Saturday, July 28, 2012

Analyzing 6 Stocks With Recent Insider Buying

As I discussed in my recent article here, there are many factors I screen for prior to making a stock purchase. One strong factor I look for is insider purchases as those are not only the people with the best view of the company's upcoming business prospects, but also nice when they have their financial interests aligned with us investors. Let's analyze these stocks:

1) Cumulus Media Inc. (CMLS), a radio broadcasting company, engages in the acquisition, operation, and development of commercial radio stations in the United States. On Sept. 19, Chairman, CEO, and President Lewis Dickey purchased 73,930 shares at $2.37 and followed that up the next day with another 49,320 share purchase at $2.98. The valuation looks compelling with the stock trading under 3x price/earnings and .5x price/sales.

The company does have its share of risks though as a large portion of its assets are in goodwill and intangible assets and terrestrial radio continues to have negative revenue growth. However, with this rather sizable insider buy and over 30% of the shares outstanding owned by insiders, I think this is a good speculative buy here at $2.75.

2) American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) operates as an apparel and accessories retailer in the United States and Canada. The chairman of the board, Jay Schottenstein, recently made a very large 565,200 share purchase at $11.28 on Sept. 21 and followed that up the next day with a 434,800 purchase on Sept. 22. The stock looks reasonably cheap trading at just over 14x price/earnings, .8x price/sales, and very nice 3.7% consistent dividend. This stock is a nice buy for the long-term dividend holder, along with stocks I recently mentioned here.

3) Equity One (EQY) is a REIT that engages in the ownership, management, acquisition, renovation, and development of neighborhood and community shopping centers in the United States. Chairman of the board Chaim Katzman bought 231,400 shares at $15.86 on Sept. 22. The stock is a little rich on an earnings basis, trading just under 20x price/earnings, but trades just above 1.1x price/book while yielding almost 6%. I think this is a buy here at $15.50 with such strong insider buying and a favorable dividend, much like stocks I recently mentioned here.

4) Smithfield Foods (SFD), together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and marketing of fresh meat and packaged meat products in the United States and internationally. On Sept. 20, Chairman Joseph Luter bought 200,000 shares at $19.09. The stock looks attractive trading under 6x price/earnings, .25x price/sales, and .85x price/book. I think this is a buy here at $18.25.

5) Aruba Networks (ARUN) provides distributed enterprise networks that securely connect local and remote users to corporate information technology resources worldwide. Board member and partner of Sequoia Capital, Douglas Leone, made a massive 351,931 purchase at $20.25 on September 21 followed by a 660,069 share purchase at $19.44 the next day. The stock looks pretty expensive though trading at 38x price/earnings, 6x price/sales, and almost 7x price/book.

The balance sheet looks clean though with the company having no debt, and over $2/share in net cash. However, with the stock so expensive, I have to stay away from this stock despite the strong insider purchases. Moreover, when Cisco Systems (CSCO) for example, is trading at a much more reasonable 14x price/earnings, under 2x price/sales and price/book, 1.6% dividend yield, and almost $6/share in net cash, I'd rather own that competitor.

6) MSCI (MSCI) provides investment decision support tools, including indices and portfolio risk and performance analytics for use by institutions in managing equity, fixed income, and multi-asset class portfolios. On Sept. 23, Chairman, CEO, and President Henry Fernandez bought 10,000 shares at $29.54, bringing his total ownership to well over 900,000 shares now.

The stock looks rich though, trading at 39x price/earnings, over 5x price/sales, and 3x price/book. Moreover, the stock has a heavy debt load which I'm not attracted to in this current volatile environment. I would prefer to look at buying some of the other stocks mentioned above.

Sources: Yahoo, Guru Focus, and SEC filings

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in AEO, CMLS, CSCO over the next 72 hours.

A Top 5 Income Stock for 2012

Just a few weeks ago, we released our newest piece of research -- "The Top 5 Income Stocks for 2012."

These five high-yield stocks represent our favorite income ideas for the new year, and they pay dividend yields of 7.0%... 8.8%... even 11.5%.

But I want to tell you about one of these investments in particular...

For years now we've seen the market rise one day, only to fall the next. Meanwhile, events considered to be "once in a generation" -- credit crises, sovereign debt downgrades and bailouts -- are now happening with surprising frequency.

 

In short, the market volatility has been unprecedented. But it doesn't take a doctorate degree to notice that. What's surprising, however, is how many dividend payers have not only held up in this environment... but have prospered. (I first told you about this phenomenon a couple of weeks ago.)

This includes one of our finds -- Stock No. 4 of our "Top 5 Income Stocks for 2012." This stock has simply ignored the turmoil.

I doubt you even know this company exists, despite it being vital to your day-to-day life. It owns pipelines, terminals and storage facilities throughout the United States. These infrastructure assets ship and store gasoline, diesel, crude oil and jet fuel. More important, the company has a monopoly on these assets -- no one can simply come and build another pipeline to compete. This means its business is as steady as it gets.

In return for moving and storing these products, this company earns steady fees... that it then passes on to investors. Since going public in 2001, this company hasn't missed a dividend, and it has increased the payment more than 35 times.

And if you're worried about the ups and downs of the broader market, then I don't know if it gets much better than this stock -- Magellan Midstream Partners (NYSE: MMP). Year after year it has delivered steady gains:

Keep in mind this chart shows just MMP's share price. As I said, the company also pays a solid dividend. Right now the yield is about 5.0% based on quarterly distributions of $0.80 per share. In total, over the past decade MMP has returned 530% -- an annualized gain of 20%. For comparison, the S&P 500 is up just 3% annually.

Of course, with investing there's never a surefire thing. There's no quality a company can possess that will guarantee its success going forward.

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Olympic gains: 4 plays on the games


Some of your favorite blue-chip stocks may be about to get a boost. The London Olympics begin in earnest on Friday and the world will be watching.

Sponsors for the London Olympics have already sold more than $1 billion in TV ad spots � exceeding NBC�s $850 million haul for the record-setting Beijing Games. Here are four blue-chip stocks that stand to gain from the London Olympics.

Consider that the 2008 Summer Olympics, held in Beijing, was the most watched sporting event ever. With many of the same athletes � Michael Phelps, Usain Bolt, the LeBron James and Kobe Bryant-led U.S. basketball team � returning, this year�s ratings could be even bigger.

The companies paying all that money to be an Olympic sponsor typically see quite a return on their investment. Having 4.7 billion viewers repeatedly seeing your ads over the course of two-and-a-half weeks tends to get you a few extra customers.

Procter & Gamble (PG)

As one of 10 official corporate partners of this year�s Games, the U.S. consumer-products giant had to fork over at least $100 million for the rights. It will probably be worth the investment.
Procter & Gamble was also an official sponsor of the Beijing Games, and that summer the stock got a 14.6% boost � more than any other major sponsor over that time span. P&G could use a similar boost this year. The shares are down 2.7% in 2012 despite recent gains.

Comcast (CMCSA)

Fresh off airing the most-watched sporting event in American history, now Comcast gets to take on the world. The cable- and TV-network operator owns the rights to NBCUniversal, which in February broadcast Super Bowl XLVI to a record U.S. audience of 111 million viewers.

The Super Bowl broadcast helped propel Comcast to 30% year-over-year earnings growth in the first quarter despite the company�s slumping video subscription business. It�s not unrealistic to think that airing the London Olympics will have a similar impact.

Visa (V)

Another regular corporate sponsor that got a nice push after the last Olympics. Visa commercials seem to air non-stop during the Olympics, which perhaps had something to do with why the stock popped 5% during the Beijing Olympics.

The shares are already up 25% in 2012 and are trading close to 52-week highs, so this year�s bump may not be as pronounced. Nonetheless, Visa should get plenty of bang for its considerable buck in the coming month.

Nike (NKE)

The world�s largest sports apparel company isn�t an official sponsor of the Games (that would be German-owned Adidas). But Nike has plenty of ties to some of the more prominent individual athletes we�ll be cheering for in London.

The company has deals with the aforementioned Phelps and Bolt � the biggest stars of the Beijing Games, each of whom will be featured prominently again in these Games. With ties to a number of other athletes, perhaps Nike will strike gold again this Olympics and stumble on the next big star.

Regardless, the 15% spike the stock received in the weeks after the Beijing Games shows that Nike�s Olympic presence can result in massive returns.



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8 Oversold Large Caps With Rising Dividends, Falling Payout Ratios

When a company raises their dividend, while their payout ratio falls over the same time period, it is an especially good sign because it implies that earnings are rising, and dividends are being raised, without any compromise to dividend sustainability.

We ran a screen on large-cap stocks exhibiting these trends, with increases in dividend per share year-over-year and decreases in payout ratio, comparing the trailing-twelve-month ratio to the company’s three-year average. We screened these stocks for those that are technically oversold, with RSI(14) below 40.

Interactive Chart: Press Play to compare changes in analyst ratings over the last two years for the top six stocks mentioned below. Analyst ratings sourced from Zacks Investment Research.

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We also created a price-weighted index of the stocks mentioned below, and monitored the performance of the list relative to the S&P 500 index over the last month. To access a complete analysis of this list's recent performance, click here.

Do you think these stocks pay reliable dividends? Use this list as a starting-off point for your own analysis.

List sorted by dividend yield.

