Friday, December 27, 2013

Weatherford International Ltd (WFT): Strange Insider Activity

It's a trend that's becoming alarming. The number of insider purchase records continues to dwindle. In fact, last week was probably the worst week this author has seen since the mortgage meltdown.

Cleary, the folks running public companies in the US are concerned about something, and based on the stock market's performance before, during, and after the last 17 government shutdowns,  our guess is that corporate executives are worried about something bigger and badder.

We don't want to speculate, but the lack of activity feels like that eerie calm before a nasty storm.

Normally, there are at least a handful of established companies that iStock has to weed through for our weekly insider buying column. However, there was only one insider buy worth mentioning.

And that belongs to William Macaulay who is a director at Weatherford International, Ltd. (WFT). The director bought 78,000 shares of WFT on September 27, 2013 for a total of $1.19 million. Mr. Macaulay's recent purchase is particularly peculiar.

The director did nothing but sell millions of dollars of the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company for the last two-years. The odd thing is he sold 78,000 shares on August 26, 2013 at $15.05. In a month and a day, Macaulay had a change of heart, paid $0.21 more than the August sell, and made his first open market buy in the past 24 months.

We can't help but wonder why the director made a 180, especially with earnings due to in about a month (November 5, 2013). Things that make you go hmmm.

It's also interesting to note that Chief Admin. Officer and Exec. VP, Dharmesh B. Mehta had a similar U-turn in sentiment, breaking a two-year selling streak when he bought 10,000 shares on September 16, 2013 at $14.97 per-share.

Oh, almost forgot, Switzerland-based, Weatherford provides equipment and services used in the drilling, evaluation, completion, production, and intervention of oil and natural gas wells in over 100 countries, and has service and sales loc! ations in nearly all of the oil and natural gas producing regions in the world.

In the WFT's most recent 10-Q, management wrote, "We believe that 2013 has been and will continue to be a positive year for both our North American and international operations. 

We expect steady improvements in North America with some gains, both top-line and margin.

Internationally, forecasts for Latin America show a very strong year and Europe/SSA/Russia and Asia Pacific are all expected to have solid growth and positive margin improvements. 

MENA should regain its status as a positive contributor. We expect our artificial lift systems product line to have steady volume growth into 2013. 

Pricing increases for artificial lift systems are expected to flatten in North America, but increase in the international markets."

Perhaps, things improved more than expected?

Overall: Weatherford International, Ltd. (WFT) is worth monitoring thanks to the sudden change in sentiment from at least two insiders. Although WFT trades below its 5-year average price-to-sales ratio and marginally higher than the price-to-book norm, iStock has the sense that Macaulay's and Mehta's purchases were not valuation based. They were sellers at lower multiples.

No, we have that eerie calm before the storm sense that something bigger and badder is coming. We'll probably find out on November 5th.

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Top 5 Tech Stocks To Watch Right Now

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), sometimes referred to as ��he big board,��is the oldest and largest stock exchange in the United States. NYSE is the place investors think of when they picture traders shouting out prices and making wild hand gestures in a visually chaotic live securities auction process known as open outcry. While electronic trading technology is now used to facilitate the majority of trading in a high-speed and high-volume operation, human traders still play a significant role, and the way opening closing prices are set continues to be based on supply and demand in a modern-day auction style format.

The Opening Auction
While the NYSE�� official market opening time is 9:30 AM Eastern, orders to buy and sell securities can be entered as early as 7:30 AM. In particular, the two types of orders that are accepted before the market officially opens are Market on Open (MOO) and Limit on Open (LOO). MOO orders seek to purchase shares at the current market price at the time the market opens. LOO orders seek to purchase a specific number of shares at a specific price when the market opens. If the requested price is not met, the trade does not take place.

Top 5 Tech Stocks To Watch Right Now: Shanda Games Ltd (GAME)

Shanda Games Limited (Shanda Games), incorporated on June 12, 2008, is engaged in the development and operation of online games and related businesses in the People�� Republic of China. Some of its online games are also Web games, which the Company categorizes as either massively multiplayer online role-playing games (MMORPGs) or advanced casual games, rather than as a separate category of online games. As of February 29, 2012, Shanda Games operated 35 online games. Its game player base, which consisted of 20.4 million average monthly active users and 4.5 million average monthly paying users for the three-month period ended December 31, 2011. In April 2011, the Company acquired a 51.85% interest in a game operating company, which provides services in East Asia.

As of December 31, 2011, the Company owned 149 software copyrights. As of December 31, 2011, it owned or licensed 53 trademarks. As of December 31, 2011, it owned or licensed 329 registered domain names, including its official Website and domain names registered in connection with each of the games the Company offers. As of December 31, 2011, it had 17 patent applications pending with the State Intellectual Property Office of China. The Company operates MMORPGs, advanced casual games and Web games in China. Its MMORPGs are action adventure-based and draw upon themes, such as martial arts adventure, fantasy, strategy and historical events. The Company develops and sources an array of game content through multiple channels, including in-house development, licensing, investment and acquisition, and joint operation. Through these channels, it has built a diversified game portfolio and a game pipeline.

The Company licenses games from international and domestic developers. As of February 29, 2012, 13 of its 35 online games were licensed from third-party developers, including Mir II. It invests in independent game development and operating studios identified by 18 Capital. The Company acquire intellectual property rights t! o online games; equity rights in online game development and operating studios, or an option to acquire equity interests in online game development and operating studios in the future.

The Company operates its business in People's Republic of China, through its wholly owned subsidiaries, which consist of Shengqu Information Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (Shengqu), Shengji Information Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (Shengji), Lansha Information Technology (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (Lansha) and Kuyin Software (Shanghai) Co., Ltd (Kuyin); its variable interest entities and their subsidiaries (VIEs), which consist of Shanghai Hongli Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (Shanghai Hongli) and Shanghai Shulong Technology Development Co., Ltd. (Shanghai Shulong) and their wholly owned subsidiaries, Shanghai Shulong Computer Technology Co., Ltd. (Shulong Computer), Nanjing Shulong Computer Technology Co., Ltd. (Nanjing Shulong), Chengdu Youji Technology Co., Ltd. (Chengdu Youji), Tianjin Youji Technology Co., Ltd. (Tianjin Youji), Chengdu Aurora Technology Development Co., Ltd. (Chengdu Aurora), and Chengdu Simo Technology Co., Ltd. (Chengdu Simo).

