhappy" to get the ax.

A restaurant manager and line cook in a former life, Mons had been wanting to shift back to a food-related career. And his wife had given him an idea: to perfect a mini-version of the whoopie pie, a Maine tradition she'd baked beside her grandmother that consists of two dense cookies sandwiching a fluffy filling. "Losing my job gave me the time to make this dream real," he says.

Ganong started helping him out between job interviews. In May 2009, she assembled a focus group for a taste test. The feedback was positive. So, that same month, when a friend informed them that a bakery in Newburyport, Mass., was up for lease, the couple sprang into action.

Spending wisely after recovering from tough times

They tapped a HELOC for $15,000 for equipment -- and opened Chococoa Baking Co. within three weeks. Ganong soon stopped sending out her résumé. "It became clear this business needed both of us," she says.

Their bakery launched just as whoopies began gaining traction across the U.S., elbowing in on the cupcake trend. Excitement surrounding the treat has helped Ganong and Mons establish sales of around 4,000 pies a week. At that pace, and a price of $1.68 apiece, Chococoa should break even this year.

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The couple, who once earned $160,000, took home just 10% of that in 2011. But a distribution deal in the works with a regional grocery could easily double their output -- at which point "we'd be in a position to really pay ourselves," says Ganong. Then they'll be living their sweet dream.  

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Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Top Stocks For 2012-1-17-3

Crown Equity Holdings, Inc. (CRWE)

Voice over IP (VoIP) is a rapidly growing technology that uses a company’s local area network (LAN) and the Internet for phone calls, instead of traditional phone lines. One of the main advantages of VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) over traditional phone service is savings on long-distance calls. By converting a caller’s voice to data and transferring it over the Internet to a VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) phone on the other end, companies with multiple sites can avoid traditional phone lines and the long-distance charges that come with them. VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) can also connect with other communications media, a combination known as unified communications.

Crown Equity Holdings Inc. (CRWE) is pleased to announce that it has entered into a joint venture to deploy VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) technology delivering voice, video and data services to residential and commercial customers. The joint venture company is Crown Tele Services Inc. which was a wholly-owned subsidiary of Crown Equity Holdings Inc. Crown Equity Holdings Inc. will own fifty percent (50%) interest in the joint venture.

Commenting on the joint venture, Kenneth Bosket, President of Crown Equity Holdings Inc., said: “We are excited to deliver VoIP communications solutions specifically designed to meet the business and residential market needs in this fast-growing global market.”

Crown Equity Holdings Inc’s selection of Core Link reflects recent diversification beyond CRWE’s original charter as a provider of services and knowledge to small business owners taking their own companies public. In addition to these services, Crown Equity Holdings Inc has transitioned into a multifaceted media organization that publishes clients’ news online; sells advertising adjacent with its digital network targeted at a high-income audience; designs, hosts and maintains websites; produces marketing videos from concept to final product; crafts press releases and articles for maximum SEO; develops email campaigns; and forges branding campaigns to bolster client company images.

Crown Equity Holdings Inc. together with its digital network currently provides electronic media services specializing in online publishing, which brings together targeted audiences and advertisers. Crown Equity Holdings Inc. offers internet media-driven advertising services, which covers and connects a range of marketing specialties, as well as search engine optimization for clients interested in online media awareness.

For more information, visit http://www.crownequityholdings.com

Ocz Technology Group Inc. (Nasdaq:OCZ) launched its Synapse Cache Series 2.5″ SSDs. The new Synapse SSDs are optimized for caching applications and leverages Dataplex(TM) cache software to dynamically manage the Synapse SSD in conjunction with standard hard disk drives (HDDs), to provide users with SSD-level performance across the entire capacity of the HDD.

OCZ Technology Group, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes computer components for computing devices and systems worldwide.

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq:KERX) announced completion of patient enrollment in the long-term study component of its Phase 3 registration program of Zerenex�, the Company’s ferric iron-based phosphate binder for the treatment of elevated serum phosphorus levels, or hyperphosphatemia, in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) on dialysis.

Keryx Biopharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of life-threatening diseases, including cancer and renal disease.

Aceto Corp (Nasdaq:ACET) announced results of operations for its fiscal 2011 fourth quarter and year ended June 30, 2011. For the year ended June 30, 2011, net sales reached a record level of $412.4 Million, a 19.0% increase from $346.6 Million for the fiscal 2010 year. Gross profit for the twelve months ended June 30, 2011 was $65.8 Million, an increase of 21.6% from $54.2 Million in the fiscal 2010 comparable period. For the year ended June 30, 2011, we reported net income of $9.0 Million, or $0.34 per diluted share, compared to $6.6 Million, or $0.26 per diluted share in fiscal 2010.

Aceto Corporation engages in the sourcing, regulatory support, marketing, and distribution of pharmaceutical intermediates and active ingredients, finished dosage form generics, nutraceutical products, agricultural protection products, and specialty chemicals worldwide

5 Stocks With Explosive Potential

What a shift in attitude!