1. The Dow Chemical Company (DOW): Manufactures and supplies products used as raw materials in the production of customer products and services worldwide. Market cap of $28.95B. RSI(14) at 37.58. Dividend yield at 4.08%, payout ratio at 31.29%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $0.90 vs. last year dividend per share at $0.60. TTM payout ratio at 31.29% vs. 3-year average at 106.71%. This is a risky stock that is significantly more volatile than the overall market (beta = 2.3). The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 8.23% below its SMA20, 16.94% below its SMA50, and 28.94% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 11.58% over the last week.

2. CNOOC Ltd. (CEO): Engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and other petroleum products. Market cap of $70.43B. RSI(14) at 35.01. Dividend yield at 3.87%, payout ratio at 27.61%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $10.66 vs. last year dividend per share at $5.08. TTM payout ratio at 27.61% vs. 3-year average at 36.67%. Might be undervalued at current levels, with a PEG ratio at 0.87, and P/FCF ratio at 4.68. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 11.39% below its SMA20, 18.02% below its SMA50, and 28.63% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 7.24% over the last week.

3. Eaton Corporation (ETN): Operates as a power management company worldwide. Market cap of $12.23B. RSI(14) at 36.06. Dividend yield at 3.79%, payout ratio at 36.55%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $1.74 vs. last year dividend per share at $1.08. TTM payout ratio at 36.55% vs. 3-year average at 43.55%. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 9.61% below its SMA20, 15.72% below its SMA50, and 26.92% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 9.86% over the last week.

4. The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BK): Provides various products and services worldwide. Market cap of $23.17B. RSI(14) at 35.44. Dividend yield at 2.77%, payout ratio at 18.68%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $0.51 vs. last year dividend per share at $0.36. TTM payout ratio at 18.68% vs. 3-year average at 71.18%. Might be undervalued at current levels, with a PEG ratio at 0.71, and P/FCF ratio at 5.55. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 6.91% below its SMA20, 13.18% below its SMA50, and 30.49% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 7.93% over the last week.

5. MetLife, Inc. (MET): Provides insurance, annuities, and employee benefit programs primarily in the United States, Japan, Latin America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East. Market cap of $30.21B. RSI(14) at 39.58. Dividend yield at 2.59%, payout ratio at 32.87%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $0.91 vs. last year dividend per share at $0.74. TTM payout ratio at 32.87% vs. 3-year average at 47.89%. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 7.58% below its SMA20, 16.91% below its SMA50, and 32.03% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 9.33% over the last week.

6. Deere & Company (DE): Provides products and services primarily for agriculture and forestry worldwide. Market cap of $28.33B. RSI(14) at 35.21. Dividend yield at 2.40%, payout ratio at 22.91%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $1.35 vs. last year dividend per share at $1.16. TTM payout ratio at 22.91% vs. 3-year average at 29.64%. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 10.56% below its SMA20, 10.06% below its SMA50, and 19.36% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 11.34% over the last week.

7. Johnson Controls Inc. (JCI): Engages in building efficiency, automotive experience, and power solutions businesses worldwide. Market cap of $18.54B. RSI(14) at 35.46. Dividend yield at 2.35%, payout ratio at 26.97%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $0.58 vs. last year dividend per share at $0.52. TTM payout ratio at 26.97% vs. 3-year average at 45.55%. The stock is currently stuck in a downtrend, trading 7.83% below its SMA20, 16.25% below its SMA50, and 27.37% below its SMA200. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 9.43% over the last week.

8. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF): Manufactures and distributes nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer products, serving agricultural and industrial customers worldwide. Market cap of $10.91B. RSI(14) at 36.16. Dividend yield at 1.05%, payout ratio at 2.80%. Current year dividend per share estimate at $0.93 vs. last year dividend per share at $0.40. TTM payout ratio at 2.80% vs. 3-year average at 4.49%. Might be undervalued at current levels, with a PEG ratio at 0.9, and P/FCF ratio at 6.12. It's been a rough couple of days for the stock, losing 13.13% over the last week.

*Dividend per share and payout ratio data sourced from Screener.co, all other data sourced from Finviz.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Xilinx FY Q1 Beats Forecasts

Xillinx (XLNX) reported better-than-expected results for its fiscal first quarter ended July 3.

For the quarter, the maker of field programmable gate array reported revenue of $594.7 million and profits of 58 cents a share, ahead of the Street at $588.6 million and 53 cents. Revenues were up 12% sequentially, and 58% from a year ago.

For the second quarter, XLNX expects sales to grow 4%-7%, which implies $618.5 million to $636.3 million, well ahead of the Street at $565.4 million.

In late trading, XLNX is up 20 cents, or 0.7%, to $28.

Planning Your Retirement Investment

We all want the same thing. We all want to be safe, rich, healthy, respected and loved. We all want to have enough money to buy whatever we want. But if we all want the same thing, why does not everyone drive the same car or run their business or factory using the same techniques? Why don’t we wear the same clothes and shoes?

In marketing theory, it is inability to explain the variety. No marketer can tell you in advance if an advertisement is going to work or if a new product launch is going to be a hot selling cake. As a result, the whole thing feels like a crapshoot.

Welcome to the year 2012, where bonds and bond funds will likely not be such a safe investment. Stock funds are never safe and 2012 will be no exception to the rule. Asset allocation will be only half of the story going forward. Selecting the right funds within each category will be the other key to success. Let’s look at your best investment strategy in both fund categories, and the reason why certain funds will be your best choices.

The lens your consumers use shows them a different version of perspective than yourselves or your other consumers. Worldview is the term use to define values, rules, belief and biases that an individual brings into a situation or perspective.

Second, interest rates have been driven down to historically low levels to stimulate the economy in general and the pathetic housing market. Even with a 4% mortgage rate average folks can not qualify for a mortgage or afford to buy a house. Today’s ridiculously low interest rates mean savers can not earn a respectable interest income in truly safe investments. It also means that bond funds could be a trap in 2012 for people who don’t really understand bonds and bond funds. Let’s look at the best bond fund strategy first.

Even the best bond funds of the past few years could be big losers in 2012… if they hold long term bonds in their investment portfolios. When interest rates turn around and go back up the bonds they hold will lose significant value because new bonds will become available that pay more attractive (higher) interest income. Your best investment strategy for bond funds is to own funds that hold corporate bonds that mature in about 5 years to 7 years. CORPORATE BOND FUNDS pay more interest income than similar funds that invest primarily in government bonds. Funds that hold bonds maturing in 5 to 7 years (intermediate term bond funds) will be much less affected by rising interest rates than long term funds holding bonds that mature in 20 years or more. That’s a fact, and that’s how bonds work.

Not everyone want a better dishwasher or a better high-definition television, they do not afford to pay the premium. But as the number of choices facing consumer increases, as well as the background of the consumers increases, the chances of assuming that consumers are all the same would not be practical.

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SportsYapper: The ‘Second Screen’ for Sports?

With the huge success of Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), entrepreneurs have been looking for ways to add social elements to niche interest areas. Some examples include Spotify for music and even Pinterest for photos.

So, why not do the same for sports? Well, that�s what Eric Goldstein and Dave Grossman did. They created a new and increasingly popular app called SportsYapper. It�s becoming the way sports fans can cheer or commiserate with each other about their teams.

Think of SportsYapper as the �second screen.� That is, it’s what people look at while also watching TV. The app is available for Apple�s (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone and iPad as well as devices running on Google�s (NASDAQ:GOOG) Android.

In fact, SportsYapper caught the interest of Mark Teixiera, the New York Yankees first basement, who has since become an investor in the venture.

A key to SportsYapper is that it allows people to focus on their interests, without having to deal with pain of Twitter-style hashtags. It also eliminates a flood of Twitter posts, such as from sports fans relaying often-annoying play-by-play updates on �games. This has actually become a big problem with Twitter. Oh, and SportsYapper lets its users write posts of up to 300 characters, more than twice Twitter’s limit.

As with any new social app, it’s impossible to say if SportsYapper will be a category killer. Expect to see other operators to launch.

Despite all this, the market looks primed for a sports-focused social network. And so far, it looks like SportsYapper has the first-mover advantage.

Tom Taulli runs the InvestorPlace blog IPOPlaybook, a site dedicated to the hottest news and rumors about initial public offerings. He also is the author of �All About Short Selling� and �All About Commodities.� Follow him on Twitter at @ttaulli. As of this writing, he did not own a position in any of the aforementioned securities.

The Value Trap Of Deeply Cyclical Stocks

Just as it is easier to draw straight lines than to think in nonlinear terms, it is simpler to buy stocks that have gone up a lot over the previous decade than to remain committed to the ones that have done nothing. However, linearity is for suckers. Success in investing comes from being able to see not what is in front of you but what is lurking just around the corner.

Take heavy-equipment makers Caterpillar (CAT), Deere & Co. (DE) and Joy Global (JOY). It is easy to love these deeply cyclical companies, which have benefited from the run-up in commodity prices over the past decade. Their stocks are up manyfold over that period, and for good reason: Their sales and earnings have tripled or quadrupled during that time.

The story only gets better. Earnings for Caterpillar, Deere and Joy Global are expected to continue to grow in the double digits well into this decade. In theory, these American icons should be a value investor’s paradise because, despite their past success and expectations of their future wonderful growth, they are trading at low-double-digit P/Es. Cheap!

But before you run out and spend your hard-earned money on these darlings, let’s see what might be around the corner. The past few years were characterized by fairly robust growth of the global economy. Part of this was simply a recovery from the 2008 crisis; however, a significant part was spurred by global stimulus.