The Company competes with Tencent Holdings Limited, NetEase.com, Changyou.com Limited, Perfect World Co., Ltd., Giant Interactive, Kingsoft Corporation Limited, KongZhong Corporation, NetDragon Websoft Inc., Nineyou International Limited, The9 Limited, Activision Blizzard, Inc., Electronic Arts Inc., Zynga Inc., NCSoft Corporation, and Nexon Corporation.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    Shanda Games Ltd.'s(GAME) third-quarter earnings fell 1.6% despite growth in the game developer’s revenue driven by its mobile-game segment. Morgan Stanley(MS) analysts aren’t impressed with the company’s PC game pipeline, while sales of its top PC games dropped in the latest period. Shares declined 5.1% to $3.90 premarket.

  • [By Kevin Chen]

    On the heels of a resignation, Shanda Games� (NASDAQ: GAME  ) has appointed a new member to its board of directors.

    The company announced Wednesday that due to personal reasons, Guoxing Jiang had resigned from his spot on the board and also the Audit Committee. Replacing him will be Yong Gui. In the company's press release, Chairman Tianqiao Chen said of the new choice:

  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    Another under-$10 gaming player that's starting to move within range of triggering a major breakout trade is Shanda Games (GAME), which is an online game company in China in terms of the size, diversity of its game portfolio, game revenues and game player base. This stock is off to a strong start in 2013, with shares up by 24%.

    If you take a look at the chart for Shanda Games, you'll notice that this stock has formed a major bottoming chart pattern over the last two months, with shares of GAME finding significant buying interest whenever it's pulled back to around $3.80 a share. Shares of GAME are now starting to trend within range of triggering a major breakout trade above some key near-term overhead resistance levels. Those levels have acted as resistance for GAME for the last two months.

    Market players should now look for long-biased trades in GAME if it manages to break out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at $4.85 to $4.98 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 1.71 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then GAME will set up to re-test or possibly take out its 52-week high at $6.42 a share.

    Traders can look to buy GAME off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below its 50-day at $4.18 a share or below that major support at $3.80 a share. One can also buy GAME off strength once it clears those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

  • [By Evan Niu, CFA]

    What: Shares of Shanda Games (NASDAQ: GAME  ) have popped today by as much as 11% after the game maker launched a new title with early success.

Top 5 Tech Stocks To Watch Right Now: Mentor Graphics Corporation(MENT)

Mentor Graphics Corporation provides electronic design automation software and hardware solutions to automate the design, analysis, and testing of complex electro-mechanical systems, electronic hardware, and embedded systems software. It offers ModelSim, a hardware description language mixed-language digital simulator; Questa tool for the verification of systems and ICs; analog/mixed signal simulators, including Eldo, ADVance MS, and ADiT tools; and Veloce, a hardware emulation system. The company also provides Calibre DRC and Calibre LVS physical verification tools; Calibre xRC and xACT transistor-level extraction and device modeling tools; Calibre lithography tools; Calibre PERC tool for checking the electrical design of an IC; and Olympus-SoC place and route solution. In addition, it offers Expedition Series PCB design products; PADS, a PCB design and layout solution; I/O Designer that integrates FPGA input/output planning with PCB design tools; XtremePCB tool for simul taneous design; XtremeAR, a PCB routing product; and FloTHERM, a 3D computational fluid dynamics software. Further, the company provides software tools for the design of complex wire harness systems and automotive electronic components; and a suite of real-time operating systems, Linux and Android products, middleware, and associated development and debugging tools for developing embedded software. Additionally, it offers software support, hardware support, and customer training services; professional consulting services; and methodology development and refinement services to improve product development processes. The company sells and licenses its products through direct sales force, distributors, and sales representatives primarily to large companies in military and aerospace, communications, computer, consumer electronics, semiconductor, networking, multimedia, and transportation industries worldwide. Mentor Graphics Corporation was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Wilsonville, Oregon.

Top 10 Insurance Companies To Invest In Right Now: Nortech Systems Incorporated(NSYS)

Nortech Systems Incorporated operates as a contract manufacturing company. It manufactures wire harness cable and printed circuit board assemblies, electronic sub-assemblies, higher level assemblies, and complete devices. The company also provides value added services and technical support, including design, testing, prototyping, and supply chain management; and repair services on circuit boards used in machines in the medical industry. In addition, it engages in the design, manufacture, and post-production service of electronic and electromechanical medical devices for diagnostic, analytical, and other life-science applications. Nortech Systems Incorporated serves various industries that include aerospace and defense; medical; and the industrial markets, which include industrial equipment, transportation, vision, agriculture, and oil and gas. The company markets its products through sales force and independent manufacturers? representatives. Nortech Systems Incorporated was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Wayzata, Minnesota.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By James E. Brumley]

    In a perfect world stocks would move in predictable, manageable ways. We don't live - nor do we trade in - a perfect world. In the real world we have to adapt to and deal with the curve balls the market throws us, and there are no two stocks that illustrate that point better than Document Security Systems, Inc. (NYSEMKT:DSS) and Nortech Systems Incorporated (NASDAQ:NSYS) to today. While both NSYS and DSS are up today, one's overbought and ripe for a pullback, while the other is likely at the beginning of a trade-worthy rally.

Top 5 Tech Stocks To Watch Right Now: China Electronics Corporation Holdings Co Ltd (85)

China Electronics Corporation Holdings Company Limited is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in design, research and development and sale of integrated circuits. The Company�� integrated circuits design business consists of the design of integrated circuits chips and the development of application system. Its products are used in smart cards, such as identity cards, social security cards, telecommunications cards and electric cards. Its products are also applied in wireless local area networks (WLAN). During the year ended December 31, 2011, the Company obtained 17 new patents, and registered another 16 computer software copyrights and 11 integrated circuits layout designs. Its subsidiaries include CEC Integrated Circuit (Beijing) Co., Ltd, CEC Huada Electronic Design Co., Ltd and others.