According to a recent survey, 68% of Americans surveyed said they're "not confident the stock market is a good place to invest their retirement savings." No wonder investors continue to pull money out of domestic equity mutual funds.

Jeremy Grantham thinks quality stocks can generate 4.5% to 5% real returns. That may be enough for Grantham's clients, but that's really low. To make matters worse, the forecast for the market is high volatility, just like the past 10 years.

Going against the grain
If the crowd is getting defensive, then it's time to consider going on the offensive. That's why I am looking for home run investments for my Trends and Trades (TNT) portfolio. I want to invest in companies that can be successful regardless of what the market does.

Have I lost my mind and become a risk-seeking gambler? Let me answer that question with a quote from venture capitalist Peter Thiel: "Swinging for the fences is probably less risky than people think."

It's not intuitive, but done well, swinging for the fences can really pay off. Just look at the math below, illustrating the returns on two separate $100,000 portfolios.

Portfolio 1 Portfolio 2

Start

Return

End

Start

Return

End

$20,000 200% $60,000 $20,000 25% $25,000
$20,000 25% $25,000 $20,000 15% $23,000
$20,000 0% $20,000 $20,000 10% $22,000
$20,000 (50%) $10,000 $20,000 5% $21,000
$20,000 (100%) $0 $20,000 (5%) $19,000
$100,000 $115,000 $100,000 $110,000
Total Return 15% Total Return 10%

Source: Author's calculations.

Yes, this is a stylized example. But it clearly illustrates the power of finding big winners. Even with two failed investments, Portfolio 1 outperforms Portfolio 2. And regardless of what the overall market does, there are lots of exciting companies poised to generate explosive performance. We just need to find them.

The problem and the solution
The problem is between our ears. Our brains are holding us back. Studies show that the pain of a loss is twice as powerful as the joy of a gain. We want to have big winners in our portfolios, but we're too afraid to lose money in the process. Those two losses in Portfolio 1 hurt -- a lot!

To overcome our fears, we first need to recognize them. Next, we need a plan, a set of rules to help us find those TNT companies capable of generating explosive performance. I am looking for companies with:

  • Transformational technologies, ones that can change an industry or even the world.
  • Nascent performance.
  • Talented management to guide the company on its journey.
  • One I own, four I like
    I recently purchased Zipcar (Nasdaq: ZIP  ) for the portfolio and consider it to be a quintessential TNT company. Management made car-sharing possible on a global scale and profitable at the car level. Putting those together, Zipcar is poised for explosive performance -- and I think the four companies below offer the same home run potential.

    Solazyme (Nasdaq: SZYM  )
    Solazyme uses microalgae to produce oil -- and lots of it. Through February 2011, the company had produced more than 500,000 liters of oil. And that's just skimming the surface. In May 2011, management purchased a production facility that should generate more than 2 million liters per year. In addition, Solazyme has partnered with Roquette Freres (France) and Bunge (Brazil) for additional production capacity.

    Bigger is better for Solazyme. Increasing the scale of production should push costs down closer to its goal of $1,000 per metric ton ($3.44 per gallon), an important threshold to compete within its $1.5 trillion total addressable market. Plus, United Continental Holdings (NYSE: UAL  ) would like to buy 20 million gallons of fuel per year from Solazyme starting in 2014. Management has a huge incentive to get the new plants up and running!

    Solazyme has made a production breakthrough and is scaling up rapidly. Success isn't guaranteed, but the company looks well on its way to explosive performance.

    MAKO Surgical (Nasdaq: MAKO  )
    $21.7 billion. That's the amount of revenue GlobalData projects knee and hip replacement procedures will generate by 2016. And it's not just aging baby boomers driving the trend. The increase in obesity is putting more strain on joints and younger men and women are opting for surgeries to maintain their active lifestyles, especially as implant technologies improve.

    MAKO's robotic surgical technology, named RIO, has been taking the market by storm. Since 2006, the company has sold 97 systems, which have performed more than 10,000 procedures. Scale is the key. As more doctors perform more surgeries with robots, profitability should increase over time. That's why the MAKO sales team has been getting the word out to as many doctors and hospitals as it can.

    Knee and hip replacement surgery is a big, growing market. MAKO Surgical has differentiated itself with a robotic surgery system and its own set of implants. If management continues to put more machines in more hospitals, MAKO has a long run ahead of it.

    Pandora (NYSE: P  )
    A genome is the genetic material of an organism. Pandora, the online music experience, started as the Music Genome Project. Over the years, company researchers captured the fundamental building blocks of its music collection in more than 450 attributes, or genes. That is a very valuable database, and one that creates a fantastic listener experience.

    On Pandora, users create stations from an artist or band. The music genome database then pushes out songs that have similar characteristics. These may be older songs from bands we love. Or they could be from new musicians we're about to discover. No matter which, people love Pandora. As of April 2011, there were 90 million registered users, with one signing up every second, on average.