Let’s pause for a second and think about that. The 2008 global recession took place because of substantial borrowing from underreserved financial institutions that went into global malinvestment in fixed assets. That put a hurricanelike tailwind in the sails of deeply cyclical stocks. For eight years, until 2008, their sales and earnings grew as if Google were their middle names. Investors stopped treating them like cyclical stocks; they became deep seculars.

The global fixed-asset bubble burst painfully in 2008, and the deeply cyclical stock story should have been over. After all, if you build too many things that will last you decades, you will not need to make more of them for a long time, and thus you will need a lot fewer earthmovers from Caterpillar. This would have been a rational expectation — and it would have been wrong. The sales and profitability of Cat, Deere and Joy Global have already surpassed the levels they reached before the 2008 crisis.

Because of massive global government stimulus — turbocharged by China’s 12 percent-of-GDP mother of all stimuli, which was further amplified by off-the-charts leverage — the asset bubble has been re-inflated over the past couple of years. The stimulus came at a significant cost: the increased leveraging of governments. Last year showed that there is an upper limit to how much developed-country governments can borrow, unless they are willing to borrow at double or triple their current rates.

We are very likely entering a third leg of global deleveraging. The first two were by consumers and corporations, and to a large degree took place at the expense of the governments that took over their debts. Now we are entering the most painful stage: government deleveraging, which will be destimulating to the global economy and cause a monstrous decline in fixed-asset investment.

Today investing in deeply cyclical stocks is not unlike a game of musical chairs. If you own these stocks, you are coining money while the music is playing. We know what will happen when the music stops: These stocks will plummet.

Caterpillar, Deere and Joy Global benefit from operational leverage. A large portion of their costs is fixed, and as their sales increase, their margins do too. Their earnings are high because their profit margins are at an all-time high, but once the global economy slows down and demand evaporates, sales will decline. Their operational leverage will start working against them because costs will not decline as fast as sales, and margins will do what they’ve always done: They’ll revert toward the mean and in this case collapse. The companies’ earnings power will be completely reset and will not resemble anything even close to what it is today. Suddenly, stocks that looked so cheap will show their true colors.

Of course, it’s difficult to know when the music will stop — tomorrow, six months from now or in two years. Bubbles don’t follow the timetables established by their prognosticators, even when their collapse is being predicted. However, the risk-reward of owning these deeply cyclical stocks has clearly shifted into unfavorable territory. If you think you possess perfect pitch and will hear the music stop and be able to grab a chair before everyone else, don’t kid yourself. The dot-com investors of the ’90s thought they could, and very few of them got to sit down gracefully.

Friday, July 27, 2012

Buy High-Dividend Fund Paying 8% a Month

Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred Income Fund (NYSE:PFD) — For investors seeking a high-investment return during a period of generally low interest rates, one of the many preferred income funds, like PFD, could provide income and some degree of protection against a wildly unstable stock market.�

Even though the fund has fallen recently from around $15.88, its concentration in the utility and banking industries, and its objective of high income consistent with preservation of capital, make it an attractive alternative to money-market funds.�

PFD went ex-dividend on March 21, which accounts for some of the recent decline. Its dividend has been strong, but many preferreds are being called, and they could be replaced with issues with lower payouts. PFD currently pays a dividend of�almost�8% on a monthly basis.

Technically PFD has been tracking its 200-day moving average for several years, and it is close to it now. Buy at the current price.

Top Stocks For 2011-12-16-9

NewMarket Corp. (NYSE:NEU) declared a quarterly dividend in the amount of 75 cents per share on the common stock of the Corporation. The dividend is payable January 1, 2012 to NewMarket shareholders of record at the close of business on December 15, 2011. This raises our dividend by 15 cents per share, which represents a 25% increase from the previous level.

NewMarket Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the petroleum additives and real estate development businesses.

Global Hunter (GBLHF.PK)

In pure form, copper is drawn into wires or cables for power transmission, building wiring, motor and transformer wiring, wiring in commercial and consumer electronics and equipment; telecommunication cables; electronic circuitry; plumbing, heating and air conditioning tubing; roofing, flashing and other construction applications; electroplated coatings and undercoats for nickel, chrome, zinc, etc.; and miscellaneous applications.

Copper as an alloy with tin, zinc, lead, etc. (brass and bronze), it is used in extruded, rolled or cast forms in plumbing fixtures, commercial tubing, electrical contacts, automotive and machine parts, decorative hardware, coinage, ammunition, and miscellaneous consumer and commercial uses. Copper is an essential micronutrient used in animal feeds and fertilizers.

Global Hunter’s focus is on strategic and base metals, with an advanced stage copper oxide project in Chile and a highly prospective molybdenum property in British Columbia, Canada. GBLHF teams are working on developing the Corona de Cobre property in Chile and the Rabbit south property in British Columbia.

Global Hunter Corp. (GBLHF.PK) is pleased to announce initial assay results from its previously announced surface sampling program. The results are encouraging with new gold showings as well as very positive copper oxide assays over wide-spread areas.

Highlights of the entire program
9 mineralized shear and/or alteration zones sampled total of 13.5 kilometers of strike length along know copper bearing shear and alteration zones tested with 205 rock chip samples
Good grades of soluble copper (oxide) over a significantly large area have been identified, however they represent only about 50% of the total copper grade indicating a mixed oxide-sulphide zone. Numerous iron oxide structures have also been mapped but no iron assays have been received to date.

The Company is planning to re-assay samples for iron to determine if iron is present in significant quantities to represent another target.

For more information http://www.globalhunter.ca

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CNP) board of directors yesterday declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.1975 per share of common stock payable on December 9, 2011, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on November 16, 2011.

CenterPoint Energy, Inc. operates as a public utility holding company in the United States. The company’s Electric Transmission and Distribution segment provides transmission and distribution services to retail electric providers, municipalities, electric cooperatives, and other distribution companies serving approximately 2.1 million metered customers.

WNS (Holdings) Ltd. (NYSE:WNS) announced results for the fiscal second quarter 2012 ended September 30, 2011. Revenue less repair payments for the fiscal second quarter 2012 increased 7.6 percent to $100.2 million, compared to $93.1 million in the prior fiscal year period, and increased sequentially 2.4 percent from $97.8 million. The increase compared to prior year period was primarily due to higher volumes in the Insurance, Consulting and professional services, Travel & leisure, Diversified businesses and Utilities verticals and a stronger British pound.

WNS (Holdings) Limited provides offshore business process outsourcing (BPO) services. Its services include data, voice, and analytical services.

3 Stocks on My Short List

As investors, we often become fixated on looking for the good in companies. We try to find the next growth stock, a great value, or just a story we can believe in. But it can be just as profitable to look for companies that are overvalued so we can sell shares we may own, or short the stocks if they're way too hot.

I'm pointing to three stocks that I think are grossly overvalued and would be great candidates. I'm backing up these picks with CAPScalls on my Motley Fool CAPS page to make these picks transparent and so I can track my results.

Groupon (Nasdaq: GRPN  )
Groupon's stock is trading at new lows, but I think this stock has much further to fall. As of last Friday, the company was still valued at more than $10 billion, and I'm having a hard time figuring out why.

After the stock came public, I pointed out that not only is Groupon trying to build a business on loss leaders, but members of its management team have also made substantial sales of their own stakes in the company. That's not exactly the kind of company you want to be invested in for the long term.

But the concern lately has come from a sense that Groupon knows it has competitors breathing down its neck and is doing everything it can to keep them at bay. LivingSocial, backed by Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN  ) , has built a large presence in the space, and a slew of other companies is coming in as well. But handing out free money to try Groupon Now! and the addition of Grouponicus shows that Groupon is trying to get into anything it can, no matter the cost.

LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK  )
There is a lot of uncertainty in the solar market, but I am very confident that the industry is headed for consolidation and more bankruptcies before the industry is set for consistent growth. Some companies will be bought out, but others are headed toward closing up shop.

LDK Solar is in the latter category, because the company doesn't offer anything to a potential acquirer that would be worth taking on the company's debt. LDK was built as a supplier in the solar industry and tried to vertically integrate into making modules, but when the market turned south, buyers spent money on better-known products from Trina Solar (NYSE: TSL  ) and Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE  ) . That left LDK to focus on supplying cells, wafers, and polysilicon to other manufacturers, essentially fighting for scraps.

Being a supplier would be fine if the industry was growing, but there is far too much polysilicon on the market. In addition, module manufacturers are increasingly vertically integrating their businesses, forcing suppliers out. That combination has sent the price of polysilicon to new depths and is putting LDK in a tough spot.

To top it off, LDK is sitting on $2.35 billion of short-term debt, $1.26 billion in long-term debt, and reported big losses for the second and third quarters, and it's building more polysilicon supply. Talk about making all the wrong moves. That makes LDK Solar a top short candidate for me right now.

Research In Motion (Nasdaq: RIMM  )
There's really no coming back from where Research In Motion is right now. After taking over the smartphone market with a product so addictive consumers called it the CrackBerry, the company has fallen behind goliaths Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL  ) and Google in the smartphone war. Unless these two innovative companies take steps backward with their operating systems, RIM is just too far behind to catch up.

Even with the stock trading near 52-week lows, I think there's further to fall. Sales have tumbled over the past year despite the fact that smartphones are being sold in larger and larger numbers. And with Apple in particular adding features to allow enterprise customers to get the iPhone, why would business customers take a step backward with RIM's products?