Top 5 Tech Stocks To Watch Right Now: Celsion Corporation(CLSN)

Celsion Corporation, an oncology drug development company, develops and commercializes targeted chemotherapeutic oncology drugs based on its proprietary heat-activated liposomal technology. The company is developing its lead product, ThermoDox that is in Phase III clinical trial for primary liver cancer; and in phase II clinical trial for treatment of recurrent chest wall breast cancer. It has a license agreement with Yakult Honsha to commercialize and market ThermoDox for the Japanese market. The company also has a license agreement with Duke University under which it received exclusive rights to commercialize and use Duke's thermo-liposome technology. In addition, Celsion Corporation has a joint research agreement with Royal Phillips Electronics to evaluate the combination of Phillips' high intensity focused ultrasound with its ThermoDox to determine the potential of this combination to treat a range of cancers. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Columbia, M aryland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By EquityOptionsGuru]

    The Prolieve Thermodilatation System was actually developed by the current management of Medifocus while employed at Celsion Corporation (NASDAQ:CLSN). The system was also jointly developed with Boston Scientific (NYSE:BSX) before being acquired by Medifocus in July 2012. Prolieve has already received FDA approval, is currently generating revenue, and is the only in office alternative to drug therapy. The system essentially uses microwave energy to treat Benign Prostatic Hyperplasia (BPH), which is a non-cancerous enlargement of the prostate gland that typically affects men over the age of 50. The Prolieve device works by compressing and heating prostatic tissue that may be blocking the flow of urine. This particular treatment option offers patients several benefits including the following:

  • [By Paul Ausick]

    Stocks on the Move: NQ Mobile Inc. (NYSE: NQ) is up 26% at $11.09 as the company fights back against a short-seller report. Celsion Corp. (NASDAQ: CLSN) is up 339.3% at $5.14 following a reverse 1:4.5 stock split. Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) is up 4.7% at $17.50.

Does JPMorgan Chase Support Rising Prices?

With shares of JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) trading around $52, is JPM an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework.

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

JPMorgan Chase is a financial holding company that provides various financial services worldwide. The company is engaged in investment banking, financial services for consumers and small businesses, commercial banking, financial transaction processing, asset management, and private equity. Financial services companies like JPMorgan Chase are essential for well-functioning economies around the world.

JPMorgan Chase is planning to spend another $4 billion on its risk and compliance issues, as the company remains under a number of investigations, The Wall Street Journal reports. The company also plans to hire 5,000 employees to bulk up its risk-control staff. The bank plans to spend $1.5 billion on better managing risk and making sure it’s complying with regulations, while the remaining $2.5 billion will go toward legal fees. "Fixing our control issues is job No. 1," CEO Jamie Dimon said to the Journal.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Mixed

JPMorgan Chase stock has been moving higher in the past several quarters. The stock is currently trading near prices not seen since before the financial crisis. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, JPMorgan Chase is trading between its key averages, which signals neutral price action in the near term.

JPM

Source: Thinkorswim

Taking a look at the implied volatility and implied volatility skew levels of JPMorgan Chase options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

JPMorgan Chase Options

29.04%

93%

91%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a significant amount of call and put options contracts as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

October Options

Steep

Average

November Options

Steep

Average

As of Friday, there is average demand from call buyers or sellers and high demand by put buyers or low demand by put sellers, all neutral to bearish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a significant amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bearish over the next two months.

E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter Over Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on JPMorgan Chase’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for JPMorgan Chase look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

32.23%

33.61%

54.89%

37.25%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

13.67%

-3.57%

10.16%

5.82%

Earnings Reaction

-0.30%

-0.60%

1.01%

-1.14%

JPMorgan Chase has seen increasing earnings and revenue figures over the past four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have had mixed feelings about JPMorgan Chase’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Weak Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has JPMorgan Chase stock done relative to its peers – Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), and Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) — and sector?

JPMorgan Chase

Bank of America

Citigroup

Wells Fargo

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

19.70%

46.52%

27.63%

23.76%

25.19%

JPMorgan Chase has been a poor relative performer, year to date.

Conclusion

JPMorgan Chase is a bellwether in the banking and financial space that forms an essential part of the United States financial system. The company has allocated more funds toward risk and compliance issues, as it is still under investigation. The stock has been moving higher in recent quarters and is now trading near prices not seen since before the financial crisis. Over the past four quarters, earnings and revenues have been increasing. However, investors have had mixed feelings about the company. Relative to its peers and sector, JPMorgan Chase has been a year-to-date performance leader. WAIT AND SEE what JPMorgan Chase does this coming quarter.

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

A.P. Pharma, Inc. Reports Planned Name Change to “Heron Therapeutics, Inc.” and Application to List on NASDAQ Capital Market (OTCBB:APPA)

appa

A.P. Pharma, Inc. Inc. (APPA)

Today, APPA has shed (-1.27%) -0.005 at $.390 with 848,803 shares in play thus far (ref. google finance Delayed: 1:08PM EDT August 14, 2013).

A.P. Pharma, Inc. previously reported it has filed an application to list the Company's common stock on the NASDAQ Capital Market. In addition, the Company's Board of Directors has, subject to stockholder approval, approved proposals to rename the Company “Heron Therapeutics, Inc.” and to implement a reverse split of its common stock. The reverse stock split will be implemented in support of the Company's NASDAQ listing application at a specific ratio within the range of 1:10 to 1:20, as fixed by the board following stockholder approval.

A.P. Pharma, Inc. Inc. (APPA) 5 day chart:

appachart

5 Best Cheap Stocks To Invest In 2014

You've got to hand it to Boeing (NYSE: BA  ) . If there's one thing it does, it builds lots of planes -- even if they don't always work right or come in on budget. One of Boeing's latest ventures involves an attempt to stay ahead of rival EADS Airbus' A350-1000, the largest version of Europe's newest plane.

