Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Does Petroleum Development Measure Up?

Margins matter. The more Petroleum Development (Nasdaq: PETD  ) keeps of each buck it earns in revenue, the more money it has to invest in growth, fund new strategic plans, or (gasp!) distribute to shareholders. Healthy margins often separate pretenders from the best stocks in the market. That's why we check up on margins at least once a quarter in this series. I'm looking for the absolute numbers, comparisons to sector peers and competitors, and any trend that may tell me how strong Petroleum Development's competitive position could be.

Here's the current margin snapshot for Petroleum Development and some of its sector and industry peers and direct competitors.

Company

TTM Gross Margin

TTM Operating Margin

TTM Net Margin

Petroleum Development 59.0% 12.5% 1.1%
Cabot Oil & Gas 79.8% 22.1% 15.9%
Enbridge Energy Partners 20.1% 5.7% 3.8%
Range Resources 83.3% (24.1%) (23.0%)

Source: S&P Capital IQ. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Unfortunately, that table doesn't tell us much about where Petroleum Development has been, or where it's going. A company with rising gross and operating margins often fuels its growth by increasing demand for its products. If it sells more units while keeping costs in check, its profitability incre! ases. Co nversely, a company with gross margins that inch downward over time is often losing out to competition, and possibly engaging in a race to the bottom on prices. If it can't make up for this problem by cutting costs -- and most companies can't -- then both the business and its shares face a decidedly bleak outlook.

Of course, over the short term, the kind of economic shocks we recently experienced can drastically affect a company's profitability. That's why I like to look at five fiscal years' worth of margins, along with the results for the trailing 12 months, the last fiscal year, and last fiscal quarter. You can't always reach a hard conclusion about your company's health, but you can better understand what to expect, and what to watch.

Here's the margin picture for Petroleum Development over the past few years.

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Source: S&P Capital IQ. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

Because of seasonality in some businesses, the numbers for the last period on the right -- the TTM figures -- aren't always comparable to the FY results preceding them. Here's how the stats break down:

  • Over the past five years, gross margin peaked at 54.3% and averaged 48.7%. Operating margin peaked at 42.9% and averaged 9.5%. Net margin peaked at 85.7% and averaged 18.4%.
  • TTM gross margin is 59%, 1,030 basis points better than the five-year average. TTM operating margin is 12.5%, 300 basis points better than the five-year average. TTM net margin is 1.1%, 1,730 basis points worse than the five-year average.

With recent TTM operating margins exceeding historical averages, Petroleum Development looks like it is doing fine.

If you take the time to read past the headlines and crack a filing now and then, you're probably ahead of 95% of the market's individual invest! ors. To stay ahead, learn more about how I use analysis like this to help me uncover the best returns in the stock market. Got an opinion on the margins at Petroleum Development? Let us know in the comments below.

  • Add Petroleum Development to My Watchlist.
  • Add Cabot Oil & Gas to My Watchlist.
  • Add Enbridge Energy Partners to My Watchlist.
  • Add Range Resources to My Watchlist.

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