Research In Motion Revenues Chart by YCharts

RIM does have a debt-free balance sheet, but margins and sales are falling fast sequentially in recent quarters, so the company is going to have to turn around a sinking ship quickly.

Before long, I think RIM will be forced to look for a buyer or begin squeezing as much cash as it can from a dying business. Either way. I think this is a perfect short candidate, maybe with a long trade in Apple.

Tracking my picks
Do you agree with these short calls? Tell me what you think about them in our comments section below.

And you can always check out this and my other CAPScalls at my CAPS page. Be sure to start your own CAPS page to see whether you can beat the market.

Public pension finances could soon look shakier

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- States and cities will soon have to reveal just how big their pension holes are ... and that disclosure is likely to prompt more calls to reform public pension plans.

The Governmental Accounting Standards Board on Monday approved new laws that require governments to disclose their unfunded pension liabilities for the first time.

Currently, states and municipalities report how much they're supposed to contribute to their pensions each year -- and the amount they actually do. But until now, they didn't reveal their total pension obligation and how much they've socked away to cover it.

The new standards will provide "a clearer picture of the size and nature of the financial obligations to current and former employees," said Robert Attmore, GASB's chairman.

The new rules also change the accounting for pension assets and liabilities, in part by requiring states to value assets based on current market prices.

That accounting shift would have increased the funding gap in 2010 by $900 billion, according to estimates by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. State and local plans would only have been considered 57% funded -- how much in assets they have to cover their obligations -- rather than 76%.

"The numbers are going to look a lot worse," said Alicia Munnell, the center's director.

Some plans would have seen their funding levels plummet under the new rules. Illinois Teachers' pension would have dropped to 18.8%, down from 48.4%, according to the center. The funding ratio for New Jersey's public employees plan would have been cut nearly in half to 31.2%.

The overhaul, which takes effect in June 2014, does not change the health of the public pension plans and shouldn't result in many downgrades of state and local bond ratings.

But it is expected to increase pressure on governments to rein in pension costs.

"This is one element that will keep pension reform in the spotlight," said John Sugden, a director of U.S. public finance at Standard & Poors.

States and municipalities have struggled to fund their pension obligations for years. Some have repeatedly skipped payments or made minimal contributions, further worsening their financial situations.

The best places to retire now

But the Great Recession, and accompanying stock market plunge, left public pensions in an even more dire state. This prompted government officials to take some drastic actions.

Between 2009 and 2011, 43 states enacted benefit cuts, increased employee contributions or both, according to a recent report from the Pew Center on the States. They've increased the retirement age or years of services needed to qualify, limited the annual cost of living increase or changed the formula needed to calculate benefits to provide smaller checks.

Most of the changes apply to future retirees, though 10 states have frozen, eliminated or trimmed cost of living increases for current retirees. This has prompted legal challenges. Judges in Colorado and Minnesota have upheld the cuts, though the cases are still pending in other states. 

ORCL Off 10%: FYQ2 Misses; FYQ3 View Misses

Oracle (ORCL) this afternoon reported fiscal Q2 revenue and earnings per share below analysts’ estimates.

Revenue in the three months ended in November rose 2%, year over year, to $8.8 billion, yielding earnings per share of 54 cents, excluding some costs.

Analysts had been modeling $9.2 billion and 57 cents.

The company said its board of directors approved $5 billion in new share repurchases, to be carried out “in future quarters.”

Oracle’s co-president, Mark Hurd, remarked that the company had added 1,700 salespeople in the first two quarters of the year, which he said would contribute “solid organic growth in the second half of the year.”

Founder and CEO Larry Ellison remarked that sales of the company’s “Exadata” hardware appliance for database operations rose “well over 100%,” year over year. He said the company shipped its first clustered SPARC-based server system in the quarter.

The company will hold a conference call with analysts at 5 pm, Eastern time, this afternoon, and you can catch the Webcast here.

Oracle shares are down $2.32, or 8%, at $26.85 in late trading.

Shares of SAP also traded down, falling $2.63, or almost 5%, to $53.10.

Update: Among the first Street notes out of the chute, Lazard Capital Markets’s Joel Fishbein points to the disappointing rate of increase in new license revenue, which came in at $2.05 billion, below his $2.2 billion estimate. It appears foreign exchange effects reduced new license revenue by 1%, versus what had been expected to be 1% “tailwind,” he writes.

Database and middleware revenue, however, was also light, by Fishbein’s reckoning, at $1.46 billion, below his $1.58 billion estimate, which application revenue of $569 million missed his estimate for $647 million. Fishbein has a Buy rating on the stock and a $40 price target.

Citigroup‘s Walter Pritchard writes that hardware product revenue and support and services also look weak. “Weakness across geo looked broad-based,” he writes, “with Europe and Asia showing growth in database / middleware, but applications globally and U.S. database showing weakness.” Pritchard observes that Oracle managed to limit the damage to profit by not having to pay as much in sales commissions and by cutting operating expenses.

Pritchard maintains a Buy rating and a $34 price target.

Update 2: During management’s conference call with analysts, the company forecast revenue growth of 1% to 5%, year over year, in U.S. dollar terms in the current quarter, which would be $8.9 billion to $9.25 billion, below the current $9.46 billion consensus estimate. That would represent constant-currency growth of 3% to 7%, the company said. EPS is seen in a range of 56 cents to 59 cents, just under the consensus 59-cent estimate.

CFO and co-president Safra Catz remarked during the call that the company saw a sudden rise in approvals for software purchases late in November, and that better processes would be needed in future to close that last-minute business, a factor that affected new license sales.

Hardware sales were hit by companies holding off on purchases while they evaluated a new version of Oracle’s server hardware, said Catz. She said within software, ERP and CRM applications fared well. Growth was stronger in Latin America and Asia-Pacific than in Europe, The U.S. and Japan.

Catz noted the rise in operating profit margin to 45% and said the company was on track to return “shortly” to the profit margins it enjoyed before it bought Sun.

Update 3: Oracle shares have steepened their decline, now down $2.86, or almost 10%, at $26.31 in late trading.

During the Q&A portion of the conference call, Catz was asked by JP Morgan analyst John Difucci how the Street could believe this quarter’s outlook. Even below Street estimates, the revenue picture, he insisted, suggests a better-than-normal quarter-to-quarter increase, but the year-over-year comparisons this quarter in the U.S. and abroad look set to get tougher, not easier.

Catz remarked that the company would expect the current quarter to be “much more normal,” and that deals would be moved through Oracle’s approval process more efficiently:

What happened this quarter, we don’t actually expect that to repeat and I think we’ll have a much more normal next quarter. We have, as I said in the beginning, we’ve put in some measures so that we can monitor really what’s going on and make sure we are on time with the appropriate approvals.

3 Things You Should Know About Small Business: Nov. 16

What's happening in small business today?

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1. Smaller banks are approving a higher percentage of small-business loan requests. A larger portion of small-business loans are being made by regional and community banks and non-bank lenders compared with big national banks, according to an analysis by Biz2Credit, a service that connects small-business owners with lenders, credit rating agencies and service providers.

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Biz2Credit's analysis of 1,000 loan applications found that "approval rates of small-business financing requests by small banks and non-bank lenders increased to their highest levels of the year during October." That compares with loan approvals by large banks, which rose only slightly from September levels, Biz2Credit says. 2. Small government contractors should soon get a break. The House of Representatives is expected to give a final vote on legislation to repeal the 3% withholding tax, H.R. 674, this week -- possibly today -- before passing the legislation along to the president to sign into law.H.R. 674, which looks to repeal the required 3% withholding tax to government contractors, was passed by the Senate last week. "Small-business owners are benefiting from a burst of bipartisan activity to promote certainty, business confidence and economic recovery," according to a statement by the Small Business & Entrepreneurship Council. "Repeal of the 3% withholding mandate is one such initiative that makes economic and fiscal sense. With the cost of the mandate far exceeding anticipated revenue gains, and small firms becoming less able to compete for government contracts due to new costs and cash flow constraints spawned by the withholding tax, repeal makes absolute sense." A coalition of about 200 industry trade groups representing various government contractors urged the passage of the bill this week, saying "The profit margin for many businesses is often less than 3%, meaning that the withholding tax will create significant cash flow problems for day-to-day operations as well as draining capital that could be used for job creation and business expansion," according to The Associated Press.But economists say repealing the tax "would have a minimal impact on hiring" for contractors, according the article. 3. Author bucks the trend, opens bookstore. Best-selling novelist Ann Patchett is defying the odds in her local community by opening a bookstore. Parnassus Books opens today in Nashville, where Patchett grew up. She tells The New York Times that while she has "no interest in retail," she also doesn't want to live in a city without an independent bookstore. Patchett is among the independent bookstore owners fighting back against the Amazons (AMZN) and Barnes & Nobles (BKS) of the world by finding success in "being small and sleek, with personal service, intimate author events and a carefully chosen rotation of books," the article says. To follow Laurie Kulikowski on Twitter, go to: http://twitter.com/#!/LKulikowskiTo submit a news tip, send an email to: tips@thestreet.com.Follow TheStreet on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

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Thursday, July 26, 2012

2 Dirt Cheap Oil Stocks Worth Buying Near Book Value Now

The recent drop in oil prices and the stock market has created a number of bargains in the oil sector. The following are two stocks that are oversold, trade at or below book value, and are now providing longer-term investors with a solid buying opportunity:

Marathon Oil (MRO) is starting too look too cheap to pass up as it has given back nearly all the gains made in 2012. It has been a roller coaster ride for shareholders since the shares started the year at about $24, then surged to about $35 in February, but recently dropped back to about $24. This company has a lot going for it, and much of the decline is based on external factors like the recent drop in oil and the ever-weakening stock market. The lower share price could be a buying opportunity for a number of reasons. Marathon shares are now trading near book value, which is $24.81. It's also trading for just around 7 times earnings, and it offers a dividend that has room to rise in the future.