Right now, Boeing has the market cornered when it comes to "mini-jumbos," thanks to the 777, a twin-engine plane capable of going distances similar to that of a four-engine plane. More importantly, the 777 is Boeing's most lucrative plane, according to analysts. To make sure it stays that way, Boeing is planning on rolling out a few upgrades; the 777-9X and the 777-8X. But will these planes prove profitable? Or will Airbus come out on top?�

Photo: Jean-Philippe Boulet, via Wikimedia Commons.�

777 vs. A350
When it comes to comparing the new 777X's with the A350-1000, there are a few key differences to keep in mind. The 777X's will have a metal fuselage with carbon fiber wings, which, according to Boeing, will increase performance but maintain reliability. The A350-1000, on the other hand, will mainly be carbon fiber. Airbus argues that this makes the plane lighter, and cheaper to operate. �

5 Best Cheap Stocks To Invest In 2014: Rent-A-Center Inc.(RCII)

Rent-A-Center, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in leasing household durable goods to customers on a rent-to-own basis. The company?s stores offer durable products, such as consumer electronics, appliances, computers, and furniture and accessories under flexible rental purchase agreements that allow the customer to obtain ownership of the merchandise at the conclusion of an agreed upon rental period. It also provides merchandise on an installment sales basis in its stores. As of December 31, 2010, the company operated 3,008 company-owned stores in the United States, and in Canada, Puerto Rico, and Mexico, including 42 retail installment sales stores under the names ?Get It Now? and ?Home Choice?; and 18 rent-to-own stores located in Canada under the ?Rent-A-Centre? name. It also operates 209 franchised rent-to-own stores in 32 states under the ColorTyme trade name; and 384 kiosk locations under the ?RAC Acceptance? model. In addition, the company, th rough its ColorTyme?s franchised stores, offers custom rims and tires for sale or rental under the trade names ?RimTyme? or ?ColorTyme Custom Wheels?. Rent-A-Center, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Marc Bastow]

    Rent-to-own consumer products company Rent-A-Center (RCII) raised its quarterly dividend 10% to 23 cents per share, payable on Jan. 23 to shareholders of record as of Jan. 3.
    RCII Dividend Yield: 2.77%

5 Best Cheap Stocks To Invest In 2014: Wendy's/Arby's Group Inc.(WEN)

The Wendy's Company operates as a quick-service hamburger company in the United States. The company, through its subsidiary, Wendy's International, Inc., operates as a franchisor of the Wendy's restaurant system. As of December 26, 2011, the Wendy's system comprised approximately 6,500 franchise and company restaurants in the United States and the United States territories, as well as in 26 other countries worldwide. The company was formerly known as Wendy's/Arby's Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Wendy's Company in July 2011. The Wendy's Company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jeff Reeves]

    Burger chain Wendy�� (WEN) has soared almost 60% so far in 2012, but remains under $10 a share and is still a decent buy for investors looking at low-priced options right now.

  • [By Jake L'Ecuyer]

    Top Headline
    The Wendy's Co (NASDAQ: WEN) reported better-than-expected third-quarter adjusted earnings.

    Wendy's posted a quarterly loss of $1.9 million, or $0.00 per share, versus a year-ago loss of $26.2 million, or $0.07 per share. Its adjusted earnings per share climbed to $0.08 from $0.02.

  • [By Matt Brownell]

    Getty Images Not all is happy in McDonaldland. McDonald's reported its first-quarter earnings Friday morning, and while profit rose slightly, comparable-store sales in the U.S. fell 1.2%. Things were even worse abroad, with comparable sales in Asia, the Middle East and Africa falling 3.3%. In a statement accompanying the filing, McDonald's (MCD) CEO Don Thompson cited "global economic headwinds" and a "challenging eating-out environment." The poor sales don't come as a complete shock. While the company reported improved profits in the fourth quarter of 2012, it also saw sales decline in key foreign markets and dealt with a drop in operating profit margins. Though popular, the McRib barbecue sandwich can't solve all of the chain's problems. So in recent months, McDonald's has introduced Chicken McWraps in a bid to stimulate sagging sales. But franchisees recently complained that the sandwiches took too long to prepare. And the company is also confronting the fact that customer-service issues are rampant at its franchises: According to one report, McDonald's officials told franchisees that "service is broken." QSR Magazine, an industry trade publication, found that the average wait time at the McDonald's drive-through window was a full minute slower than at rival Wendy's (WEN). McDonald's stock dropped by more than 2 percentage points to $99.76 a share in pre-market trading.

    Tucked away at the McDonald's C.O.B. — or Campus Office Building — is the test kitchen, where the fast food chain comes up with all sorts of products.

  • [By Michael Flannelly]

    Argus Research upgraded fast food restaurant operator The Wendy’s Co (WEN) on Thursday, noting that the company’s store remodeling and new menus should help drive higher sales.

    The analysts upgraded WEN from “Hold” to “Buy” and see shares reaching $10. This price target suggests a 21% upside to the stock’s Wednesday closing price of $8.25.

    Wendy’s shares were up 24 cents, or 2.91%, during early morning trading on Thursday. The stock is up 54.19% year-to-date.

Top Medical Stocks To Invest In 2014: Kohl's Corporation(KSS)

Kohl?s Corporation operates department stores in the United States. The company?s stores offer private and exclusive, as well as national branded apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and children; soft home products, such as sheets and pillows; and housewares primarily to middle-income customers. As of January 29, 2011, it operated 1,089 stores in 49 states. The company also offers on-line shopping on its Web site at Kohls.com. Kohl?s Corporation was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Its strong day has also helped boost other retailers.�Kohl���(KSS), for instance, has gained 1.4% to $55.51, while�Macy���(M) has risen 1.1% to $45.40. Sears Holdings�(SHLD), however, has dropped 1% to $55.34.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    On a relatively quiet day for retailer, shares of J.C. Penney have fallen 3.8% to $6.77, but are still above their recent lows. Kohl���(KSS), meanwhile, has edged up 0.1% to $54.93,�Macy���(M) has risen 0.4% to $44.72 and�Sears Holdings�(SHLD) has gained 0.6% to $55.97.