    Right now, advertisers pay the bills. The company also offers a subscription service -- ad free. The ad model can be very risky, but the company has the time and momentum to optimize its business model. Pandora is a growing force in the mobile domain, where 50% of new subscribers sign up. It recently turned operating cash flow positive, a big step forward on the path to improving performance. The question is, will Spotify pull the plug on Pandora's lead over time?

    EnerNOC (Nasdaq: ENOC  )
    Imagine a hot summer day. The mercury flies past 100 degrees and people rush to drop their thermostats to 68 -- all at the same time. That would be the perfect recipe for a power outage if EnerNOC weren't on the case.

    EnerNOC is in the demand response business. When a grid operator senses a problem, EnerNOC gets a call to jump into action and reduce the power consumption of its clients. Think of it as automatically turning off lights and appliances, balancing supply and demand. The grid operator pays EnerNOC a service fee for the help and EnerNOC splits the proceeds with the clients. It's a win-win!

    Management wants to maintain and grow its early lead. They continue to sign up new clients, build the inventory of megawatts available, bid for new demand response contracts, and make strategic acquisitions. The stock has been hit hard recently, following a spat with its largest customer, but EnerNOC's massive collection of data, new products and services, and cash flow generation give the company a very bright future.

    Which one will I buy?
    It's not easy to swing for the fences. We all want to find big winners, but we want to avoid losses even more. Still, I think portfolios should have at least a small percentage devoted to companies that can generate explosive performance.

    I will be adding one of the companies above to the Trends and Trades portfolio next week. The easiest way to find out which home run idea will make the cut is to click here to follow along on Twitter.

    And who knows -- maybe I will be purchasing more than one.

    Top Stocks For 2011-12-23-12

    PWRM, Power 3 Medical Products Inc, PWRM.OB

    Dr Stock Pick HOT News & Alerts!

    Power3 Medical Products, Inc. Files for Patent on

    �Diagnosis of Early Stage Parkinson�s Disease�

     

    Tuesday August 4, 2009


    Power3 Medical Products, Inc. Files for Patent on �Diagnosis of Early Stage Parkinson�s Disease�

    Las Vegas CRWENewswire -Power3 Medical Products, Inc. (OTCBB:PWRM), (www.power3medical.com), today announced that the Company has filed a patent for �Diagnosis of Early Stage Parkinson�s Disease: Abnormal: Blood Serum Concentrations of a Select Group of Protein Biomarkers.�

    Power3 Medical Products, Inc. filed a provisional patent on the diagnosis of early stage Parkinson�s disease: abnormal blood serum concentrations of a select group of protein biomarkers. This not only announces to the industry the progress of the Nuro-Pro-PD test for Parkinson�s, in validation, utility, but that the importance of the Power3 protein biomarkers are statistically valid for use as a diagnostic test. This work was done in conjunction with Transgenomic, Inc. license/collaboration agreement. The patent provides coverage of biomarkers and the computation/statistical methods used to discriminate the disease vs. the normal controls.

    �Power3 Medical is continuing the portfolio of it intellectual property in Neurodegenerative diagnosis�, We recently filed a patent on the ability of Power3;s Nuro-Pro-PD test, using a series of abnormal blood serum biomarkers, to distinguish the early onset of Parkinson�s disease ,� stated Dr. Ira L. Goldknopf, President and Chief Scientific Officer of Power3. �This patent is a break through declaration of new discoveries in this field�

    �We are continually increasing our value with the exemplary patent filings for our biomarker discovery and validation. This is especially timely for the Nuro-Pro PD since we are striving to commercialize with our Collaborator, Transgenomic, Inc., via. CLIA testing in the late fall of 2009.� Commented Ms. Helen R. Park, CEO of Power3. �This adds value to Power3 and to our Licensee/Collaborator, Transgenomic, Inc.�

    About Power3 Medical Products, Inc.

    Power3 Medical Products, Inc. (OTCBB:PWRM - News) (www.Power3Medical.com), is a leading Bio Medical company engaged in the commercialization of neurodegenerative disease and cancer biomarkers, pathways, and mechanisms of diseases through the development of diagnostic tests and drug targets. Power3’s patent-pending technologies are being used to develop screening and diagnostic tests for the early detection and prognosis of disease, identify protein biomarkers, and drug targets. Power3 operates a state-of-the-art CLIA certified laboratory in The Woodlands (Houston), Texas. The Company continues to evolve and enhance its IP portfolio.

    Forward Looking Statement

    This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. With the exception of historical information contained herein, the matters discussed in this press release involve risk and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement.

    Contact:

    Power3 Medical Products, Inc., The Woodlands, TX
    CEO
    Helen R. Park, M.S., 281-466-1600
    Fax: 281-466-1481
    hpark@power3medical.com

    www.power3medical.com
    ________________________________________

    Source: Power3 Medical Products, Inc.

    Keep a close eye on PWRM today, do your homework, and like always BE READY for the ACTION!