The company recently reported first-quarter 2012 adjusted net income of $478 million, or 67 cents per diluted share, which was slightly lower when compared to adjusted net income of $552 million, or 78 cents per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2011. The company plans to fuel growth with its oil shale assets in the North Dakota Bakken and South Texas Eagle Ford. With these high-potential projects the company projects a 2012 annual average of 27,500 net boed and 38,000 net boed by 2016. This would be a 15% increase from the company's previous 33,000 net boed projection. The best news is that Marathon's production from the Bakken is approximately 95% oil. While this stock could go lower if oil continues to drop, it looks cheap enough to start accumulating now.

Key Data Points For Marathon Oil:

  • Current Share Price: $24.81
  • 52-Week Range: $19.13 to $54.23
  • Dividend: 68 cents, which provides a yield of 2.6%
  • 2012 Earnings Estimate: $3.45 per share
  • 2013 Earnings Estimate: $4.16 per share
  • P/E Ratio: about 7 times earnings

Valero Energy (VLO) operates refineries, fueling stations and convenience stores. Valero shares are now valued at just about 6 times earnings and trade below book value, which is $28.86 per share. The refining business has been tough due to weak profit margins, but, seasonally, margins tend to improve as demand for gas rises before and during the summer driving season. Another leading refiner was recently the subject of a takeover, and private equity firms like Carlyle Group (CG) have been looking to buy refinery assets. With private equity firms showing interest in this sector, it could be at or near the bottom in terms of valuation. Valero is also piquing the interest of world famous oil investor T. Boone Pickens. His investment firm, BP Capital, just announced that it bought shares of Valero in the first quarter of 2012, with a transaction value of about $4.8 million. When "smart money" investors like Pickens start buying Valero, investors should probably do the same.

Key Data Points For Valero:

  • Current Share Price: $21.52
  • 52-Week Range: $16.40 to $28.68
  • Dividend: 60 cents, which provides a yield of 2.7%
  • 2012 Earnings Estimate: $3.69 per share
  • 2013 Earnings Estimate: $4.44 per share
  • P/E Ratio: about 6 times earnings

Data is sourced from Yahoo Finance.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Disclaimer: No guarantees or representations are made. Please consult a financial advisor before making investments.

Top Mid Cap Losers From Friday and What to Expect Now

The following is a list of top mid cap losers from Friday:

Company name

Symbol

Quote change (%)

LDK Solar Co., Ltd.

LDK

-8.24%

Ciena Corporation

CIEN

-6.63%

Oasis Petroleum Inc.

OAS

-6.42%

Phillips-Van Heusen Corporation

PVH

-4.56%

Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.

ALEX

-3.9%

Here are some of the specifics about these stocks and what to expect from them going forward:

LDK Solar fell 8.24% on Friday. Although, company recorded good quarterly results investors remain concerned over potential oversupply in the second half of this year. The rapid capacity expansion in wafers and a slowing of demand is likely to cause an oversupply in wafers market in the third quarter. It will negatively impact the margins of LDK’s wafer and polysilicon businesses. The company may continue to underperform going forward.

Ciena fell 6.63% on Friday. The stock is on a downward trajectory after it disappointed investors with its below consensus guidance in early march. The challenging fundamental in optical markets were further confirmed by disappointing guidance by its peer Finisar (FNSR) on March 8th. Weak pricing, a slowdown in China and inventory corrections are likely to weigh on the sector as a whole going forward and the stock is likely to underperform in the near-term.

Oasis Petroleum fell 6.42% on Friday. The company is seeing its business impacted by harsh winter in North Dakota and Montana. This could put some pressure on near term results. Company has also seen insider selling recently which might affect the investor sentiments. However, long term fundamentals of the business remain intact and management continues its impressive execution of the company’s growth plan. A positive trend with respect to Oil prices is also likely to help the company. This one is a good buy on dip stock.

Phillips-Van Heusen Corporation fell 4.5% yesterday. Given the recent commentary by its peers and increases in raw material prices, it is likely that company may face (or is already facing) margin pressures. The company can give below-consensus guidance for '11 when it reports Q4:10 earnings on 3/28. Given its YTD underperformance it appears that investors are already pricing in the risk to some extent. However, margin pressure is likely to continue being an overhang and the stock may underperform going forward (along with its peers Ralph Lauren (RL) and V.F. Corporation (VFC)).

Alexander & Baldwin lost 3.9% on Friday. The company’s shipping unit is getting negatively impacted by rising fuel costs and it expects to record operating losses for that segment during the first quarter. Further, weak spot pricing in the China trade lane is not helping either. The fundamental of the business continues to struggle and the stock may underperform going forward.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

A Starbucks Drink That Doesn’t Taste ‘burnt’

Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) has added yet another specialty drink to its already long list of menu offerings this week. This time, they were really thinking outside the box when they brewed up the idea of a fruit and coffee-based hybrid drink designed to quench your thirst on a hot summer day.

This unexplored flavor combination is known as the �Refresher.� So what makes this particular beverage so unique? Well first off, Starbucks has made a conscious effort to address the primary complaint of many customers � the fact that its coffee is bitter or �tastes burnt� to millions of Americans. The trick was to use green, unroasted beans.

It�s an interesting strategy to broaden Starbucks� appeal to consumers who had written it off. But will it work?

The new �Refresher� drinks are just interesting enough to work. The icy summer concoction is made of powdered, unroasted green coffee beans and low calorie fruit flavors. The coffee-based coolers come in lime and berry flavors and represent a bold venture by SBUX to attract consumers who dislike the taste of coffee into their stores. The powdered coffee base for the drink is said to be flavorless and the drink will pack a much more subdued caffeine punch than a normal cup of Joe.

“It’s coffee that doesn’t taste like coffee,” Starbucks’ vice president of global beverage Julie Felss Masino told Reuters.

For Starbucks, Refreshers represent the newest push to position itself atop the global specialty beverage market and reclaim some ground it has lost to industry competitors. The company hopes to recreate the success that followed its original Frappuccino with this new unique cooler. The debut of the new SBUX drink comes at a time when McDonald�s (NYSE: MCD) �McCafe� beverage line has managed to establish itself as a viable opponent to Starbucks by replicating its at a lower price.

But after wandering in the wilderness for a while, Starbucks has come roaring back as of late. SBUX stock has dramatically outperformed MCD stock over the past 12 months, up +36% from this time last year and doubling the gains tallied by the broader market. The chain just announced recently that it�s newly launched Via line of instant coffee has tallied over $100 million in sales since its October 2009 launch, and appears ready to fight to regain dominance of the specialty beverage market.

The Refresher is an integral part of the Starbucks strategy. The drink debuted at 113 selected test locations in San Diego to gauge success before nationwide rollout, so investors should watch closely to see if this is another homerun for the comeback coffee company.

The initial run of the product is priced between $2.50 and $2.95 � a bit pricey, but perhaps worth a taste.

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Verizon Netbook Saves, With Shortcomings

The netbook wars are heating up.

Earlier this year, Verizon Communications(VZ), AT&T(T) and Sprint Nextel(S) began selling low-power notebook computers, called netbooks. The offers were similar to those for smart phones: Businesses get 50% off the price of the device for signing a two-year contract with data access for about $60 a month.

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The trend is gaining steam. This week, electronics giant Best Buy(BBY) started offering these deals. But before you rush out to buy, know that the savings and risks for small businesses can be significant.Take Hewlett-Packard's (HPQ) HP Mini 1152NR netbook computer. Best Buy is offering this hot little mini for $499. For $399, you can get the same computer with an embedded Verizon broadband connection. For $199, you can get the same computer with AT&T service. And get ready for this: It sells the same computer with a Sprint connection for just $99. That's one computer, three different carriers for four different prices. Does your brain hurt? Mine does. To compare the values in play here, I ordered the HP Mini device from Verizon for $199 with a two-year service plan and a HP Mini 2140 that starts at $399 directly from Hewlett-Packard. The comparison provides some telling insight into the upsides and downsides of buying a business laptop through your cell phone company. What you get: Assuming you're planning to pay for broadband service, you get a perfectly reasonable computer at a perfectly reasonable price,. Verizon's HP Mini is the same machine Hewlett-Packard sells. It runs a first-tier Intel (INTC) Atom processor and offers 1 gigabyte of memory and hard drive that's a bit small at 80 gigabytes. Windows XP Home Edition comes installed and it has a cool Web cam.

This 3-pound computer manages the most basic business tasks such as word processing through computer-based programs like Microsoft (MSFT) Office and Web-based options like Google (GOOG) Apps.

Even better, Verizon has worked hard to make accessing its network easier. I struggled in the past with installing the ironically named VZAccess Manager. But not with the HP Mini. Installing, configuring and logging on to Verizon's broadband network took six clicks and less than 5 minutes.