5 Best Cheap Stocks To Invest In 2014: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated(UNH)

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated provides healthcare services in the United States. Its Health Benefits segment offers consumer-oriented health benefit plans and services to national employers, public sector employers, mid-sized employers, small businesses, and individuals; and non-employer based insurance options for purchase by individuals. It also provides health and well-being services for individuals aged 50 and older; and for services dealing with chronic disease and other specialized issues for older individuals, as well as health plans for the beneficiaries of acute and long-term care Medicaid plans. This segment offers its services through a network of 730,000 physicians and other health care professionals, and 5,300 hospitals. Its OptumHealth segment provides health, financial, and ancillary services and products that assist consumers through personalized health management solutions; benefit administration, and clinical and network management; health-based financi al services; behavioral solutions; and specialty benefits, such as dental, vision, life, critical illness, short-term disability, and stop-loss product offerings. The company?s Ingenix segment offers database and data management services, software products, publications, consulting and actuarial services, business process outsourcing services, and pharmaceutical data consulting and research services. Its Prescription Solutions segment provides integrated pharmacy benefit management services comprising retail network pharmacy contracting and management, claims processing, mail order pharmacy services, specialty pharmacy, benefit design consultation, rebate contracting and management, drug utilization review, formulary management programs, disease therapy management, and adherence programs to employer groups, union trusts, managed care organizations, Medicare-contracted plans, Medicaid plans, and third party administrators. The company was founded in 1974 and is based in Minne tonka, Minnesota.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Understanding Aflac
    Aflac has done an excellent job of carving out a lucrative niche for itself in the U.S. insurance industry, with its focus on supplemental insurance that provides additional coverage beyond what traditional carriers provide. For instance, major health insurers UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH  ) and WellPoint (NYSE: WLP  ) offer broad-based insurance coverage that forces them to take on a huge amount of risk and almost eliminates their ability to customize policies to respond to changes in demand for certain services. That reduces their opportunity to shift their business focus to capitalize on changing trends. By contrast, Aflac can target more lucrative niche offerings, such as coverage for cancer and other specified diseases, accident coverage, and short-term disability policies. Moreover, with such finely carved-out coverage, it's easier for Aflac to adjust rates to reflect specific loss experience.

  • [By Ben Levisohn]

    Managed care companies could have a tough 2014, says Morgan�Stanley, as they navigate the reforms hitting healthcare. Its advice: Look for diversification in stocks like�Cigna�(CI),�UnitedHealth�(UNH) and�Aetna�(AET).

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH  ) was up 6.8% this week to lead the Dow. On Monday, an analyst projected that United Health would be able to grow Medicare Advantage enrollment despite reimbursement cuts. After concerns about government cuts hit health-care companies in early 2013, there's now growing understanding that Obamacare or cuts to Medicare won't slash profits. One of the reasons is the insurance lobby, which has been able to bend policy to make sure companies like UnitedHealth are still posting solid profits. ��

5 Best Cheap Stocks To Invest In 2014: AeroVironment Inc.(AVAV)

AeroVironment, Inc. designs, develops, produces, and supports unmanned aircraft systems (UAS), and efficient energy systems for various industries and governmental agencies. Its UAS provide intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, including real-time tactical reconnaissance, tracking, combat assessment, and geographic data to the small tactical unit or individual war fighter. The UAS wirelessly transmit critical live video and other information generated by their payload of electro-optical or infrared sensors directly to a hand-held ground control system, enabling the operator to view and capture images during the day or at night on a hand-held ground control unit. AeroVironment also provides spare equipment, alternative payload modules, batteries, chargers, repair services, and customer support for the UAS. In addition, the company produces industrial productivity and clean transportation solutions for commercial and government customers, develops potential clean t ransportation solutions, and performs contract engineering services; offers PosiCharge electric vehicle charging systems for industrial electric material handling fleets, electric vehicle charging systems for passenger and fleet vehicles, and power cycling and test systems for developers and manufacturers of plug-in electric and hybrid vehicles, as well as battery packs, electric motors, and fuel cells; and supplies power cycling and test systems to research and development organizations that focus on developing electric propulsion systems, electric generation systems, and electricity storage systems. It supplies its UAS primarily to the organizations within the United States department of defense. AeroVironment, Inc. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Monrovia, California.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Lauren Pollock]

    AeroVironment Inc.'s(AVAV) fiscal second-quarter profit fell 81% on a sharp decline in revenue and margins. However, shares were up 4.4% at $28.10 in premarket trading as the maker of pilotless drones and rechargeable-batteries reported adjusted earnings and revenue that topped expectations.

  • [By Chris Hill]

    In this installment of Investor Beat, Andy and Jason explain why they're keeping a close eye on shares of AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV  ) and Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS  ) .

  • [By Travis Hoium]

    It's not easy being a government supplier these days. Small-drone manufacturer AeroVironment (NASDAQ: AVAV  ) is finding that out ��� terrible fiscal fourth quarter has to give investors pause about the company's growth.

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Legg Mason Down to Underperform - Analyst Blog

On Jul 10, 2013, we downgraded our recommendation on Legg Mason Inc. (LM) to Underperform from Outperform. Our decision was based on the company's high level of net asset outflows.

Why the Downgrade?

Legg Mason is scheduled to announce fiscal first-quarter 2014 results on Jul 25. Notably, the company's activities during the quarter did not win analysts' confidence. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter has moved down 3.6% to 80 cents over the last 30 days. Additionally, the earnings ESP (Read:Zacks Earnings ESP: A Better Method) for the quarter is -2.50%. This, along with its Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), reduces the company's chances of a positive earnings surprise.

Further, the likelihood of a downward estimate revision was more obvious for fiscal years 2014 and 2015. The Zacks Consensus Estimate went down 1.4% to $3.42 per share for 2014 and 0.5% to $3.93 per share for 2015 over the same time frame.

Moreover, Legg Mason's fiscal fourth-quarter 2013 adjusted earnings lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate.The earnings miss was primarily due to higher expenses.

The company's initiatives to improve profitability through adding innovative product solutions to client bases, tapping potential investment capacities, expanding distribution relationships and undertaking cost-saving measures are commendable. However, a sluggish economic recovery and net asset outflows remain plausible concerns. Hence, an improvement in the overall profitability might be limited in the near term.

Other Stocks to Consider

Even though we are not optimistic about Legg Mason's earnings, there are many financial companies that are likely to beat earnings this quarter. Here are some stocks that are worth a look as our model shows them to have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

Prosperity Bancshares Inc. (PB), with earnings ESP of 1.14% and a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

First Horizon National Corporation (FH! N), with earnings ESP of 5.26% and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), with earnings ESP of 2.27% and a Zacks Rank #3.

Can Pandora Achieve Profitability This Year?

pandora

Pandora's (NASDAQ:P) stock has taken a wild ride since 2011, debuting in the hottest IPO market since the dot-com era. Shares have risen around 15 percent since the stock's initial offering of $16, but the price has climbed almost 100 percent over the past year. Is Pandora poised for long-term success, or has its run in the past year been too good to be true? Let's use our CHEAT SHEET investing framework to decide whether Pandora is an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY.

C = Catalysts for the Stock's Movement

Pandora announced its first-quarter earnings at the end of May. While the company posted a net loss of $0.16, the company reported total revenue of $125.5 million, up 55 percent from the previous year's quarter. The company announced that subscribers to its Pandora One premium service increased by 700,000, surpassing the 2.5-million mark. Additionally, Pandora reported that advertising revenue grew 49 percent. However, content costs grew 48 percent, while marketing and R&D costs increased a combined 75 percent. Mobile revenue growth was a bright spot in Pandora's earnings, almost doubling to $83.4 million. For the most part, analysts remain optimistic that Pandora's profitability will improve over the next several quarters.

The stock has felt downward pressure in the past few weeks after Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) announced that it would launch a streaming radio service of its own called iRadio. Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) also recently debuted its awkwardly named Google Play Music All Access, but many of Pandora's core users will not leave for the Google music app because of switching costs — Google's service costs $9.99 per month. It has yet to be seen what sort of competitive advantage iRadio will bring to the marketplace. Obviously, as part of the Apple ecosystem, iRadio will be easy to use with all Apple products. Additionally, Apple's presence may cause Pandora's marketing costs to rise even more in order to preserve its market share.

E = Earnings are Decreasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Despite reporting revenue growth of 55 percent in the last quarter, Pandora has experienced significant earnings per share decreases in the last two quarters. After trading publicly for more than two years now, Pandora should be starting to show investors growth in earnings, not just in revenue and subscribers. After all, it is earnings that determine a stock's long-term success, not revenue.

Analysts do estimate that Pandora will generate positive earnings in the next several quarters, culminating with $0.28 in earnings per share in the first quarter of Pandora's fiscal year 2015 (really, the first quarter of 2014). However, even with these optimistic and uncertain earnings, Pandora trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 65.88 — about four-and-a-half times greater than that of the S&P 500. Pandora's fundamentals are starting to look a bit like a doomed tech stock during the dot-com bubble: high revenue growth with flat or negative earnings growth. Pandora will need to become profitable soon or investors will be running for the door.

2014 Q1 2013 Q4 2013 Q3 2013 Q2 2013 Q1
Qtrly. EPS -$0.16 -$0.09 $0.01 -$0.03 -$0.12
EPS Growth QoQ -77.78% -10.00% 133.33% 75.00% -140.00%
Profit Margin -11.64% 1.71% -5.35% -25.04% -10.06%
T = Technicals are Strong on the Chart

Pandora is currently trading around $18.40, well above both its 200-day moving average of $13.66 and its 50-day moving average of $16.60. The stock has been experiencing a strong uptrend since last year — much of the growth fueled by reports of its growing subscriber base. Pandora's relative strength index level is right around 80, implying that the stock is overbought at the previous moment: It could be poised for a pullback. Additionally, 30.8 percent of Pandora's shares are held as shorts. Pandora recently hit a fresh 52-week high of $20.54 on Monday.

Conclusion

It is hard to argue that Pandora Radio isn't a great product. The company's patented Music Genome Project that fuels its song-picking engine will be hard to outdo, even with the brainpower over at Apple and Google. From a technical perspective, the stock has performed well in the past year, but Pandora has not shown that its business model is profitable in the longer term. Its negative earnings per share figures in four of the past five quarters are worrisome, and it is pricey given its future earnings, which may or may not materialize. As competition in the Internet radio landscape intensifies, Pandora will have to ramp up its marketing and R&D budgets even further, causing its margins to erode. While Pandora offers a great product, it is not growing fast enough to offset its expenses. Until the company demonstrates several quarters of profitability, Pandora is a STAY AWAY.

Edmunds: Try placing trust in your staff

Hello, Gladys, I consider myself successful in my business. I own a temporary employment agency and I haven't been on vacation in 10 years. The reason is, I can't be comfortable when I'm not in my office. It's ironic my company is very good at matching temps to employers, but I can't seem to find good people to work for me. I spend most of my day putting out fires that my staff presents me with. It's just one thing after the other. I often have to oversee or at least double-check their work. And in most cases it has to do with customer satisfaction. Do you have any suggestions? -- Jon

You seem to be micromanaging, and that can be counterproductive to business success.

Your hiring procedures should be consistent with your business visions and objectives. Before interviewing people, have you made a list of the qualities that you need in the hire? Are you asking for references to support the qualifications claimed by the applicant? Are your new hires clear on what is expected of them? Taking the time to address these things along with anything else that can be beneficial to your company is crucial.

If you find that there is nothing wrong with your people when you hire them, then we can assume that the problem starts after they have been hired. Therefore it is time to look at how your management style. I have often told the story about my father never allowing my brothers to mow the lawn when we were kids because my dad believed that my brothers could not do the good job that he could do himself. On the few times that he allowed one of my brothers to mow the grass or cut the hedges he would stand over them like a hawk and yell out instructions on how he wanted it done.