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And most importantly, the HP Mini is cute. It's the size of trade paperback. You'll be the talk of the Economy Plus class when you whip out this baby on that next awful flight. What you don't get: Don't expect a computer that does everything you need. For all of the value of Verizon's HP Mini, it has some serious limitations. First off, Verizon isn't Dell (DELL). This is the only computer Verizon sells and there's no configuring drives or storage or anything to suit your needs. Unlike the Mini sold by Hewlett-Packard, there's no Ethernet jack on the Verizon HP Mini, which means you can't plug in to your network at the office. It also lacks a traditional multi-pin monitor connector, which restricts its ability to dock at a desk. There was also only one audio jack, limiting how you use headsets to either USB headphones or single-jacked units. And you're stuck with only 80 gigabytes of hard drive storage. None of these are deal breakers. But you see the issue.

Bottom line: Verizon's HP Mini offers easy mobile connectivity. It lets you log into your company Web site in style, and do basic word processing and presentations.

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Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Intevac Q1 Tops Estimates On Strong Demand For Hard Drives

Intevac (IVAC) shares are trading higher after hours on strong Q1 results.

The company, which among other things makes manufacturing equipment for the hard-drive business, posted revenue of $33.1 million and a profit of 6 cents a share; the Street has been expecting $28.9 million and a loss of 3 cents. The company said the outlook for its equipment business remains strong, with drive supply expected to remain tight through 2010, with another strong year expected in 2011.

IVAC in late trading is up 80 cents, or 5.4%, to $15.50.

The Top Ten IPO Candidates for 2010

It’s been a long drought for IPOs, but venture capitalists and tech entrepreneurs are hopeful that 2010 will be the year they rain down on the Valley once gain. Earlier this year, a handful of IPOs trickled out, such as OpenTable (OPEN), Rackspace (RAX), and A123Systems (AONE). But what people are really waiting for is another Netscape moment—an iconic IPO which will whet investors' appetites and open the floodgates for others to follow.

Below is our list of the top ten IPO candidates for 2010 in the technology industry (and, no, it doesn’t include Twitter). I conducted an informal survey of some top VCs and angel investors. These are the names whispered about the most in the Valley and other tech circles. The hope is that the economy will swing back and the public markets will become receptive to IPOs, especially towards the second half of the year. The stock market in general is finding its legs already. The S&P 500 is up 24 percent this year. If the bull market continues, that will be good for the prospects of seeing these potential IPOs. And if it doesn’t, there’s always M&A.

1. Facebook. Total raised: $716 million.

If there is one company which everyone is looking towards for a new Netscape moment, it is Facebook. The company can pretty much go public any time it wants. It is already the fourth largest site in the U.S. and the world. Its last private common stock sale valued the company at $11 billion, which may or may not be rational. The key to a large public valuation will be whether Facebook can figure out how to turn all of that attention into advertising dollars. So far it is said to be on track to beat its $550 million revenue projections from earlier this year. A Facebook IPO would certainly create a halo effect for other tech offerings. Even if it doesn’t go out in 2010, the prospect that it might could still help other companies go public as hungry investors grab what they can get.

2. Zynga. Total raised: $219 million.

Social game developer Zynga is on a tear, with more than 230 million people a month actively playing its games such as FarmVille, PetVille, and Texas HoldEm Poker. The company just raised a whopping $180 million round. It is believed to be Facebook’s largest advertiser and pulling in at least $250 million in revenues on its own. But it is also at the center of the Scamville controversy over how it makes some of its money from scammy offers. If it can convince investors it has cleaned up its act, they will gobble up an IPO.

3. LinkedIn. Total raised: $103 million.

The other social network, LinkedIn is like the enterprise version of Facebook. It is where business gets done and people find jobs. Last year alone it raised about $75 million at a $1 billion valuation. Founder Reid Hoffman has spoken repeatedly about LinkedIn’s ability to IPO. Earlier this year, he recruited former Yahoo exec Jeff Weiner to be CEO and is spending more time himself as a venture capitalist, which has always been his sideline.

4. Glam Media. Total raised: $125 million.

Glam Media is one of the fastest growing ad networks and collection of fashion- and women-oriented sites. At a time when traditional media and women’s magazines are suffering, Glam saw display advertising revenues across its network up more than 50 percent in 2009. CEO Samir Arora expects the company to be profitable in the fourth quarter, and is recruiting executives with big-company experience. Ad networks which dominate their niche are an easy lay-up for investors.

5. Demand Media. Total raised: $355 million.

Demand Media is another LA-based company, started by former MySpace chairman Richard Rosenblatt. Demand Media owns a collection of sites such as eHow, Livestrong, and countless niche sites. It also owns domain name registrar eNom, which generates a lot of its cash. Demand Media is a content mill, churning out articles and videos for its niche sites like Golflink.com and Trails.com cheaply and quickly in response to what people are searching for. It may not be sexy, but it is lucrative enough that potential acquirers are sniffing around and AOL’s Tim Armstrong is looking to copy and improve on the niche content model.

6. Gilt Groupe. Total raised: $48 million.

Gilt is a private online shopping club for luxury goods. Its revenues are reportedly around $200 million this year, and expected to more than double next year. IPO talk is already in the air. Gilt’s counterpart in Europe, Ventee-Privée, is rumored to be in acquisition talks with Amazon (AMZN) for around $3 billion. And Kleiner Perkins just invested in One Kings Lane, another private shopping club based in England.

7. Etsy. Total raised: $31.6 million.

Another niche e-commerce play could be Etsy, the Brooklyn-based marketplace for handcrafted goods. Sellers on Etsy are on track to trade $200 million worth of goods on the marketplace this year, double from last year. Founder Rob Kalin recently took over again as CEO and says the company is now profitable. Etsy will never be as big as eBay, but its focus means that can become the alternative eBay for buyers and sellers of high-quality, custom-designed apparel, furniture, and other goods.

8. Yelp. Total raised: $31 million.

Yelp was nearly acquired by Google (GOOG) for around $500 million before the deal broke down last week. The fast-rising local reviews site now might try the public markets instead. The company already has 300 employees and is becoming a powerhouse in the online advertising for local businesses, which is an area of growth every major Web company wants to participate in. Already the IPO filings are starting to come in, with ReachLocal filing to raise $100 million for its local ad network.

9. Tesla Motors Total raised: $783 million.

Why would you invest in GM IPO if you could invest in Tesla instead? Silicon Valley’s electric car company is expected to hit the public markets. Building a car company takes massive amounts of capital, and Tesla has raised nearly $800 million so far. Most of that comes in the form of government loans, such as the $465 million it received as part of the government’s $25 billion bailout of the U.S. auto industry. A lot of the capital also comes from partner Daimler, and billionaire founder Elon Musk. But, hey, at least Tesla is profitable, which is saying a lot for a car maker.

10. Skype Total raised: $69 million

Despite all the drama surrounding eBay’s recent sale of Skype to a group of private investors including Silver Lake Partners and Andreessen Horowitz for $2.75 billion, the deal got done. Skype is already a major Internet brand, with more than 500 million users of its Internet calling, IM, and video communications service, and $185 million in quarterly revenues. Before eBay found its buyers, it was very publicly pursuing the IPO route. And given that eBay retains a 30 percent stake in Skype, that is still an option if its growth continues apace.

Runners Up: The ten names above are the most likely to go public if the markets open up. Other companies which might tap the public markets include Associated Content, Brightcove, Digg, StumbleUpon, LiveOps, Workday, Merchant Circle, ExactTarget, Chegg, and Rearden Commerce. Most informed observers do not expect a Twitter IPO next year. It is too early. The company just raised $100 million, and still needs to figure out its business model. Maybe in 2011.

Which of these companies do you think is most likely to IPO? Which ones would you invest in?

Photo credit: Flickr/David Paul Ohmer

Original post

How Portfolio Optimizer Software Can Dispel Investing Myths

Portfolio optimizer software is a tool used by investment professionals to test the risk and return characteristics of their portfolios on historical data. This article discusses the benefits and myths of these types of tools on real world investment returns.

Mutual fund managers, hedge fund managers, and wealth managers are all judged on the real performance of their managed portfolios over time. This is typically compared to a major benchmark such as the S&P500, MSCI World Index, High Yield Bond Index, or other well-known diversified measure.

The goal is to outperform the benchmark consistently. This can be done by generating the same returns with less risk, greater returns with more risk, or more returns with less risk. The optimum theoretical investment portfolio lies on something called the Efficient Frontier. So how do investment managers build a portfolio that performs at its best?

After picking the best investments, a fund manager will turn to portfolio optimizer software to determine the optimum weightings for each stock, bond, or ETF. Plugging in the list of possible investments and running multiple simulations will output an estimated optimum portfolio based on the historical correlations, volatilities, and returns of each one. The primary benefit of this process is to understand if the portfolio has sufficient diversification. It is easy to accidentally create a portfolio which is highly correlated and vulnerable to market shocks and this simulation analysis is helpful in reducing this danger.

While the process itself is informative, beware that it’s not perfect and can lead to some erroneous assumptions. It’s based on historical data only and tomorrow may not be the same as the past, so today’s portfolio will not be the optimum one for the future. It assumes no transaction costs which is clearly not the case. It assumes perfect information is available in the market which may or may not be true. Finally, it is based on the belief that a major market index is the most appropriate benchmark when many investors may have other drivers such as tax rates, hedging, or a specific investment time horizon.

This short overview of portfolio optimizer software and its common usage should help you determine if this type of tool is right for you.

If you are looking for portfolio optimizer software you can get started with a low price yet sophisticated model right here: http://www.financial-edu.com/portfolio-optimization.php

Overbought Biotech Still a Good Buy

Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ:CELG) � This company is considered by S&P to have �the brightest growth prospects among large-cap biotech companies.� Its impressive performance was led by its cancer products Revlimid and Vidaza. The company also has a number of other products in the pipeline awaiting FDA approval.

Earnings are expected to reach $3.20 in 2011 and $3.80 in 2012, and gross margins are expected to maintain 93%. Analysts target the stock at $75 to $85 within 12 months.

Technically CELG broke from a compound top on Sept. 20 on heavy volume, and even though the stochastic appears overbought, the breakout is so strong that it could remain overbought for some time. The trading target for CELG is raised to $75.

Hedging the Most Heavily-Traded Amex Names

The table below shows the costs, as of Friday's close, of hedging the most actively-traded (by dollar volume) American Stock Exchange names against greater-than-20% declines over the next several months, using the optimal puts for that. First, a reminder about why I've used 20% as a decline threshold, and what optimal puts mean in this context, plus a quick note about the American Stock Exchange most actives list.

Optimal Puts

Optimal puts are the ones that will give you the level of protection you want at the lowest possible cost. With Portfolio Armor (available in Seeking Alpha's Investing Tools Store, and as an Apple iOS app), you just enter the symbol of the stock or ETF you're looking to hedge, the number of shares you own, and the maximum decline you're willing to risk (your threshold). Then the app uses an algorithm developed by a finance academic to sort through and analyze all of the available puts for your position, scanning for the optimal ones.

Decline Thresholds

You can enter any percentage you like for a threshold when using Portfolio Armor (the higher the percentage though, the greater the chance you will find optimal puts for your position). The idea for a 20% threshold comes, as I've mentioned before, from a comment fund manager John Hussman made in a market commentary in October 2008:

An intolerable loss, in my view, is one that requires a heroic recovery simply to break even … a short-term loss of 20%, particularly after the market has become severely depressed, should not be at all intolerable to long-term investors because such losses are generally reversed in the first few months of an advance (or even a powerful bear market rally).

Essentially, 20% is a large enough threshold that it reduces the cost of hedging but not so large that it precludes a recovery. When hedging, cost is always a concern, which is where optimal puts come in.

A note about the Amex most actives list

As of Friday, all of the 20 names on the American Stock Exchange's most actively traded list were ETFs, rather than stocks.

Hedging costs as of Friday's close

The data in the table below is as of Friday's close.

Symbol

Name

Cost of Protection (as % of position value)

(SPY)

SPDR S&P 500

1.36%***

(DIA) SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg 1.30%***
(IWM) PowerShares QQQ Trust 2.14%**
(GLD) SPDR Gold Trust 0.53%***

(XLE)

Select Sector SPDR -- Energy

2.17%***

(SLV) iShares Silver Trust 5.08%*
(EFA) iShares MSCI EAFE Index 1.97%***

(EWZ)

iShares MSCI Brazil Index

2.91%***

(VWO) Vanguard Emerging Markets 2.48%***
(XLF) Financial Select Sector SPDR 1.85%***

(OIH)

Oil Services HOLDRs

2.49%*

(XLI) Industrial Select Sector SPDR 2.04%***

(TNA)

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X

17.0%*

(TLT) iShares Barclays 20+ Yr Treas 0.77%***
(SSO) ProShares Ultra S&P 500 8.92%***
(XOP) SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration 3.92%***
(IVV) iShares S&P 500 Index 4.40%***
(FXI) iShares FTSE China 25 Index 1.86%**
(TZA) Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X 17.7%*
(XLB) Materials Select Sector SPDR 2.36%***

*Based on optimal puts expiring in October, 2011.

**Based on optimal puts expiring in November, 2011.

***Based on optimal puts expiring in December, 2011.

Disclosure: I am long some puts on DIA.

Speeding tickets fix makes a million

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Steve Miller's first instinct was to heckle his brother about his speeding ticket.

But then he saw a business opportunity in his brother's reckless-driving habit. In California, a process called "trial by written declaration" makes it easier to get a speeding ticket dismissed or the charge reduced. And it can be done without a court date.

The "trial by written declaration" is on the back of every ticket, but few people notice it, said Miller. "We really took something that anybody can do themselves and built a business around it," said Miller, 46.

TicketBust.com coaches California drivers in this little-known method to fight traffic infractions, such as speeding tickets, sign violations and blowing red lights.

Cool companies

Miller's enthusiasm for the business idea grew after his brother, through the "trial by written declaration" process, was found not guilty.

In 2004, he launched TicketBust.com in Westlake Village, Calif., as a one-man operation. Today, the company has 10 employees. Customers e-mail TicketBust.com details about their ticket. Then they send the company three signed copies of the Trial by Declaration form and pay $249 to have those forms mailed to the judge or another officer of the court. They also receive a copy of Miller's book: "Traffic Tickets: Don't Get Mad. Get Them Dismissed." There is a money-back guarantee that the ticket will either be reduced or dismissed.

Customers can also opt to purchase the book and do the process on their own.

In October of 2010, TicketBust.com passed over the $1 million in revenue mark. "One of our goals was to hit that mark. It was a feeling that you've achieved something, and now you need to set a new goal," he said. "In 2012, we plan to add another four or five employees."

Miller -- who serves as president and CEO -- had zero competitors when he launched TicketBust.com. Today, there are six. "It's really exploded in the last few years," he said. "There was nobody in California doing this at the time we started."

He is constantly trying to stay ahead of competing companies. He launched a free iPhone and Android app that allows customers to take a photo of the ticket, fill out a brief form and sign up with TicketBust.com. Only his company offers this perk.

He also beefed up his website. He has lots of dot-com experience, including running MediaHipp, an interactive agency with 70 programmers. He also heads up Tier3 Technologies, an IT-services company. "That gave me a lot of knowledge in how to put together a good website," said Miller.

Hollywood stuntman Thomas Bruggeman -- he's appeared in "Gone in 60 Seconds" and "Enemy of the State" -- was initially suspicious when he heard about TIcketBust.com. Still, he intended to battle his $395 ticket for allegedly going 85 miles per hour in a 65-miles-per-hour zone. TicketBust.com's extensive paperwork only fueled his concerns. "I called them up, told them it was B.S. and asked to speak with the president," he said. "We had a good talk." In the end, Bruggeman decided to try the service, and his ticket was dismissed. He also saved money. "If I hired a lawyer to fight it, it would have cost me $800," he said.

We're hiring!

Only nine percent of tickets are actually contested, Miller said. But that is quickly changing. By November, Miller estimated that TicketBust.com had worked on 38,000 cases. "The court likes it because it eliminates their court time and the courts are very full right now with cases that are backed up by months," said Miller. "There will always be traffic tickets. In this economy, our business has gone up, because people do not want to pay their tickets. People are more frugal about where they put their money."

Steven Lubell, a judge who sat on the bench for 11 years in Los Angeles Superior Court before retiring in March 2010, said some traffic tickets are issued in error, or for one-time mistakes: "A lot of municipalities get it wrong and calling attention to it is a good thing," said Lubell. "People make mistakes. People run a red light or go through a stop sign.

However, for repeat offenders, services like TicketBust.com might only enable the speeder, Lubell said. "If they're getting away with what they're doing and doing it again, that's not a good thing. If they're getting caught that many times, their traffic behavior needs to be reviewed." 

Greentech Roundup: BYD Moving into Solar?

By Michael Kanellos

Translation is more important than ever.

China's BYD (BYDDF.PK), a battery and car maker that's ten perccent owned by Berkshire Hathaway, will invest $3.3 billion into a "solar battery" plant in Shaanxi province that will produce 5 megawatts worth of energy capacity. What is a solar battery? Confusion reigns on this point. English-based news agencies say that the plant will produce batteries for cars. BYD does plan on bringing out an electric car this year and even trying to sell it in America.

Digitimes, based in Taiwan, says that the plant will make solar panels. Chinese companies are known to diversify rapidly so this makes sense too. Chinese wind turbine maker A-Power Technologies (APWR), for instance, completed its acquisition of Evatech, a Japanese company that makes amorphous solar panels, today. We shall figure it out sometime today hopefully.

Meanwhile, on a less ambiguous note, Duke Energy Generation Services, meanwhile, has followed through with its plans to sell solar power by buying a 14 megawatt PV farm in Texas from Germany's juwi Solar. The plant is currently under construction. This marks Duke Energy's (DUK) first foray into solar: the company, a subsidiary of the mega utility, already has 733 megawatts of wind power under its belt. Last year, Duke signed a deal with China's ENN to build solar parks in the U.S. However, this deal is independent of that: Duke will own the Blue Wing plant entirely and fill it up with over 200,000 panels from First Solar (FSLR).

Finally, Bill Gates, a guy who used to work at Microsoft (MSFT) full time, says he's intrigued by TerraPower, the modular nuclear reactor company we've written about a bunch of times, according to Ina Fried at News.com. TerraPower has a sealed reactor that doesn't have to be refueled for decades. Potentially, it may also burn thorium. TerraPower came out of Intellectual Ventures, the think tank/intellectual property firm co-founded by Nathan Myhrvold. Gates is an investor. In fact, Gates seems to have a lot of energy investments indirectly: Cascade Investment, his private investment vehicle, Gates owns part of Sapphire Energy, which wants to make algae fuel. He has also put money into Vinod Khosla's funds and has also contributed money to Amyris through his foundation.

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

Toll Brothers is a Good Addition to Your Portfolio

Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) — This major builder of luxury homes in the United States is poised to take advantage of an increase in demand for houses priced in the $550,000 to $575,000 range.

Even with the tepid demand of the past year, TOL managed to report a profit of 12 cents per share. The company has one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry and should gain substantially when the housing market improves.

Note the variation of a �W� bottom — a very strong technical formation. This was on our list of Top Stocks to Buy for January, and our recommendation was followed by a break above resistance at $21-$22. Thus the trading target is raised to $30.

Top Stocks For 2012-2-24-15

 

Machine Vision Company Announces Significant Increases in Revenue, Net Income and Earnings per Share

NATICK, Mass.–August 1, 2011, (CRWENEWSWIRE)– Cognex Corporation (NASDAQ:CGNX) today announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2011. Revenue, net income, and net income per share for the quarter and six months ended July 3, 2011 are compared to the prior quarter and the second quarter and first six months of 2010 in Table 1 below.

 

RevenueNet IncomeNet Income Per Diluted Share
Quarterly Comparisons
Current Quarter: Q2-11$ 83,393,000$ 19,097,000$ 0.45
Prior Year’s Quarter: Q2-10$ 71,811,000$ 14,927,000$ 0.38
Change From Q2-10 to Q2-1116%28%19%
Prior Quarter: Q1-11$ 74,394,000$ 13,363,000$ 0.32
Change From Q1-11 to Q2-1112%40%38%
Year to Date Comparisons
Six Months Ended July 3, 2011$157,787,000$ 32,733,000$ 0.77
Six Months Ended July 4, 2010$130,778,000$ 23,472,000$ 0.59
Change From First Six Months of 2010 To First Six Months of 201121%39%30%

 

�This was an outstanding quarter for Cognex,� said Dr. Robert J. Shillman, Chairman of Cognex. �We expected to have a good quarter when we gave revenue guidance in May but the actual results surpassed our estimate. Demand was strong in both the Factory Automation and Surface Inspection markets; in fact, we received a record level of orders from each of those markets during the quarter, resulting in record bookings overall. This order strength led to the second highest quarterly revenue in Cognex�s 30-year history. The substantial leverage that incremental revenue has on our profitability drove our gross margin to 77%, operating margin to 29% and net income to 23% of revenue for the quarter.�

�We are very pleased with our performance in the second quarter of 2011,� said Robert J. Willett, Chief Executive Officer of Cognex. �Revenue increased significantly over both the second quarter of last year and the prior quarter as we continued to execute well on our growth initiatives. A key contributor was our business in Asia, particularly China, where we foresee good long-term growth potential for machine vision. And, from an operations standpoint, we delivered strong margin expansion while investing in new product development and in our sales team.�

Details of the Quarter

Statement of Operations Highlights � Second Quarter of 2011

Revenue for the second quarter of 2011 increased 16% from the second quarter of 2010 and 12% from the prior quarter. The increase, both year-on-year and sequentially, was due to record revenue from the Factory Automation market. The largest percentage increase was in Asia, primarily due to strong growth in China where Cognex is expanding its sales and distribution network.

Gross margin was 77% in the second quarter of 2011, 74% in the second quarter of 2010 and 75% in the prior quarter. Gross margin increased year-on-year due to leverage from the higher revenue level and a stronger mix of modular vision systems, which are Cognex�s highest-margin products. Gross margin increased on a sequential basis also due to the higher revenue level as well as improved margins on surface inspection products and services.

Research, Development & Engineering (R, D & E) spending in the second quarter of 2011 increased 30% from the second quarter of 2010 and 11% from the prior quarter. The increase year-on-year is due to investments in engineering headcount to accelerate new product introductions, stock option expense, and higher patent-related costs on products under development. The increase on a sequential basis is primarily due to a higher bonus accrual. Also contributing to the increase in R, D & E spending, both year-on-year and sequentially, was the impact of foreign exchange rates on the company�s international operations.

Selling, General & Administrative (S, G & A) spending in the second quarter of 2011 increased 14% from the second quarter of 2010 and 1% from the prior quarter. The increase year-on-year is due to the company�s initiative to expand its sales organization, the impact of foreign exchange rates, higher stock option expense and higher spending on marketing programs.

The tax rate was 23% in all quarters presented.

Balance Sheet Highlights � July 3, 2011

Cognex�s financial position as of July 3, 2011 was very strong, with no debt and $353,388,000 in cash and investments. In the second quarter of 2011, Cognex generated positive cash flow from operations of approximately $27,300,000, and paid out $3,780,000 in dividends to shareholders.
Inventories as of July 3, 2011 were relatively flat with the end of the prior quarter.

Financial Outlook

In Q3-11, revenue is expected to be between $78 million and $81 million, which is a decrease of 3% to 6% on a sequential basis due to typical seasonal softness. Operating expenses are expected to be relatively flat with Q2-11. And, the effective tax rate is expected to remain at 23%.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Exhibit 2 of this press release includes a reconciliation of certain financial measures from GAAP to non-GAAP. Cognex believes that these non-GAAP financial measures are useful to investors because they allow investors to more accurately assess and compare the company�s results over multiple periods and to evaluate the effectiveness of the methodology used by management to review its operating results. In particular, Cognex incurs expense related to stock options included in its GAAP presentation of cost of revenue, research, development, and engineering expenses (R, D & E), and selling, general and administrative expenses (S, G & A). Cognex excludes these expenses for the purpose of calculating non-GAAP adjusted net income and non-GAAP adjusted net income per share when it evaluates its continuing operational performance and in connection with its budgeting process and the allocation of resources, because these expenses have no current effect on cash or the future uses of cash and they fluctuate as a result of changes in Cognex�s stock price. Cognex also excludes certain items if they are one-time discrete events, such as revenue from certain customers. Cognex does not intend for these non-GAAP financial measures to be considered in isolation, nor as a substitute for financial information provided in accordance with GAAP.

Cognex estimates the tax effect of the items identified in the reconciliation by applying its effective tax rate to the pre-tax amount, unless the nature of the item and/or the tax jurisdiction in which the item has been recorded requires application of a specific tax rate or tax treatment, in which case the tax effect of such items is estimated by applying such specific tax rate or tax treatment.

Analyst Conference Call and Simultaneous Webcast

Cognex will host a conference call to discuss its results for the second quarter of 2011, as well as its financial and business outlook, today at 5:00 p.m. Eastern time. The telephone number for the live call is 866-835-8905 (or 703-639-1412 if outside the United States). A replay will begin at 8:00 p.m. Eastern time today and will run continuously until 11:59 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday, August 4, 2011. The telephone number for the replay is 888-258-7854 (or 703-925-2490 if outside the United States) and the access code is 1539078.

Internet users can listen to a real-time audio broadcast of the conference call, as well as an archive replay of the call, on Cognex�s website at http://www.cognex.com/Investor.

About Cognex Corporation

Cognex Corporation designs, develops, manufactures and markets a range of products that incorporate sophisticated machine vision technology that gives them the ability to �see.� Cognex products include barcode readers, machine vision sensors and machine vision systems that are used in factories, warehouses and distribution centers around the world to guide, gauge, inspect, identify and assure the quality of items during the manufacturing and distribution process. Cognex is the world’s leader in the machine vision industry, having shipped more than 600,000 vision-based products, representing over $3 billion in cumulative revenue, since the company’s founding in 1981. Headquartered in Natick, Massachusetts, USA, Cognex has regional offices and distributors located throughout North America, Japan, Europe, Asia and Latin America. For details, visit Cognex on-line at http://www.cognex.com.

Certain statements made in this press release, which do not relate solely to historical matters, are forward-looking statements. These statements can be identified by use of the words �expects,� �anticipates,� �estimates,� �believes,� �projects,� �intends,� �plans,� �will,� �may,� �shall,� �could,� �should,� and similar words. These forward-looking statements, which include statements regarding business and market trends, future financial performance, customer demand and order rates, market opportunities, growth initiatives and strategic plans, involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Such risks and uncertainties include: (1) current and future conditions in the global economy; (2) the cyclicality of the semiconductor and electronics industries; (3) the inability to penetrate new markets; (4) the inability to achieve significant international revenue; (5) fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; (6) the loss of a large customer; (7) the inability to attract and retain skilled employees; (8) the reliance upon key suppliers to manufacture and deliver critical components for Cognex products; (9) the failure to effectively manage product transitions or accurately forecast customer demand; (10) the inability to design and manufacture high-quality products; (11) the technological obsolescence of current products and the inability to develop new products; (12) the failure to properly manage the distribution of products and services; (13) the inability to protect Cognex proprietary technology and intellectual property; (14) involvement in time-consuming and costly litigation; (15) the impact of competitive pressures; (16) the challenges in integrating and achieving expected results from acquired businesses; (17) potential impairment charges with respect to Cognex�s investments or for acquired intangible assets or goodwill; (18) exposure to additional tax liabilities; and (19) the other risks detailed in Cognex reports filed with the SEC, including its Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2010. You should not place undue reliance upon any such forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. Cognex disclaims any obligation to update forward-looking statements after the date of such statements.

Source: Cognex Corporation

Contact:

Cognex Corporation
Susan Conway, 508-650-3353
Director of Investor Relations
susan.conway@cognex.com

 

 

THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY SECURITY!