STRAUSS: Empower your employees

My husband used to micromanage the repairman that he called in to make a home repair of some sort. He would watch their every move while asking a bunch of questions and periodically throwing in a few suggestions. Never mind that he knew nothing about the repairs being! performed.

This kind of behavior can scare a person out of their wits and force them to become defensive or let you do their job. And, it can work on your nerves as well. I know how difficult it can be. Try backing off a bit and let your employees have a little responsibility of their own. Many entrepreneurs feel that if the job is to be done right they will have to do it themselves.

This belief can also find its way into other aspects of the entrepreneur's life. I volunteered to be on a fundraising committee for an organization. The chairperson was an entrepreneur. She wanted to micromanage how each of us approached our prospects for a contribution. Meanwhile she had never done charitable fundraising herself. And her constant nagging and demanding to be told step-by-step each thing we did or said was annoying.

Try letting your staff to do their own work. Make them feel like a part of your company by backing off and trusting them a little more. Those employees who actually can't handle responsibility will most likely leave on their own; otherwise you can feel comfortable in letting them go. Hold regular meetings that focus on the kind of training that is consistent with goals and/or your company mission statement. You will probably be pleasantly surprised. Employees who are made to feel like a real part of the company will take pride in their work. They will also feel free to express their ideas and suggestions that can help your company to grow.

A final point: Expect the best from your staff and let them know they are capable of performing with excellence. And you will most likely get it.

Gladys Edmunds, founder of Edmunds Travel Consultants in Pittsburgh, is an author and coach/consultant in business development. Her column appears Wednesdays. E-mail her at gladys@gladysedmunds.com. An archive of her columns is here. Her website is gladysedmunds.com.

Monday, December 23, 2013

Why Nash-Finch and Spartan Stores Popped

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of Nash-Finch (NASDAQ: NAFC  ) and Spartan Stores (NASDAQ: SPTN  ) jumped as much as 16% and 15%, respectively, after Spartan said it would buy Nash-Finch, primarily for its military stores.

So what: Spartan will pay approximately $312 million in the all-stock transaction, as Nash-Finch shareholders will get 1.2 Spartan shares for every Nash-Finch share they own. The deal will give it a food distribution business as well as a stronghold in military retail, covering commissaries in 37 states and exchanges in foreign countries. Notably, the deal didn't give a premium for Nash shares, but it will become more valuable if Spartan shares continue to rise. The deal is expected to close by the end of the year, and management said it should enable $50 million in cost savings by its third year.

Now what: With the steady stream of consolidation in the grocery industry, it's easy to see why the market views the deal as a win-win. It will strengthen Spartan's presence in the Upper Midwest as well as giving it access to the military market. Shares cooled off after the initial pop to finish up between 3% and 4%, which seems more reasonable, as the earlier 16% spike was probably exaggerated for an acquisition without a premium. Look for these two stocks to travel in tandem from now until closing, as the value of Nash shares is now tied to Spartan.  

1 Million Facebook Advertisers Are Oh So Wrong

Facebook  (NASDAQ: FB  )  recently announced it has reached 1 million advertisers significant. At least one commentator believes the social media giant may have gone too far with its effort to monetize its user base. Online advertising represents a delicate balance between the value provided to the advertiser and the tolerance and interest of the user.

In the video below, Fool.com contributor Doug Ehrman discusses the milestone for Facebook and the importance of finding a level of ad saturation that communicates the message without overly annoying users.

Though Facebook may have gone too far, social media continues to have huge potential. This incredible tech stock is growing twice as fast as Google and Facebook, and more than three times as fast as Amazon.com and Apple. Watch our jaw-dropping investor alert video today to find out why The Motley Fool's chief technology officer is putting $117,238 of his own money on the table, and why he's so confident this will be a huge winner in 2013 and beyond. Just click here to watch!

Is Sturm, Ruger's New Plant a Bad Idea?

On Monday, Sturm, Ruger (NYSE: RGR  ) announced the pending purchase of its third manufacturing plant, representing the gunmaker's first major expansion in more than 25 years.

The 220,000-square-foot building, which is expected to be finished by August, will stand as Sturm, Ruger's third facility.

So why is Sturm, Ruger expanding its manufacturing capabilities now?

If you build it, they will come ...
Remember, in April, the company told us its first-quarter earnings rose 53% year over year, driven by a 39% revenue increase over the same period as well as improved operational efficiency.

Even so, while Sturm, Ruger spent $7.7 million last quarter developing new products and expanding production capacity, demand for its weapons continued to outstrip supply as sell-through with distributors was effectively capped by its limited first-quarter production capabilities.

And Sturm, Ruger certainly isn't alone trying to manage this enviable problem; last month, fellow firearms manufacturer Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWHC  ) sealed a record year with its solid fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report. In fact, Smith & Wesson's own 38% quarterly sales growth stood nearly identical to Sturm, Ruger's most recent revenue increase, while Smith & Wesson's net income rose an even more impressive 63%.

Party like it's 2013
However, while most industry executives believe this surge in demand should still have some steam left in the tank, it's safe to say it certainly won't last forever.

In fact, that's why Smith & Wesson CEO James Debney reassured investors during his company's last earnings conference call that it's being careful about building out its own manufacturing capacity, adding it only where the company believes "it is appropriate, and with a focus on balancing internal capacity expansion with the outsourcing of selected components."

In Debney's words, then -- and as I also noted at the time -- this affords Smith & Wesson the flexibility to fulfill this demand while "providing a layer of insulation should the markets soften."

By contrast, Sturm, Ruger's new manufacturing plant is decidedly more permanent.

And therein lies the rub: From an investor's standpoint, we can't forget there's risk involved, as Sturm, Ruger could be overbuilding its manufacturing facilities only to watch demand for its products taper off.

Then again ...
It's also quite possible Sturm, Ruger got a great deal on the property and that the financial outlay may not be all that significant. After all, the company did already tell investors it planned to spend a total of $30 million in capital expenditures by the end of this year, and as of the end of last quarter, it had no debt with cash and equivalents of $45.6 million on its balance sheet. What's more, Sturm, Ruger also managed to generate $30.4 million in cash from operations during last quarter alone.

In addition, remember that new products represented around 35% of all Sturm, Ruger's firearm sales last quarter, so it's obvious consumers are responding well to the company's latest offerings. As a result, if Sturm, Ruger is managing to take market share from its competitors, it's possible the company could still make use of the new facility even after today's record demand wanes.

In the end, then, over the short term this seems like a great idea, but long-term investors would be wise to keep an eye on firearms industry demand to see how it affects Sturm, Ruger's distributor inventory levels.

But what do you think? Is Sturm, Ruger's new manufacturing plant purchase a bad idea? Feel free to weigh in using the comments section below.

More expert advice from The Motley Fool
Of course, this demand for firearms largely picked up just before the most recent presidential elections, and much else has also happened to affect our lives since then. Obamacare, for instance, will undoubtedly have far-reaching effects. The Motley Fool's new free report "Everything You Need to Know About Obamacare" lets you know how your health insurance, your taxes, and your portfolio could be affected. Click here to read more. 

Sunday, December 22, 2013

Why Medivation Shares Retreated

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of biopharmaceutical company Medivation (NASDAQ: MDVN  ) sank as much as 11% after rival Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ  ) announced it was purchasing Aragon Pharmaceuticals to get ahold of its experimental advanced prostate cancer drug, ARN-509.

So what: Johnson & Johnson has agreed to purchase Aragon for $650 million with the potential for up to $350 million in additional milestone payments. ARN-509 is a currently in mid-stage trials and is considered a potential rival to Medivation's metastatic prostate cancer drug, Xtandi. Weighing in on today's actions, Citigroup analyst Yaron Werber noted concerns for Medivation, but also opined that J&J's purchase of ARN-509 is likely an indication that it expects the prostate cancer market to expand with its own FDA-approved prostate cancer drug, Zytiga, also in the same space.

Now what: Personally, I'd call today's move lower a gross overreaction. ARN-509 still has plenty to prove in clinical trials, and it'll be years before it makes it to market. In the meantime, Xtandi was approved in the U.S. three months ahead of its PDUFA date, it received approval in Canada two weeks ago, and it gained a positive view from the European Medicine Agency's panel. There is plenty of room for growth from Xtandi over the coming years, especially with prostate cancer being the most-diagnosed cancer of them all in the U.S. In sum, I wouldn't let J&J's purchase change your investing thesis on the company.

Craving more input? Start by adding Medivation to your free and personalized watchlist so you can keep up on the latest news with the company.

Involved in everything from baby powder to biotech, Johnson & Johnson's critics are convinced that the company is spread way too thin. If you want to know if J&J is nothing but a bloated corporate whale -- or a well-diversified giant that's perfect for your portfolio -- check out The Fool's new premium report outlining the Johnson & Johnson story in terms that any investor can understand. Claim your copy by clicking here now. 

Corporate profit outlook is weak, getting weaker

Corporate profits are tracking at about a third of original expectations and trending lower, setting up a potentially rough ride when reporting season begins next week.

Earnings for companies on the S&P 500 stock index are expected to grow just 3.5% on a quarterly basis, a number that on its face appears consistent with trends but is well below the lofty projections set earlier this year.

So while the stock market obsesses over the debt drama in Washington, a bigger concern could be the dimming prospects for corporate balance sheets.

BUFFETT: 'Extreme idiocy' in D.C.

OBAMA: Says Street should be worried

JIM ROGERS: Markets a 'fool's paradise'

Not only have earnings per share estimates dropped, but companies and analysts also are taking an increasingly pessimistic view of profits, with negative revisions in the past two quarters at their highest levels in more than a decade.

"As we approach third quarter earnings season, the ratio of negative-to-positive guidance remains elevated, despite being lower than last quarter, as companies continue to reduce analyst expectations," Adam Parker, managing director at Morgan Stanley, said in a note to clients. "We would be surprised to see a rash of negative pre-releases next week. Nonetheless, estimates have further to fall."

The revisions scorecard so far looks pretty ominous.

Some 104 companies in the S&P 500 have reported guidance, with 65 negative, 23 positive and 16 in line with analyst expectations, according to S&P Capital IQ. That 2.9-to-1 ratio of negative surprises is above the 10-year average. The first third-quarter results to trickle in show 59% of the 17 companies beating estimates.

As for revenue, the picture is slightly better.

Top-line growth for the stock market index is expected to be 4.8% after barely rising in the second quarter.

In sectors, S&P Capital IQ projects telecom to be the biggest gainer in EPS at 26.2%, while financials should lag with a drop of! 2.7%. Consumer discretionary is expected to post a 20.6% revenue gain, while telecom, despite its big profit boost, is projected to show a revenue decline of 10.4%.

This will mark the first quarter that Alcoa will not constitute the traditional kickoff of earnings season. No longer a Dow component, Alcoa will make way for JPMorgan Chase to get things started Oct. 11.

"Common headwinds include a pickup in interest rates during the second half of the quarter, a resulting strengthening in the value of the U.S. dollar, an increase in oil prices following the flare up of tensions with Syria, as well as a weaker-than-expected increase in (second-quarter gross domestic product) as a result of the unresolved sequestration," Sam Stovall, S&P Capital IQ's chief equity strategist, said in a report.

At the beginning of the year, analysts expected third-quarter earnings to grow 9.84%. The story was similar for the second quarter, when 8.9% EPS growth projections on Jan. 2 far outstripped the 4.87% reality.

Of course, the market has paid the lackluster earnings little attention.

At a time when full-year earnings growth is projected to be 6%, the S&P 500 has soared more than 18%. Investors have focused far more on whether the Federal Reserve is keeping the cheap-money spigot open than whether profits are keeping pace.

Follow Cox @JeffCoxCNBCcom on Twitter.

© CNBC is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news and commentary. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY.